Why PENN Stock surged +4.14% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$15.33 +4.14% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.42

PENN Entertainment Inc. (PENN) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.06B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.42 (+0.56%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 12.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510057
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (12)SEC (10)Macro (13)CEO (10)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.5% Base Target
$23 Bull$15 Base$12 Bear
📬 FREE PENN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PENN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PENN SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 34% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 54.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 12.7% FCF Margin ($508.2M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 10 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
65
Grade C+$15.48-3.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
62
Grade C+$14.94-2.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
60
Grade C$14.50+5.7% Next Q
Current
57
Grade D+$15.33-0.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (65) → D+ (57)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PENN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, PENN faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($16.08) or 200D SMA ($16.81) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($15.26) toward Bear Floor ($11.90).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PENN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PENN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why PENN Stock surged +4.14% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

PENN Entertainment Inc. (PENN) surged +4.14% to $15.33, trading at 34% of its 52-week range ($11.65 – $22.36). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-13% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 34% of its 52-week range ($11.65 – $22.36) with RSI-14 at 54.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8.1% around $15.33 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $508.2M annual free cash flow.
Live PENN Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 4d ago
Apptopia: OSB Market DAUs Slightly Down This Football Season

Active User Breakdown for Prediction Market Apps Apptopia determined the user percentages of each major predictions market app that are new users, existing users, and reactivated users, during September. BOSTON, Oct. 28,

CATALYSTSeekingAlpha • 6d ago
Baron Real Estate Fund Q3 2026 Portfolio Activity

Shares of Airbnb, Inc. performed well in the quarter following strong second quarter results that exceeded expectations and a confident outlook for sustained growth acceleration.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PENN)

  • ✓Walkthrough of PENN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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PENN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.20%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $15.38H $15.90L $15.02C $15.33VOL 3.75M
RES: $15.65SUP: $12.36SMA50: $16.08SMA200: $16.81
$22.94$20.55$18.16$15.78$13.39RES $15.65SUP $12.36$15.332026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PENN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PENN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PENN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PENN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PENN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #479 of 1011 ⚔️ MCRI vs PENN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (PENN vs. MCRI, XHR, SHO, HGV)

Industry: Hotels/Resorts (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, PENN Entertainment Inc. (PENN) ranks #479 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #413 by equity capitalization ($2.06B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MCRI leads on earnings valuation at 19.8x trailing P/E, while MCRI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.9% ROIC and 23.4% gross margin. MCRI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with PENN at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PENN ACTIVE
PENN Entertainment Inc.
D+ 57/100 — — -13.3% +4.14% $2.06B Benchmark Subject
MCRI
Monarch Casino & Resort Inc.
C+ 69/100 19.8x 23.4% 18.9% -0.44% $2.00B /mcri-vs-penn →
XHR
Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc.
D+ 53/100 30.3x 30.6% 8.5% +0.14% $1.91B /xhr-vs-penn →
SHO
Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc. Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc.
C+ 67/100 — — — +1.41% $2.41B /sho-vs-penn →
HGV
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.
D+ 56/100 34.3x — 6.3% +0.51% $2.78B /hgv-vs-penn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000921738

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), PENN Entertainment Inc. (PENN) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 , and -100.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$843.1M, operating cash flow of $508.2M, and free cash flow of $508.2M (+41.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, PENN closed FY2025 with $14.27B in total assets against $2.85B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$843.1M $508.2M $508.2M $14.27B $2.85B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$311.5M $359.3M $359.3M $15.26B $2.73B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $6.36B -$490.0M $455.9M $455.9M — —

3. PENN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PENN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, PENN Entertainment Inc. (NASDAQ: PENN) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $15.33 (+4.14% 1D, market cap $2.06B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PENN ranks #479 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PENN compare to MCRI and XHR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), PENN carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -13.3%. By comparison, MCRI (Monarch Casino & Resort Inc.) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 19.8x, ROIC 18.9%, cap $2.00B) and XHR (Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 30.3x, ROIC 8.5%, cap $1.91B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MCRI leads on earnings multiple (19.8x) while MCRI leads on capital efficiency (18.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PENN?

Per PENN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000921738), PENN Entertainment Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$843.1M in net income, and $508.2M in free cash flow against $14.27B in total assets and $2.85B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PENN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PENN last traded at $15.33 (+4.14% on volume of 2,483,367 shares), positioning the stock -4.66% below its 50-day simple moving average ($16.08) and -8.80% below its 200-day simple moving average ($16.81). Across its 52-week range of $11.65 to $22.36, PENN sits at the 34.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.1% ($14.09 to $16.57).

PENN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is PENN stock moving today?

Why PENN Stock surged +4.14% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-13% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

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