Stock Ratings / Energy / PROP / earnings

BATL (60) INDO (36) AGIG (27) DWSN (53) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Prairie Operating Co. (PROP) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$0.43 -4.71% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.43

Prairie Operating Co. (PROP) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $48.1M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.43 (-1.04%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 63.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PROP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY PROP SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 63.7% FCF Margin ($153.9M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B$0.44-22.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$0.34+14.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$0.39+10.3% Next Q

Current

Grade C$0.43+0.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B (71) → C (63)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PROP Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, PROP faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($0.43) or 200D SMA ($1.05) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($0.44) toward Bear Floor ($0.34).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PROP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “PROP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 63%NO 37%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.05 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

PROP Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 63/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 180%

Model Bullish Setup (63/100)Model Risk Weight (37/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$241.6M	$32.1M	$153.9M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$7.9M	-$40.9M	-$9.3M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$1.5M	-$79.1M	-$11.9M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating PROP & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on PROP
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

PROP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -64.17%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $0.43H $0.46L $0.42C $0.43VOL 1.10M

RES: $1.39SUP: $0.29SMA50: $0.43SMA200: $1.05

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PROP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PROP Butterfly Map → + Track PROP →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PROP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PROP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PROP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PROP)

Energy Rank #80 of 211 ⚔️ BATL vs PROP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (PROP vs. BATL, INDO, AGIG, DWSN)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Prairie Operating Co. (PROP) ranks #80 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #196 by equity capitalization ($48.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BATL leads on earnings valuation at 4.3x trailing P/E, while PROP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 39.8% ROIC and — gross margin. PROP currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
PROP ACTIVE Prairie Operating Co.	C	63/100	—	—	39.8%	-4.71%	$48.1M	Benchmark Subject
BATL Battalion Oil Corporation	C-	60/100	4.3x	—	-4.4%	+2.49%	$51.1M	/batl-vs-prop →
INDO Indonesia Energy Corporation Limited	D-	36/100	—	—	-18.4%	+3.75%	$42.6M	/indo-vs-prop →
AGIG Abundia Global Impact Group Inc.	E	27/100	—	—	-35.0%	-2.06%	$42.1M	/agig-vs-prop →
DWSN Dawson Geophysical Company	D+	53/100	—	—	-12.1%	-8.96%	$58.4M	/dwsn-vs-prop →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001162896

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Prairie Operating Co. (PROP) reported GAAP revenue of $241.6M (+2943.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.9M , and +15532.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $32.1M, operating cash flow of $153.9M, and free cash flow of $153.9M (+1746.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, PROP closed FY2025 with $944.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.34, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$241.6M	$32.1M	$153.9M	$153.9M	$944.5M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$7.9M	-$40.9M	-$9.3M	-$9.3M	$156.6M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.5M	-$79.1M	-$11.9M	-$11.9M	—	—

3. PROP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PROP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Prairie Operating Co. (NASDAQ: PROP) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $0.43 (-4.71% 1D, market cap $48.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, PROP ranks #80 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PROP compare to BATL and INDO in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), PROP carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 39.8%. By comparison, BATL (Battalion Oil Corporation) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 4.3x, ROIC -4.4%, cap $51.1M) and INDO (Indonesia Energy Corporation Limited) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -18.4%, cap $42.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BATL leads on earnings multiple (4.3x) while PROP leads on capital efficiency (39.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PROP?

Per PROP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001162896), Prairie Operating Co. generated $241.6M in revenue (+2943.8% YoY), $32.1M in net income, and $153.9M in free cash flow against $944.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PROP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PROP last traded at $0.43 (-4.71% on volume of 2,086,119 shares), positioning the stock 0.00% above its 50-day simple moving average ($0.43) and -59.05% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.05). Across its 52-week range of $0.32 to $2.55, PROP sits at the 4.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.48).

PROP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is PROP's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Prairie Operating Co. (PROP)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is PROP stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for PROP, spanning a range between $1 and $0.48.

Direct Sub-Reports: PROP RQD Cockpit PROP 12M Forecast PROP Earnings & Move PROP Dividends & DRIP PROP Insiders & 13F PROP Whale Options PROP Profit Sankey PROP News & Why