Alpine Income Property Trust Inc. (PINE) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.6% Move

$16.55 +2.16% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.58

Alpine Income Property Trust Inc. (PINE) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $296.9M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.58 (+0.20%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 42.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510062
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C+
Cash (12)Whales (12)SEC (11)Macro (16)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.8% Base Target
$23 Bull$17 Base$13 Bear
📬 FREE PINE RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PINE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (62/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PINE SCORES 62/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 29% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 36.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (19% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 42.5% FCF Margin ($25.8M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 9 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
70
Grade B$17.92+0.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
67
Grade B-$17.93-9.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
65
Grade C+$16.16+2.4% Next Q
Current
62
Grade C$16.55+0.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (70) → C (62)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PINE Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 62/100 (C) score, PINE faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($18.00) or 200D SMA ($19.07) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($16.85) toward Bear Floor ($13.14).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PINE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PINE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.6% Swing Band

±$1.09 Expected Swing
$15.46 (-6.6%)Spot $16.55$17.64 (+6.6%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

PINE Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 62/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 15.9%

Model Bullish Setup (62/100)Model Risk Weight (38/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$60.5M-$2.7M$25.8M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$52.2M$2.1M$23.4M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$45.6M$2.9M$23.2M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating PINE & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on PINE
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
PINE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -11.97%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $16.58H $16.72L $16.34C $16.55VOL 201.3K
RES: $17.88SUP: $15.68SMA50: $18.00SMA200: $19.07
$22.42$20.63$18.84$17.05$15.25RES $17.88SUP $15.68$16.552026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PINE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
21.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +15.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PINE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PINE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PINE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PINE)

Financials Rank #436 of 1096 ⚔️ NREF vs PINE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (PINE vs. NREF, KREF, LAND, BRT)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Alpine Income Property Trust Inc. (PINE) ranks #436 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #811 by equity capitalization ($296.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LAND leads on earnings valuation at 24.9x trailing P/E, while PINE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 3.8% ROIC and — gross margin. PINE currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 62/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PINE ACTIVE
Alpine Income Property Trust Inc.
C 62/100 — — 3.8% +2.16% $296.9M Benchmark Subject
NREF
NexPoint Real Estate Finance Inc.
D+ 53/100 — — — -0.65% $288.6M /nref-vs-pine →
KREF
KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc.
D+ 52/100 — — -4.0% +3.55% $334.1M /kref-vs-pine →
LAND
Gladstone Land Corporation
D 47/100 24.9x — 2.0% -6.80% $336.9M /land-vs-pine →
BRT
BRT Apartments Corp. (MD)
D 49/100 — — -6.5% +2.31% $249.6M /brt-vs-pine →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001786117

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Alpine Income Property Trust Inc. (PINE) reported GAAP revenue of $60.5M (+15.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $52.2M , and +32.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$2.7M, operating cash flow of $25.8M, and free cash flow of $25.8M (+9.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, PINE closed FY2025 with $715.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $60.5M -$2.7M $25.8M $25.8M $715.9M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $52.2M $2.1M $23.4M $23.4M $605.0M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $45.6M $2.9M $23.2M $23.2M — —

3. PINE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PINE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Alpine Income Property Trust Inc. (NYSE: PINE) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $16.55 (+2.16% 1D, market cap $296.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, PINE ranks #436 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PINE compare to NREF and KREF in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), PINE carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 3.8%. By comparison, NREF (NexPoint Real Estate Finance Inc.) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $288.6M) and KREF (KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.0%, cap $334.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LAND leads on earnings multiple (24.9x) while PINE leads on capital efficiency (3.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PINE?

Per PINE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001786117), Alpine Income Property Trust Inc. generated $60.5M in revenue (+15.9% YoY), -$2.7M in net income, and $25.8M in free cash flow against $715.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PINE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PINE last traded at $16.55 (+2.16% on volume of 133,460 shares), positioning the stock -8.06% below its 50-day simple moving average ($18.00) and -13.21% below its 200-day simple moving average ($19.07). Across its 52-week range of $14.35 to $21.99, PINE sits at the 28.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.6% ($15.46 to $17.64).

PINE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is PINE's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Alpine Income Property Trust Inc. (PINE)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is PINE stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±6.6% event move for PINE, spanning a range between $15.46 and $17.64.

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