Wall Street is looking for higher earnings and revenue when PENN Entertainment (PENN) posts September quarter results on November 5, even as a negative Earnings ESP hints at softening sentiment around the upcoming report
Why PENN Stock surged +4.14% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
PENN Entertainment Inc. (PENN) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
FRED Regime × Technicals: 34% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 54.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 12.7% FCF Margin ($508.2M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 10 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PENN Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, PENN faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($16.08) or 200D SMA ($16.81) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($15.26) toward Bear Floor ($11.90).
Why PENN Stock surged +4.14% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
PENN Entertainment Inc. (PENN) surged +4.14% to $15.33, trading at 34% of its 52-week range ($11.65 – $22.36). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-13% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 34% of its 52-week range ($11.65 – $22.36) with RSI-14 at 54.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8.1% around $15.33 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $508.2M annual free cash flow.
For questions about this article or underlying research, email help@trefis.com.
Las Vegas and Macau may be battered, but it makes sense to bet on regional casinos like PENN.
Summit Hotel Properties, Inc. (NYSE: INN) (the "Company") today announced key additions to its executive leadership team, including the appointment of Mike Nieves as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer a
PENN Entertainment (PENN) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
Boeing, Booking Holdings and Carpenter Technology all set new 52-week lows this week. Despite earnings misses, an FTC probe and AI worries, all three stocks merit buying on the dip.
DraftKings edges out PENN Entertainment with stronger digital growth prospects, customer acquisition and product innovation, despite prediction-market investments and profitability risks.
Active User Breakdown for Prediction Market Apps Apptopia determined the user percentages of each major predictions market app that are new users, existing users, and reactivated users, during September. BOSTON, Oct. 28,
Shares of Airbnb, Inc. performed well in the quarter following strong second quarter results that exceeded expectations and a confident outlook for sustained growth acceleration.
For questions about this article or underlying research, email help@trefis.com.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PENN)
- ✓Walkthrough of PENN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
PENN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PENN today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PENN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PENN)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (PENN vs. MCRI, XHR, SHO, HGV)
Industry: Hotels/Resorts (35 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, PENN Entertainment Inc. (PENN) ranks #479 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #413 by equity capitalization ($2.06B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MCRI leads on earnings valuation at 19.8x trailing P/E, while MCRI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.9% ROIC and 23.4% gross margin. MCRI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with PENN at 57/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PENN
ACTIVE
PENN Entertainment Inc. | D+ | 57/100 | — | — | -13.3% | +4.14% | $2.06B | Benchmark Subject |
| MCRI Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. | C+ | 69/100 | 19.8x | 23.4% | 18.9% | -0.44% | $2.00B | /mcri-vs-penn → |
| XHR Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc. | D+ | 53/100 | 30.3x | 30.6% | 8.5% | +0.14% | $1.91B | /xhr-vs-penn → |
| SHO Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc. Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc. | C+ | 67/100 | — | — | — | +1.41% | $2.41B | /sho-vs-penn → |
| HGV Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. | D+ | 56/100 | 34.3x | — | 6.3% | +0.51% | $2.78B | /hgv-vs-penn → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000921738In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), PENN Entertainment Inc. (PENN) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 , and -100.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$843.1M, operating cash flow of $508.2M, and free cash flow of $508.2M (+41.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, PENN closed FY2025 with $14.27B in total assets against $2.85B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | -$843.1M | $508.2M | $508.2M | $14.27B | $2.85B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | -$311.5M | $359.3M | $359.3M | $15.26B | $2.73B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $6.36B | -$490.0M | $455.9M | $455.9M | — | — |
3. PENN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs PENN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, PENN Entertainment Inc. (NASDAQ: PENN) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $15.33 (+4.14% 1D, market cap $2.06B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PENN ranks #479 in composite RQD confidence.
How does PENN compare to MCRI and XHR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), PENN carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -13.3%. By comparison, MCRI (Monarch Casino & Resort Inc.) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 19.8x, ROIC 18.9%, cap $2.00B) and XHR (Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 30.3x, ROIC 8.5%, cap $1.91B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MCRI leads on earnings multiple (19.8x) while MCRI leads on capital efficiency (18.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PENN?
Per PENN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000921738), PENN Entertainment Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$843.1M in net income, and $508.2M in free cash flow against $14.27B in total assets and $2.85B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is PENN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
PENN last traded at $15.33 (+4.14% on volume of 2,483,367 shares), positioning the stock -4.66% below its 50-day simple moving average ($16.08) and -8.80% below its 200-day simple moving average ($16.81). Across its 52-week range of $11.65 to $22.36, PENN sits at the 34.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.1% ($14.09 to $16.57).
PENN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is PENN stock moving today?
Why PENN Stock surged +4.14% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-13% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.