Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / PENN / financials

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PENN Entertainment Inc. (PENN) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$15.33 +4.14% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.42

PENN Entertainment Inc. (PENN) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.06B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.42 (+0.56%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 12.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PENN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY PENN SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 34% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 54.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 12.7% FCF Margin ($508.2M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 10 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$15.48-3.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$14.94-2.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$14.50+5.7% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$15.33-0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (65) → D+ (57)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PENN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, PENN faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($16.08) or 200D SMA ($16.81) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($15.26) toward Bear Floor ($11.90).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PENN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “PENN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 57%NO 43%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How PENN Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$508.2M (12.7% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $6.36B

FY24

Rev $4.00B

FY25

Rev $4.00B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$4.00B	52%	-16.8%	-$843.1M	$508.2M	-13.3%
FY 2024	$4.00B	52%	1.8%	-$311.5M	$359.3M	1.2%
FY 2023	$6.36B	52%	-10.8%	-$490.0M	$455.9M	-13.3%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PENN)

✓Walkthrough of PENN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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PENN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.20%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $15.38H $15.90L $15.02C $15.33VOL 3.75M

RES: $15.65SUP: $12.36SMA50: $16.08SMA200: $16.81

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PENN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PENN Butterfly Map → + Track PENN →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PENN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PENN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PENN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PENN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #479 of 1011 ⚔️ MCRI vs PENN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (PENN vs. MCRI, XHR, SHO, HGV)

Industry: Hotels/Resorts (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, PENN Entertainment Inc. (PENN) ranks #479 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #413 by equity capitalization ($2.06B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MCRI leads on earnings valuation at 19.8x trailing P/E, while MCRI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.9% ROIC and 23.4% gross margin. MCRI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with PENN at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
PENN ACTIVE PENN Entertainment Inc.	D+	57/100	—	—	-13.3%	+4.14%	$2.06B	Benchmark Subject
MCRI Monarch Casino & Resort Inc.	C+	69/100	19.8x	23.4%	18.9%	-0.44%	$2.00B	/mcri-vs-penn →
XHR Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc.	D+	53/100	30.3x	30.6%	8.5%	+0.14%	$1.91B	/xhr-vs-penn →
SHO Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc. Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc.	C+	67/100	—	—	—	+1.41%	$2.41B	/sho-vs-penn →
HGV Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.	D+	56/100	34.3x	—	6.3%	+0.51%	$2.78B	/hgv-vs-penn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000921738

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), PENN Entertainment Inc. (PENN) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 , and -100.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$843.1M, operating cash flow of $508.2M, and free cash flow of $508.2M (+41.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, PENN closed FY2025 with $14.27B in total assets against $2.85B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	-$843.1M	$508.2M	$508.2M	$14.27B	$2.85B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	-$311.5M	$359.3M	$359.3M	$15.26B	$2.73B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$6.36B	-$490.0M	$455.9M	$455.9M	—	—

3. PENN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PENN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, PENN Entertainment Inc. (NASDAQ: PENN) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $15.33 (+4.14% 1D, market cap $2.06B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PENN ranks #479 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PENN compare to MCRI and XHR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), PENN carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -13.3%. By comparison, MCRI (Monarch Casino & Resort Inc.) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 19.8x, ROIC 18.9%, cap $2.00B) and XHR (Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 30.3x, ROIC 8.5%, cap $1.91B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MCRI leads on earnings multiple (19.8x) while MCRI leads on capital efficiency (18.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PENN?

Per PENN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000921738), PENN Entertainment Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$843.1M in net income, and $508.2M in free cash flow against $14.27B in total assets and $2.85B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PENN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PENN last traded at $15.33 (+4.14% on volume of 2,483,367 shares), positioning the stock -4.66% below its 50-day simple moving average ($16.08) and -8.80% below its 200-day simple moving average ($16.81). Across its 52-week range of $11.65 to $22.36, PENN sits at the 34.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.1% ($14.09 to $16.57).

PENN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is PENN Entertainment Inc. (PENN)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), PENN converted $4.0B of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $508.2M in free cash flow (12.7% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: PENN RQD Cockpit PENN 12M Forecast PENN Earnings & Move PENN Dividends & DRIP PENN Insiders & 13F PENN Whale Options PENN Profit Sankey PENN News & Why