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Dawson Geophysical Company (DWSN) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

Q: Should I buy, hold, or sell DWSN stock right now?

Dawson Geophysical Company (DWSN) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 53/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-12% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

Q: What is DWSN's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

DWSN's 12-month base price target is $1.84 (range $1.44 to $8.24), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

$1.88 -8.96% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.85

Dawson Geophysical Company (DWSN) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $58.4M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.85 (-1.80%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DWSN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY DWSN SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.2% FCF Margin ($7.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$2.59-13.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$2.23-9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$2.03-7.4% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$1.88-0.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (61) → D+ (53)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DWSN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While DWSN currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.83) and Max Pain ($1.97) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $8.24.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DWSN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “DWSN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 53%NO 47%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERSOLD (<32)

22.230 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

4 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE6% OF RANGE

L: $2$1.88H: $8

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 16 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 25 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on DWSN

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (60)

-12.1% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 12.24% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (47)

16/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 12/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like DWSN

✓Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DWSN)

✓Walkthrough of DWSN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

DWSN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -43.20%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-10-30O $1.77H $1.88L $1.64C $1.88VOL 115.7K

RES: $1.84SUP: $1.64SMA50: $2.83SMA200: $3.49

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DWSN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 DWSN Butterfly Map → + Track DWSN →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DWSN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DWSN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DWSN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DWSN)

Energy Rank #129 of 211 ⚔️ BATL vs DWSN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (DWSN vs. BATL, PROP, NRT, INDO)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Dawson Geophysical Company (DWSN) ranks #129 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #194 by equity capitalization ($58.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BATL leads on earnings valuation at 4.3x trailing P/E, while PROP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 39.8% ROIC and — gross margin. PROP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with DWSN at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
DWSN ACTIVE Dawson Geophysical Company	D+	53/100	—	—	-12.1%	-8.96%	$58.4M	Benchmark Subject
BATL Battalion Oil Corporation	C-	60/100	4.3x	—	-4.4%	+2.49%	$51.1M	/batl-vs-dwsn →
PROP Prairie Operating Co.	C	63/100	—	—	39.8%	-4.71%	$48.1M	/prop-vs-dwsn →
NRT North European Oil Royality Trust	D	48/100	—	—	—	-0.95%	$76.8M	/nrt-vs-dwsn →
INDO Indonesia Energy Corporation Limited	D-	36/100	—	—	-18.4%	+3.75%	$42.6M	/indo-vs-dwsn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000799165

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Dawson Geophysical Company (DWSN) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$1.9M, operating cash flow of $14.0M, and free cash flow of $7.1M (+291.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, DWSN closed FY2025 with $56.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	-$1.9M	$14.0M	$7.1M	$56.0M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	-$4.1M	-$1.9M	-$3.7M	$30.9M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	-$12.1M	$814.0K	$814.0K	—	—

3. DWSN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DWSN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Dawson Geophysical Company (NASDAQ: DWSN) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $1.88 (-8.96% 1D, market cap $58.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, DWSN ranks #129 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DWSN compare to BATL and PROP in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), DWSN carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -12.1%. By comparison, BATL (Battalion Oil Corporation) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 4.3x, ROIC -4.4%, cap $51.1M) and PROP (Prairie Operating Co.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 39.8%, cap $48.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BATL leads on earnings multiple (4.3x) while PROP leads on capital efficiency (39.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DWSN?

Per DWSN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000799165), Dawson Geophysical Company generated $0 in revenue, -$1.9M in net income, and $7.1M in free cash flow against $56.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DWSN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DWSN last traded at $1.88 (-8.96% on volume of 74,930 shares), positioning the stock -33.57% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.83) and -46.13% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.49). Across its 52-week range of $1.50 to $7.85, DWSN sits at the 6.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 22.2 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.65 to $2.11).

DWSN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell DWSN stock right now?

Dawson Geophysical Company (DWSN) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 53/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-12% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is DWSN's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

DWSN's 12-month base price target is $1.84 (range $1.44 to $8.24), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: DWSN RQD Cockpit DWSN 12M Forecast DWSN Earnings & Move DWSN Dividends & DRIP DWSN Insiders & 13F DWSN Whale Options DWSN Profit Sankey DWSN News & Why