BATL (60) INDO (36) AGIG (27) DWSN (53) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Prairie Operating Co. (PROP) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$0.43 -4.71% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.43

Prairie Operating Co. (PROP) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $48.1M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.43 (-1.04%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 63.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PROP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY PROP SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 63.7% FCF Margin ($153.9M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B$0.44-22.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$0.34+14.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$0.39+10.3% Next Q

Current

Grade C$0.43+0.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B (71) → C (63)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PROP Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, PROP faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($0.43) or 200D SMA ($1.05) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($0.44) toward Bear Floor ($0.34).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PROP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “PROP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 63%NO 37%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±12.5%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (PROP)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for PROP.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating PROP & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on PROP
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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PROP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -64.17%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $0.43H $0.46L $0.42C $0.43VOL 1.10M

RES: $1.39SUP: $0.29SMA50: $0.43SMA200: $1.05

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PROP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PROP Butterfly Map → + Track PROP →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PROP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PROP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PROP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PROP)

Energy Rank #80 of 211 ⚔️ BATL vs PROP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (PROP vs. BATL, INDO, AGIG, DWSN)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Prairie Operating Co. (PROP) ranks #80 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #196 by equity capitalization ($48.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BATL leads on earnings valuation at 4.3x trailing P/E, while PROP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 39.8% ROIC and — gross margin. PROP currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
PROP ACTIVE Prairie Operating Co.	C	63/100	—	—	39.8%	-4.71%	$48.1M	Benchmark Subject
BATL Battalion Oil Corporation	C-	60/100	4.3x	—	-4.4%	+2.49%	$51.1M	/batl-vs-prop →
INDO Indonesia Energy Corporation Limited	D-	36/100	—	—	-18.4%	+3.75%	$42.6M	/indo-vs-prop →
AGIG Abundia Global Impact Group Inc.	E	27/100	—	—	-35.0%	-2.06%	$42.1M	/agig-vs-prop →
DWSN Dawson Geophysical Company	D+	53/100	—	—	-12.1%	-8.96%	$58.4M	/dwsn-vs-prop →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001162896

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Prairie Operating Co. (PROP) reported GAAP revenue of $241.6M (+2943.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.9M , and +15532.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $32.1M, operating cash flow of $153.9M, and free cash flow of $153.9M (+1746.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, PROP closed FY2025 with $944.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.34, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$241.6M	$32.1M	$153.9M	$153.9M	$944.5M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$7.9M	-$40.9M	-$9.3M	-$9.3M	$156.6M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.5M	-$79.1M	-$11.9M	-$11.9M	—	—

3. PROP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PROP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Prairie Operating Co. (NASDAQ: PROP) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $0.43 (-4.71% 1D, market cap $48.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, PROP ranks #80 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PROP compare to BATL and INDO in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), PROP carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 39.8%. By comparison, BATL (Battalion Oil Corporation) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 4.3x, ROIC -4.4%, cap $51.1M) and INDO (Indonesia Energy Corporation Limited) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -18.4%, cap $42.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BATL leads on earnings multiple (4.3x) while PROP leads on capital efficiency (39.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PROP?

Per PROP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001162896), Prairie Operating Co. generated $241.6M in revenue (+2943.8% YoY), $32.1M in net income, and $153.9M in free cash flow against $944.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PROP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PROP last traded at $0.43 (-4.71% on volume of 2,086,119 shares), positioning the stock 0.00% above its 50-day simple moving average ($0.43) and -59.05% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.05). Across its 52-week range of $0.32 to $2.55, PROP sits at the 4.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.48).

PROP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is PROP's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for PROP.

Direct Sub-Reports: PROP RQD Cockpit PROP 12M Forecast PROP Earnings & Move PROP Dividends & DRIP PROP Insiders & 13F PROP Whale Options PROP Profit Sankey PROP News & Why