CATALYSTReuters • 2h ago
Indian shares rise on Iran war talks, Reliance earnings beat - ReutersIndian shares rise on Iran war talks, Reliance earnings beat Reuters
Why DWSN Stock dropped -8.96% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$1.88 -8.96% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.85
Dawson Geophysical Company (DWSN) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $58.4M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is DWSN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Dawson Geophysical Company (NASDAQ: DWSN) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $1.88 (-8.96% 1D, market cap $58.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, DWSN ranks #129 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does DWSN compare to BATL and PROP in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), DWSN carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -12.1%. By comparison, BATL (Battalion Oil Corporation) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 4.3x, ROIC -4.4%, cap $51.1M) and PROP (Prairie Operating Co.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 39.8%, cap $48.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BATL leads on earnings multiple (4.3x) while PROP leads on capital efficiency (39.8% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DWSN?
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Per DWSN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000799165), Dawson Geophysical Company generated $0 in revenue, -$1.9M in net income, and $7.1M in free cash flow against $56.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.85 (-1.80%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.1% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DWSN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY DWSN SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (25% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (23% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.2% FCF Margin ($7.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$2.59-13.9% Next Q
61
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$2.23-9% Next Q
58
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$2.03-7.4% Next Q
56
CurrentGrade D+$1.88-0.9% Hist 90D α
53
Trajectory: C (61) → D+ (53)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DWSN Turnaround Squeeze
While DWSN currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.83) and Max Pain ($1.97) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $8.24.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DWSN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “DWSN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why DWSN Stock dropped -8.96% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Dawson Geophysical Company (DWSN) dropped -8.96% to $1.88, trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($1.5 – $7.85). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-12% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($1.5 – $7.85) with RSI-14 at 22.2 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $1.88 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $7.1M annual free cash flow.
Live DWSN Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Oil slips more than 1% as talks continue on ending Iran war - ReutersOil slips more than 1% as talks continue on ending Iran war Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Nine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say - ReutersNine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
MARKET WIRECNBC • 11h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 11h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 12h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DWSN)
- ✓Walkthrough of DWSN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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DWSN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -43.20%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $1.77H $1.88L $1.64C $1.88VOL 115.7K
RES: $1.84SUP: $1.64SMA50: $2.83SMA200: $3.49
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
DWSN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DWSN today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DWSN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DWSN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DWSN)
Energy Rank #129 of 211
⚔️ BATL vs DWSN Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (DWSN vs. BATL, PROP, NRT, INDO)
Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Dawson Geophysical Company (DWSN) ranks #129 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #194 by equity capitalization ($58.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BATL leads on earnings valuation at 4.3x trailing P/E, while PROP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 39.8% ROIC and — gross margin. PROP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with DWSN at 53/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DWSN
ACTIVE
Dawson Geophysical Company | D+ | 53/100 | — | — | -12.1% | -8.96% | $58.4M | Benchmark Subject |
| BATL Battalion Oil Corporation | C- | 60/100 | 4.3x | — | -4.4% | +2.49% | $51.1M | /batl-vs-dwsn → |
| PROP Prairie Operating Co. | C | 63/100 | — | — | 39.8% | -4.71% | $48.1M | /prop-vs-dwsn → |
| NRT North European Oil Royality Trust | D | 48/100 | — | — | — | -0.95% | $76.8M | /nrt-vs-dwsn → |
| INDO Indonesia Energy Corporation Limited | D- | 36/100 | — | — | -18.4% | +3.75% | $42.6M | /indo-vs-dwsn → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000799165In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Dawson Geophysical Company (DWSN) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$1.9M, operating cash flow of $14.0M, and free cash flow of $7.1M (+291.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, DWSN closed FY2025 with $56.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | -$1.9M | $14.0M | $7.1M | $56.0M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | -$4.1M | -$1.9M | -$3.7M | $30.9M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | -$12.1M | $814.0K | $814.0K | — | — |
3. DWSN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs DWSN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Dawson Geophysical Company (NASDAQ: DWSN) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $1.88 (-8.96% 1D, market cap $58.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, DWSN ranks #129 in composite RQD confidence.
How does DWSN compare to BATL and PROP in the Energy sector?
Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), DWSN carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -12.1%. By comparison, BATL (Battalion Oil Corporation) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 4.3x, ROIC -4.4%, cap $51.1M) and PROP (Prairie Operating Co.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 39.8%, cap $48.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BATL leads on earnings multiple (4.3x) while PROP leads on capital efficiency (39.8% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DWSN?
Per DWSN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000799165), Dawson Geophysical Company generated $0 in revenue, -$1.9M in net income, and $7.1M in free cash flow against $56.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is DWSN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
DWSN last traded at $1.88 (-8.96% on volume of 74,930 shares), positioning the stock -33.57% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.83) and -46.13% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.49). Across its 52-week range of $1.50 to $7.85, DWSN sits at the 6.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 22.2 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.65 to $2.11).
DWSN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is DWSN stock moving today?
Why DWSN Stock dropped -8.96% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-12% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.