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Why PROP Stock dropped -4.71% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Prairie Operating Co. (PROP) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is PROP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Prairie Operating Co. (NASDAQ: PROP) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $0.43 (-4.71% 1D, market cap $48.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, PROP ranks #80 in composite RQD confidence.
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How does PROP compare to BATL and INDO in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), PROP carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 39.8%. By comparison, BATL (Battalion Oil Corporation) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 4.3x, ROIC -4.4%, cap $51.1M) and INDO (Indonesia Energy Corporation Limited) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -18.4%, cap $42.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BATL leads on earnings multiple (4.3x) while PROP leads on capital efficiency (39.8% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PROP?
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Per PROP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001162896), Prairie Operating Co. generated $241.6M in revenue (+2943.8% YoY), $32.1M in net income, and $153.9M in free cash flow against $944.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 63.7% FCF Margin ($153.9M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PROP Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 63/100 (C) score, PROP faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($0.43) or 200D SMA ($1.05) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($0.44) toward Bear Floor ($0.34).
Why PROP Stock dropped -4.71% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Prairie Operating Co. (PROP) dropped -4.71% to $0.43, trading at 5% of its 52-week range ($0.32 – $2.55). Solid steady margins (40% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 5% of its 52-week range ($0.32 – $2.55) with RSI-14 at 56.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $0.43 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $153.9M annual free cash flow.
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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (PROP Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
PROP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PROP today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PROP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PROP)
1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (PROP vs. BATL, INDO, AGIG, DWSN)
Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Prairie Operating Co. (PROP) ranks #80 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #196 by equity capitalization ($48.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BATL leads on earnings valuation at 4.3x trailing P/E, while PROP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 39.8% ROIC and — gross margin. PROP currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 63/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PROP
ACTIVE
Prairie Operating Co. | C | 63/100 | — | — | 39.8% | -4.71% | $48.1M | Benchmark Subject |
| BATL Battalion Oil Corporation | C- | 60/100 | 4.3x | — | -4.4% | +2.49% | $51.1M | /batl-vs-prop → |
| INDO Indonesia Energy Corporation Limited | D- | 36/100 | — | — | -18.4% | +3.75% | $42.6M | /indo-vs-prop → |
| AGIG Abundia Global Impact Group Inc. | E | 27/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -2.06% | $42.1M | /agig-vs-prop → |
| DWSN Dawson Geophysical Company | D+ | 53/100 | — | — | -12.1% | -8.96% | $58.4M | /dwsn-vs-prop → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001162896In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Prairie Operating Co. (PROP) reported GAAP revenue of $241.6M (+2943.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.9M , and +15532.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $32.1M, operating cash flow of $153.9M, and free cash flow of $153.9M (+1746.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, PROP closed FY2025 with $944.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.34, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $241.6M | $32.1M | $153.9M | $153.9M | $944.5M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $7.9M | -$40.9M | -$9.3M | -$9.3M | $156.6M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.5M | -$79.1M | -$11.9M | -$11.9M | — | — |
3. PROP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs PROP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Prairie Operating Co. (NASDAQ: PROP) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $0.43 (-4.71% 1D, market cap $48.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, PROP ranks #80 in composite RQD confidence.
How does PROP compare to BATL and INDO in the Energy sector?
Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), PROP carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 39.8%. By comparison, BATL (Battalion Oil Corporation) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 4.3x, ROIC -4.4%, cap $51.1M) and INDO (Indonesia Energy Corporation Limited) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -18.4%, cap $42.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BATL leads on earnings multiple (4.3x) while PROP leads on capital efficiency (39.8% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PROP?
Per PROP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001162896), Prairie Operating Co. generated $241.6M in revenue (+2943.8% YoY), $32.1M in net income, and $153.9M in free cash flow against $944.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is PROP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
PROP last traded at $0.43 (-4.71% on volume of 2,086,119 shares), positioning the stock 0.00% above its 50-day simple moving average ($0.43) and -59.05% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.05). Across its 52-week range of $0.32 to $2.55, PROP sits at the 4.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.48).
PROP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is PROP stock moving today?
Why PROP Stock dropped -4.71% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (40% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.