Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / PZZA / dividends

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Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$18.80 +1.40% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.81

Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $618.9M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.81 (+0.06%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 19/20 (A+) • 3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PZZA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (68/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY PZZA SCORES 68/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+19/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 3% FCF Margin ($61.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B+$19.75-1.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$19.39-6.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$18.10+3.9% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$18.80+1.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B+ (76) → C+ (68)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PZZA Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, PZZA faces multiple-compression risk if 20.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($20.50) or 200D SMA ($30.05) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($19.65) toward Bear Floor ($15.33).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PZZA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “PZZA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 27, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 68%NO 32%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

11.68% Total Yield

9.88% Cash ($1.86/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

68/100 • SAFE COVERAGE

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

64.8% of FCF

8 consecutive years of payout growth

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (15.2% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $41,165

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $4,808/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$11.5K

Yr 1

$13.3K

Yr 2

$15.3K

Yr 3

$17.6K

Yr 4

$20.3K

Yr 5

$23.4K

Yr 6

$26.9K

Yr 7

$31.0K

Yr 8

$35.7K

Yr 9

$41.2K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in PZZA & A-Rated Leaders

✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on PZZA and its top sector peer
✓Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

PZZA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -48.05%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-10-30O $18.80H $19.11L $18.29C $18.80VOL 1.48M

RES: $17.57SUP: $15.43SMA50: $20.50SMA200: $30.05

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PZZA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PZZA Butterfly Map → + Track PZZA →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

13.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -0.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PZZA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PZZA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PZZA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PZZA)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #222 of 1011 ⚔️ HDL vs PZZA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (PZZA vs. HDL, BRCB, CNNE, FWRG)

Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) ranks #222 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #565 by equity capitalization ($618.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PZZA leads on earnings valuation at 20.3x trailing P/E, while PZZA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 30.5% ROIC and — gross margin. PZZA currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
PZZA ACTIVE Papa John's International Inc.	C+	68/100	20.3x	—	30.5%	+1.40%	$618.9M	Benchmark Subject
HDL SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD.	D+	52/100	—	—	—	0.00%	$643.8M	/hdl-vs-pzza →
BRCB Black Rock Coffee Bar Inc. (Class A)	D	44/100	—	—	1.6%	+3.82%	$530.3M	/brcb-vs-pzza →
CNNE Cannae Holdings Inc.	D-	35/100	—	15.5%	-10.6%	+1.78%	$743.9M	/cnne-vs-pzza →
FWRG First Watch Restaurant Group Inc.	D	45/100	39.7x	—	3.6%	+8.31%	$772.0M	/fwrg-vs-pzza →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-28 • CIK 0000901491

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28), Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) reported GAAP revenue of $2.05B (-0.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.06B , and -3.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $30.5M, operating cash flow of $126.0M, and free cash flow of $61.3M (+79.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, PZZA closed FY2025 with $837.5M in total assets against $710.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.37, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-28	$2.05B	$30.5M	$126.0M	$61.3M	$837.5M	$710.4M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-29	$2.06B	$83.5M	$106.6M	$34.1M	$889.0M	$741.6M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$2.14B	$82.1M	$193.1M	$193.1M	—	—

3. PZZA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PZZA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Papa John's International Inc. (NASDAQ: PZZA) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $18.80 (+1.40% 1D, market cap $618.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PZZA ranks #222 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PZZA compare to HDL and BRCB in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), PZZA carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 30.5%. By comparison, HDL (SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $643.8M) and BRCB (Black Rock Coffee Bar Inc. (Class A)) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.6%, cap $530.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PZZA leads on earnings multiple (20.3x) while PZZA leads on capital efficiency (30.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PZZA?

Per PZZA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0000901491), Papa John's International Inc. generated $2.05B in revenue (-0.3% YoY), $30.5M in net income, and $61.3M in free cash flow against $837.5M in total assets and $710.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PZZA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PZZA last traded at $18.80 (+1.40% on volume of 1,265,219 shares), positioning the stock -8.29% below its 50-day simple moving average ($20.50) and -37.44% below its 200-day simple moving average ($30.05). Across its 52-week range of $17.70 to $52.02, PZZA sits at the 3.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.1% ($17.47 to $20.13).

PZZA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does PZZA pay a dividend and is it safe?

Papa John's International Inc. (PZZA) offers a 9.88% cash dividend yield ($1.86 annualized) and 11.68% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as SAFE COVERAGE.

Direct Sub-Reports: PZZA RQD Cockpit PZZA 12M Forecast PZZA Earnings & Move PZZA Dividends & DRIP PZZA Insiders & 13F PZZA Whale Options PZZA Profit Sankey PZZA News & Why