MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why PINE Stock surged +2.16% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$16.55 +2.16% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.58
Alpine Income Property Trust Inc. (PINE) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $296.9M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.58 (+0.20%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 42.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.8% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PINE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (62/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PINE SCORES 62/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (26% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 29% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 36.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (19% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 42.5% FCF Margin ($25.8M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)
Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 9 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade B$17.92+0.1% Next Q
70
Q2 (-2Q)Grade B-$17.93-9.9% Next Q
67
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C+$16.16+2.4% Next Q
65
CurrentGrade C$16.55+0.7% Hist 90D α
62
Trajectory: B (70) → C (62)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PINE Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 62/100 (C) score, PINE faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($18.00) or 200D SMA ($19.07) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($16.85) toward Bear Floor ($13.14).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PINE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PINE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why PINE Stock surged +2.16% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Alpine Income Property Trust Inc. (PINE) surged +2.16% to $16.55, trading at 29% of its 52-week range ($14.35 – $21.99). Solid steady margins (4% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 29% of its 52-week range ($14.35 – $21.99) with RSI-14 at 36.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.6% around $16.55 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $25.8M annual free cash flow.
Live PINE Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 6h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (PINE Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
PINE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -11.97%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $16.58H $16.72L $16.34C $16.55VOL 201.3K
RES: $17.88SUP: $15.68SMA50: $18.00SMA200: $19.07
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
PINE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
21.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +15.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PINE today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PINE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PINE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PINE)
Financials Rank #436 of 1096
⚔️ NREF vs PINE Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (PINE vs. NREF, KREF, LAND, BRT)
Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Alpine Income Property Trust Inc. (PINE) ranks #436 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #811 by equity capitalization ($296.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LAND leads on earnings valuation at 24.9x trailing P/E, while PINE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 3.8% ROIC and — gross margin. PINE currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 62/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PINE
ACTIVE
Alpine Income Property Trust Inc. | C | 62/100 | — | — | 3.8% | +2.16% | $296.9M | Benchmark Subject |
| NREF NexPoint Real Estate Finance Inc. | D+ | 53/100 | — | — | — | -0.65% | $288.6M | /nref-vs-pine → |
| KREF KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. | D+ | 52/100 | — | — | -4.0% | +3.55% | $334.1M | /kref-vs-pine → |
| LAND Gladstone Land Corporation | D | 47/100 | 24.9x | — | 2.0% | -6.80% | $336.9M | /land-vs-pine → |
| BRT BRT Apartments Corp. (MD) | D | 49/100 | — | — | -6.5% | +2.31% | $249.6M | /brt-vs-pine → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001786117In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Alpine Income Property Trust Inc. (PINE) reported GAAP revenue of $60.5M (+15.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $52.2M , and +32.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$2.7M, operating cash flow of $25.8M, and free cash flow of $25.8M (+9.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, PINE closed FY2025 with $715.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $60.5M | -$2.7M | $25.8M | $25.8M | $715.9M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $52.2M | $2.1M | $23.4M | $23.4M | $605.0M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $45.6M | $2.9M | $23.2M | $23.2M | — | — |
3. PINE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs PINE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Alpine Income Property Trust Inc. (NYSE: PINE) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $16.55 (+2.16% 1D, market cap $296.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, PINE ranks #436 in composite RQD confidence.
How does PINE compare to NREF and KREF in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), PINE carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 3.8%. By comparison, NREF (NexPoint Real Estate Finance Inc.) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $288.6M) and KREF (KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.0%, cap $334.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LAND leads on earnings multiple (24.9x) while PINE leads on capital efficiency (3.8% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PINE?
Per PINE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001786117), Alpine Income Property Trust Inc. generated $60.5M in revenue (+15.9% YoY), -$2.7M in net income, and $25.8M in free cash flow against $715.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is PINE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
PINE last traded at $16.55 (+2.16% on volume of 133,460 shares), positioning the stock -8.06% below its 50-day simple moving average ($18.00) and -13.21% below its 200-day simple moving average ($19.07). Across its 52-week range of $14.35 to $21.99, PINE sits at the 28.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.6% ($15.46 to $17.64).
PINE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is PINE stock moving today?
Why PINE Stock surged +2.16% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (4% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.