Stock Ratings / Industrials / RAIL / dividends

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FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

Q: Is RAIL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, FreightCar America Inc. (NASDAQ: RAIL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $4.18 (-0.12% 1D, market cap $137.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, RAIL ranks #291 in composite RQD confidence.

Q: How does RAIL compare to FIP and GBX in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Railroads), RAIL carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 14.6%, and ROIC of 27.5%. By comparison, FIP (FTAI Infrastructure Inc.) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $339.2M) and GBX (Greenbrier Companies Inc.) posts a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 24.1%, cap $1.19B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GBX leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while TRN leads on capital efficiency (58.6% ROIC).

Q: What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RAIL?

Per RAIL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001320854), FreightCar America Inc. generated $500.7M in revenue (-10.2% YoY), $0 in net income, and $31.4M in free cash flow against $290.0M in total assets and $97.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Q: Where is RAIL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RAIL last traded at $4.18 (-0.12% on volume of 250,331 shares), positioning the stock -34.48% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.38) and -51.34% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.59). Across its 52-week range of $3.85 to $14.90, RAIL sits at the 3.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 24.8 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.0% ($3.72 to $4.64).

Q: Does RAIL pay a dividend and is it safe?

FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

$4.18 -0.12% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.17

FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $137.1M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.17 (-0.21%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 6.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RAIL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY RAIL SCORES 51/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6.3% FCF Margin ($31.4M FCF) & 14.6% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 3% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 24.8 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 16 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$6.25-5.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$5.92-28.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$4.23-1.2% Next Q

Current

Grade D$4.18-1.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (59) → D (51)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a RAIL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While RAIL currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.38) and Max Pain ($4.39) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $15.65.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RAIL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “RAIL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 51%NO 49%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

1.8% Total Yield

0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

0% (100% Reinvested)

Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $307/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$10.6K

Yr 1

$11.1K

Yr 2

$11.7K

Yr 3

$12.4K

Yr 4

$13.1K

Yr 5

$13.8K

Yr 6

$14.5K

Yr 7

$15.3K

Yr 8

$16.2K

Yr 9

$17.1K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RAIL)

✓Walkthrough of RAIL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

RAIL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -49.27%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $4.10H $4.19L $4.08C $4.18VOL 215.0K

RES: $6.73SUP: $3.43SMA50: $6.38SMA200: $8.59

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RAIL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 RAIL Butterfly Map → + Track RAIL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-5.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -10.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RAIL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RAIL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RAIL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RAIL)

Industrials Rank #291 of 485 ⚔️ FIP vs RAIL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (RAIL vs. FIP, GBX, TRN, RVSN)

Industry: Railroads (11 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) ranks #291 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #365 by equity capitalization ($137.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GBX leads on earnings valuation at 5.9x trailing P/E, while TRN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 58.6% ROIC and — gross margin. GBX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with RAIL at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
RAIL ACTIVE FreightCar America Inc.	D	51/100	—	14.6%	27.5%	-0.12%	$137.1M	Benchmark Subject
FIP FTAI Infrastructure Inc.	D-	40/100	—	—	—	+2.13%	$339.2M	/fip-vs-rail →
GBX Greenbrier Companies Inc.	B	73/100	5.9x	18.7%	24.1%	+2.80%	$1.19B	/gbx-vs-rail →
TRN Trinity Industries Inc.	B	73/100	8.1x	—	58.6%	+10.80%	$2.26B	/trn-vs-rail →
RVSN Rail Vision Ltd. Ordinary Share	D-	41/100	—	37.1%	-35.0%	-4.53%	$6.5M	/rvsn-vs-rail →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001320854

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) reported GAAP revenue of $500.7M (-10.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $557.7M , and +40.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $34.8M, and free cash flow of $31.4M (-21.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, RAIL closed FY2025 with $290.0M in total assets against $97.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.75, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$500.7M	$0	$34.8M	$31.4M	$290.0M	$97.5M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$557.7M	$0	$44.9M	$39.9M	$224.2M	$105.5M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$356.8M	$0	$4.8M	$4.8M	—	—

3. RAIL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RAIL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, FreightCar America Inc. (NASDAQ: RAIL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $4.18 (-0.12% 1D, market cap $137.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, RAIL ranks #291 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RAIL compare to FIP and GBX in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Railroads), RAIL carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 14.6%, and ROIC of 27.5%. By comparison, FIP (FTAI Infrastructure Inc.) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $339.2M) and GBX (Greenbrier Companies Inc.) posts a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 24.1%, cap $1.19B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GBX leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while TRN leads on capital efficiency (58.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RAIL?

Per RAIL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001320854), FreightCar America Inc. generated $500.7M in revenue (-10.2% YoY), $0 in net income, and $31.4M in free cash flow against $290.0M in total assets and $97.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RAIL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RAIL last traded at $4.18 (-0.12% on volume of 250,331 shares), positioning the stock -34.48% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.38) and -51.34% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.59). Across its 52-week range of $3.85 to $14.90, RAIL sits at the 3.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 24.8 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.0% ($3.72 to $4.64).

RAIL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does RAIL pay a dividend and is it safe?

FreightCar America Inc. (RAIL) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

Direct Sub-Reports: RAIL RQD Cockpit RAIL 12M Forecast RAIL Earnings & Move RAIL Dividends & DRIP RAIL Insiders & 13F RAIL Whale Options RAIL Profit Sankey RAIL News & Why