Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / PENN / forecast

MCRI (58) XHR (59) SHO (65) HGV (48) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

PENN Entertainment Inc. (PENN) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$15.33 +4.14% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.42

PENN Entertainment Inc. (PENN) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.06B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on PENN Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PENN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

▼

As of 2026-11-02, PENN Entertainment Inc. (NASDAQ: PENN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $15.33 (+4.14% 1D, market cap $2.06B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PENN ranks #637 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PENN compare to MCRI and XHR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

▼

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), PENN carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -13.3%. By comparison, MCRI (Monarch Casino & Resort Inc.) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 19.8x, ROIC 18.9%, cap $2.00B) and XHR (Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 30.3x, ROIC 8.5%, cap $1.91B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MCRI leads on earnings multiple (19.8x) while MCRI leads on capital efficiency (18.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PENN?

▼

Per PENN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000921738), PENN Entertainment Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$843.1M in net income, and $508.2M in free cash flow against $14.27B in total assets and $2.85B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.42 (+0.56%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 12.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PENN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY PENN SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 12.7% FCF Margin ($508.2M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (49) create a -13 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$15.40-4.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$14.71+1.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$14.90+2.9% Next Q

Current

Grade D$15.33-6.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (54) → D (46)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PENN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PENN currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($16.01) and Max Pain ($16.10) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $23.48.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PENN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “PENN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 46%NO 54%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your PENN Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $15.33: 652.3 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $11.31

$7,378

$-2,622 (-26.2%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $14.50

$9,459

$-541 (-5.4%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $23.48

$15,316

+$5,316 (+53.2%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$15	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$22	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$13	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PENN)

✓Walkthrough of PENN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

PENN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -8.70%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-11-02O $14.72H $15.33L $14.72C $15.33VOL 2.48M

RES: $15.21SUP: $12.28SMA50: $16.01SMA200: $16.81

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PENN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PENN Butterfly Map → + Track PENN →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PENN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PENN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PENN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PENN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #637 of 1011 ⚔️ MCRI vs PENN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (PENN vs. MCRI, XHR, SHO, HGV)

Industry: Hotels/Resorts (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, PENN Entertainment Inc. (PENN) ranks #637 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #413 by equity capitalization ($2.06B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MCRI leads on earnings valuation at 19.8x trailing P/E, while MCRI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.9% ROIC and 23.4% gross margin. SHO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with PENN at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
PENN ACTIVE PENN Entertainment Inc.	D	46/100	—	—	-13.3%	+4.14%	$2.06B	Benchmark Subject
MCRI Monarch Casino & Resort Inc.	D+	58/100	19.8x	23.4%	18.9%	-0.44%	$2.00B	/mcri-vs-penn →
XHR Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc.	C-	59/100	30.3x	30.6%	8.5%	+0.14%	$1.91B	/xhr-vs-penn →
SHO Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc. Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc.	C	65/100	—	—	—	+1.41%	$2.41B	/sho-vs-penn →
HGV Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.	D	48/100	34.3x	—	6.3%	+0.51%	$2.78B	/hgv-vs-penn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000921738

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), PENN Entertainment Inc. (PENN) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 , and -100.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$843.1M, operating cash flow of $508.2M, and free cash flow of $508.2M (+41.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, PENN closed FY2025 with $14.27B in total assets against $2.85B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	-$843.1M	$508.2M	$508.2M	$14.27B	$2.85B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	-$311.5M	$359.3M	$359.3M	$15.26B	$2.73B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$6.36B	-$490.0M	$455.9M	$455.9M	—	—

3. PENN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PENN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does PENN compare to MCRI and XHR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PENN?

Where is PENN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PENN last traded at $15.33 (+4.14% on volume of 2,483,367 shares), positioning the stock -4.25% below its 50-day simple moving average ($16.01) and -8.80% below its 200-day simple moving average ($16.81). Across its 52-week range of $11.65 to $22.36, PENN sits at the 34.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.1% ($14.09 to $16.57).

PENN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is PENN's 12-month stock price target?

PENN Entertainment Inc. (PENN) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $14.5 (-5.4% from $15.33), with a bull-case target of $23.48 and a bear-case floor of $11.31.

Is PENN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates PENN D (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 46/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: PENN RQD Cockpit PENN 12M Forecast PENN Earnings & Move PENN Dividends & DRIP PENN Insiders & 13F PENN Whale Options PENN Profit Sankey PENN News & Why