Stock Ratings / Industrials / RAIL / earnings

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FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±11% Move

Q: Where is RAIL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RAIL last traded at $4.18 (-0.12% on volume of 250,331 shares), positioning the stock -34.48% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.38) and -51.34% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.59). Across its 52-week range of $3.85 to $14.90, RAIL sits at the 3.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 24.8 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.0% ($3.72 to $4.64).

Q: When is RAIL's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

Q: How much is RAIL stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±11% event move for RAIL, spanning a range between $3.72 and $4.64.

$4.18 -0.12% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.17

FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $137.1M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on RAIL Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is RAIL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, FreightCar America Inc. (NASDAQ: RAIL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $4.18 (-0.12% 1D, market cap $137.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, RAIL ranks #291 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does RAIL compare to FIP and GBX in the Industrials sector?

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Within the Industrials sector (Railroads), RAIL carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 14.6%, and ROIC of 27.5%. By comparison, FIP (FTAI Infrastructure Inc.) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $339.2M) and GBX (Greenbrier Companies Inc.) posts a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 24.1%, cap $1.19B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GBX leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while TRN leads on capital efficiency (58.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RAIL?

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Per RAIL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001320854), FreightCar America Inc. generated $500.7M in revenue (-10.2% YoY), $0 in net income, and $31.4M in free cash flow against $290.0M in total assets and $97.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.17 (-0.21%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 6.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RAIL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY RAIL SCORES 51/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6.3% FCF Margin ($31.4M FCF) & 14.6% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 3% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 24.8 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 16 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$6.25-5.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$5.92-28.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$4.23-1.2% Next Q

Current

Grade D$4.18-1.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (59) → D (51)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a RAIL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While RAIL currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.38) and Max Pain ($4.39) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $15.65.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RAIL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “RAIL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 51%NO 49%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±11% Swing Band

±$0.46 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

RAIL Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 51/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -10.2%

Model Bullish Setup (51/100)Model Risk Weight (49/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$500.7M	$0	$31.4M	14.6%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$557.7M	$0	$39.9M	12%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$356.8M	$0	$4.8M	14.6%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RAIL)

✓Walkthrough of RAIL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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RAIL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -49.27%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $4.10H $4.19L $4.08C $4.18VOL 215.0K

RES: $6.73SUP: $3.43SMA50: $6.38SMA200: $8.59

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RAIL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 RAIL Butterfly Map → + Track RAIL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-5.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -10.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RAIL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RAIL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RAIL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RAIL)

Industrials Rank #291 of 485 ⚔️ FIP vs RAIL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (RAIL vs. FIP, GBX, TRN, RVSN)

Industry: Railroads (11 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) ranks #291 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #365 by equity capitalization ($137.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GBX leads on earnings valuation at 5.9x trailing P/E, while TRN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 58.6% ROIC and — gross margin. GBX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with RAIL at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
RAIL ACTIVE FreightCar America Inc.	D	51/100	—	14.6%	27.5%	-0.12%	$137.1M	Benchmark Subject
FIP FTAI Infrastructure Inc.	D-	40/100	—	—	—	+2.13%	$339.2M	/fip-vs-rail →
GBX Greenbrier Companies Inc.	B	73/100	5.9x	18.7%	24.1%	+2.80%	$1.19B	/gbx-vs-rail →
TRN Trinity Industries Inc.	B	73/100	8.1x	—	58.6%	+10.80%	$2.26B	/trn-vs-rail →
RVSN Rail Vision Ltd. Ordinary Share	D-	41/100	—	37.1%	-35.0%	-4.53%	$6.5M	/rvsn-vs-rail →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001320854

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) reported GAAP revenue of $500.7M (-10.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $557.7M , and +40.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $34.8M, and free cash flow of $31.4M (-21.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, RAIL closed FY2025 with $290.0M in total assets against $97.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.75, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$500.7M	$0	$34.8M	$31.4M	$290.0M	$97.5M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$557.7M	$0	$44.9M	$39.9M	$224.2M	$105.5M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$356.8M	$0	$4.8M	$4.8M	—	—

3. RAIL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RAIL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does RAIL compare to FIP and GBX in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RAIL?

Where is RAIL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RAIL last traded at $4.18 (-0.12% on volume of 250,331 shares), positioning the stock -34.48% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.38) and -51.34% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.59). Across its 52-week range of $3.85 to $14.90, RAIL sits at the 3.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 24.8 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.0% ($3.72 to $4.64).

RAIL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is RAIL's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is RAIL stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±11% event move for RAIL, spanning a range between $3.72 and $4.64.

Direct Sub-Reports: RAIL RQD Cockpit RAIL 12M Forecast RAIL Earnings & Move RAIL Dividends & DRIP RAIL Insiders & 13F RAIL Whale Options RAIL Profit Sankey RAIL News & Why