Stock Ratings / Energy / PUMP / earnings

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ProPetro Holding Corp. (PUMP) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±11.9% Move

$7.87 +1.42% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.88

ProPetro Holding Corp. (PUMP) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $966.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.88 (+0.07%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 3.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PUMP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY PUMP SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.25 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+11/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 55% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0.5% operating margin leave 13 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$9.09-15% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$7.73-5.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$7.29+8% Next Q

Current

Grade D$7.87-1.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (58) → D (50)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PUMP Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PUMP currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.59) and Max Pain ($8.26) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $19.43.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PUMP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “PUMP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 50%NO 50%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±11.9% Swing Band

±$0.94 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

PUMP Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 50/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -12.1%

Model Bullish Setup (50/100)Model Risk Weight (50/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$1.27B	$824.0K	$45.3M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$1.44B	-$137.9M	$112.0M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$1.63B	$86.0M	$374.7M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PUMP)

✓Walkthrough of PUMP's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

PUMP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -54.06%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $7.61H $7.87L $7.48C $7.87VOL 4.99M

RES: $9.57SUP: $6.61SMA50: $9.59SMA200: $12.60

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PUMP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PUMP Butterfly Map → + Track PUMP →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-6.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -12.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PUMP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PUMP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PUMP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PUMP)

Energy Rank #147 of 211 ⚔️ ACDC vs PUMP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (PUMP vs. ACDC, RES, HOS, CLB)

Industry: Oilfield Services/Equipment (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ProPetro Holding Corp. (PUMP) ranks #147 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #139 by equity capitalization ($966.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CLB leads on earnings valuation at 16.1x trailing P/E, while CLB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.6% ROIC and 20.7% gross margin. CLB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with PUMP at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
PUMP ACTIVE ProPetro Holding Corp.	D	50/100	—	—	0.6%	+1.42%	$966.6M	Benchmark Subject
ACDC ProFrac Holding Corp. (Class A)	E	32/100	—	—	-11.4%	-2.81%	$883.3M	/acdc-vs-pump →
RES RPC Inc.	D	51/100	44.1x	—	4.0%	-5.20%	$1.41B	/res-vs-pump →
HOS Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc.	C	62/100	51.7x	12.3%	3.5%	+1.27%	$1.60B	/hos-vs-pump →
CLB Core Laboratories Inc.	C+	68/100	16.1x	20.7%	12.6%	-0.86%	$477.2M	/clb-vs-pump →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001680247

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), ProPetro Holding Corp. (PUMP) reported GAAP revenue of $1.27B (-12.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.44B , and -22.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $824.0K, operating cash flow of $231.6M, and free cash flow of $45.3M (-59.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, PUMP closed FY2025 with $1.29B in total assets against $105.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.25, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.27B	$824.0K	$231.6M	$45.3M	$1.29B	$105.6M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.44B	-$137.9M	$252.3M	$112.0M	$1.22B	$45.0M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.63B	$86.0M	$374.7M	$374.7M	—	—

3. PUMP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PUMP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, ProPetro Holding Corp. (NYSE: PUMP) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $7.87 (+1.42% 1D, market cap $966.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, PUMP ranks #147 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PUMP compare to ACDC and RES in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oilfield Services/Equipment), PUMP carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.6%. By comparison, ACDC (ProFrac Holding Corp. (Class A)) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -11.4%, cap $883.3M) and RES (RPC Inc.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 44.1x, ROIC 4.0%, cap $1.41B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CLB leads on earnings multiple (16.1x) while CLB leads on capital efficiency (12.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PUMP?

Per PUMP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001680247), ProPetro Holding Corp. generated $1.27B in revenue (-12.1% YoY), $824.0K in net income, and $45.3M in free cash flow against $1.29B in total assets and $105.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PUMP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PUMP last traded at $7.87 (+1.42% on volume of 5,704,342 shares), positioning the stock -17.94% below its 50-day simple moving average ($9.59) and -37.54% below its 200-day simple moving average ($12.60). Across its 52-week range of $7.01 to $18.50, PUMP sits at the 7.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.9% ($6.93 to $8.81).

PUMP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is PUMP's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, ProPetro Holding Corp. (PUMP)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is PUMP stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±11.9% event move for PUMP, spanning a range between $6.93 and $8.81.

Direct Sub-Reports: PUMP RQD Cockpit PUMP 12M Forecast PUMP Earnings & Move PUMP Dividends & DRIP PUMP Insiders & 13F PUMP Whale Options PUMP Profit Sankey PUMP News & Why