MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why PSFE Stock surged +3.72% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$5.58 +3.72% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.61
Paysafe Limited (PSFE) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 40/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT
Cap $291.4M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.61 (+0.48%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 13.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (40/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk E
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.1% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PSFE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (40/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PSFE SCORES 40/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (25% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 13.1% FCF Margin ($223.6M FCF) & 56.4% Gross Margin
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+10/20 pts (25% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±10.1% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (45.7) create a -15 pt regime headwind
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$5.77-1.9% Next Q
48
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$5.66+1.4% Next Q
45
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$5.74-2.8% Next Q
43
CurrentGrade D-$5.58-7.4% Hist 90D α
40
Trajectory: D (48) → D- (40)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PSFE Turnaround Squeeze
While PSFE currently carries a cautious 40/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.08) and Max Pain ($5.86) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $11.56.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PSFE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PSFE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why PSFE Stock surged +3.72% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Paysafe Limited (PSFE) surged +3.72% to $5.58, trading at 5% of its 52-week range ($5.29 – $11.01). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (2% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 5% of its 52-week range ($5.29 – $11.01) with RSI-14 at 45.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±10.1% around $5.58 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 56.4% gross margin and $223.6M annual free cash flow.
Live PSFE Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 6h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 8h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PSFE)
- ✓Walkthrough of PSFE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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PSFE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -38.27%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $5.58H $5.69L $5.44C $5.58VOL 350.2K
RES: $7.91SUP: $4.79SMA50: $6.08SMA200: $7.14
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
PSFE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
30.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -0.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PSFE today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PSFE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PSFE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PSFE)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #825 of 1011
⚔️ ZH vs PSFE Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (PSFE vs. ZH, FVRR, IMXI, AMWL)
Industry: Business Services (90 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Paysafe Limited (PSFE) ranks #825 by composite RQD confidence (40/100, grade D-) and #653 by equity capitalization ($291.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IMXI leads on earnings valuation at 7.9x trailing P/E, while IMXI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 23.5% ROIC and — gross margin. IMXI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with PSFE at 40/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSFE
ACTIVE
Paysafe Limited | D- | 40/100 | — | 56.4% | 1.9% | +3.72% | $291.4M | Benchmark Subject |
| ZH Zhihu Inc. each representing three (3) (Class A) | E | 21/100 | — | 59.9% | -35.0% | -3.07% | $273.5M | /zh-vs-psfe → |
| FVRR Fiverr International Ltd. no par value | C- | 60/100 | 15.5x | 81.6% | -0.3% | +12.01% | $325.4M | /fvrr-vs-psfe → |
| IMXI International Money Express Inc. | B- | 70/100 | 7.9x | — | 23.5% | -1.94% | $259.5M | /imxi-vs-psfe → |
| AMWL American Well Corporation (Class A) | D- | 39/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +6.09% | $254.8M | /amwl-vs-psfe → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001833835In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Paysafe Limited (PSFE) reported GAAP revenue of $1.70B (-0.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.70B , and +6.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $236.2M, and free cash flow of $223.6M (-6.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, PSFE closed FY2025 with $4.80B in total assets against $2.61B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.70B | $0 | $236.2M | $223.6M | $4.80B | $2.61B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $1.70B | $22.2M | $253.8M | $237.9M | $4.81B | $2.35B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.60B | -$20.3M | $234.0M | $234.0M | — | — |
3. PSFE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs PSFE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Paysafe Limited (NYSE: PSFE) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $5.58 (+3.72% 1D, market cap $291.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PSFE ranks #825 in composite RQD confidence.
How does PSFE compare to ZH and FVRR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), PSFE carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 56.4%, and ROIC of 1.9%. By comparison, ZH (Zhihu Inc. each representing three (3) (Class A)) holds a E grade (21/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $273.5M) and FVRR (Fiverr International Ltd. no par value) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 15.5x, ROIC -0.3%, cap $325.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IMXI leads on earnings multiple (7.9x) while IMXI leads on capital efficiency (23.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PSFE?
Per PSFE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001833835), Paysafe Limited generated $1.70B in revenue (-0.2% YoY), $0 in net income, and $223.6M in free cash flow against $4.80B in total assets and $2.61B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is PSFE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
PSFE last traded at $5.58 (+3.72% on volume of 399,898 shares), positioning the stock -8.22% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.08) and -21.85% below its 200-day simple moving average ($7.14). Across its 52-week range of $5.29 to $11.01, PSFE sits at the 5.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.1% ($5.02 to $6.14).
PSFE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is PSFE stock moving today?
Why PSFE Stock surged +3.72% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (2% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.