MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why PUMP Stock advanced +1.42% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$7.87 +1.42% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.88
ProPetro Holding Corp. (PUMP) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $966.6M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.88 (+0.07%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 3.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PUMP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PUMP SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (26% of score)
Altman Z-Score 2.25 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+11/20 pts (22% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 55% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)
Capital intensity & 0.5% operating margin leave 13 pts on the table
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$9.09-15% Next Q
58
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$7.73-5.7% Next Q
55
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C-$7.29+8% Next Q
53
CurrentGrade D$7.87-1.4% Hist 90D α
50
Trajectory: C (58) → D (50)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PUMP Turnaround Squeeze
While PUMP currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.59) and Max Pain ($8.26) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $19.43.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PUMP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PUMP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why PUMP Stock advanced +1.42% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
ProPetro Holding Corp. (PUMP) advanced +1.42% to $7.87, trading at 7% of its 52-week range ($7.01 – $18.5). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 7% of its 52-week range ($7.01 – $18.5) with RSI-14 at 35.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±11.9% around $7.87 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $45.3M annual free cash flow.
Live PUMP Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 7h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 9h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 10h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PUMP)
- ✓Walkthrough of PUMP's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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PUMP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -54.06%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $7.61H $7.87L $7.48C $7.87VOL 4.99M
RES: $9.57SUP: $6.61SMA50: $9.59SMA200: $12.60
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
PUMP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-6.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -12.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PUMP today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PUMP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PUMP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PUMP)
Energy Rank #147 of 211
⚔️ ACDC vs PUMP Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (PUMP vs. ACDC, RES, HOS, CLB)
Industry: Oilfield Services/Equipment (20 Tracked Issuers)Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ProPetro Holding Corp. (PUMP) ranks #147 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #139 by equity capitalization ($966.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CLB leads on earnings valuation at 16.1x trailing P/E, while CLB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.6% ROIC and 20.7% gross margin. CLB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with PUMP at 50/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PUMP
ACTIVE
ProPetro Holding Corp. | D | 50/100 | — | — | 0.6% | +1.42% | $966.6M | Benchmark Subject |
| ACDC ProFrac Holding Corp. (Class A) | E | 32/100 | — | — | -11.4% | -2.81% | $883.3M | /acdc-vs-pump → |
| RES RPC Inc. | D | 51/100 | 44.1x | — | 4.0% | -5.20% | $1.41B | /res-vs-pump → |
| HOS Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. | C | 62/100 | 51.7x | 12.3% | 3.5% | +1.27% | $1.60B | /hos-vs-pump → |
| CLB Core Laboratories Inc. | C+ | 68/100 | 16.1x | 20.7% | 12.6% | -0.86% | $477.2M | /clb-vs-pump → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001680247In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), ProPetro Holding Corp. (PUMP) reported GAAP revenue of $1.27B (-12.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.44B , and -22.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $824.0K, operating cash flow of $231.6M, and free cash flow of $45.3M (-59.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, PUMP closed FY2025 with $1.29B in total assets against $105.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.25, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.27B | $824.0K | $231.6M | $45.3M | $1.29B | $105.6M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $1.44B | -$137.9M | $252.3M | $112.0M | $1.22B | $45.0M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.63B | $86.0M | $374.7M | $374.7M | — | — |
3. PUMP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs PUMP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, ProPetro Holding Corp. (NYSE: PUMP) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $7.87 (+1.42% 1D, market cap $966.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, PUMP ranks #147 in composite RQD confidence.
How does PUMP compare to ACDC and RES in the Energy sector?
Within the Energy sector (Oilfield Services/Equipment), PUMP carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.6%. By comparison, ACDC (ProFrac Holding Corp. (Class A)) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -11.4%, cap $883.3M) and RES (RPC Inc.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 44.1x, ROIC 4.0%, cap $1.41B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CLB leads on earnings multiple (16.1x) while CLB leads on capital efficiency (12.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PUMP?
Per PUMP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001680247), ProPetro Holding Corp. generated $1.27B in revenue (-12.1% YoY), $824.0K in net income, and $45.3M in free cash flow against $1.29B in total assets and $105.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is PUMP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
PUMP last traded at $7.87 (+1.42% on volume of 5,704,342 shares), positioning the stock -17.94% below its 50-day simple moving average ($9.59) and -37.54% below its 200-day simple moving average ($12.60). Across its 52-week range of $7.01 to $18.50, PUMP sits at the 7.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.9% ($6.93 to $8.81).
PUMP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is PUMP stock moving today?
Why PUMP Stock advanced +1.42% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.