Stock Ratings / Technology / PDFS / options

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PDF Solutions Inc. (PDFS) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$45.56 +0.15% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $45.49

PDF Solutions Inc. (PDFS) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 43/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.92B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $45.49 (-0.16%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PDFS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (43/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY PDFS SCORES 43/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (33% of score)

Altman Z-Score 8.33 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 72.3% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$54.40-27.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$39.22+0.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$39.32+15.9% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$45.56-6.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (51) → D- (43)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PDFS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PDFS currently carries a cautious 43/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($46.15) and Max Pain ($47.84) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $75.27.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PDFS• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “PDFS Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 43%NO 57%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±12.5%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (PDFS)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for PDFS.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PDFS)

✓Walkthrough of PDFS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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PDFS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +6.32%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $42.61H $45.56L $40.77C $45.56VOL 1.33M

RES: $58.81SUP: $38.44SMA50: $46.15SMA200: $44.61

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PDFS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PDFS Butterfly Map → + Track PDFS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

46.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PDFS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PDFS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PDFS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PDFS)

Technology Rank #505 of 714 ⚔️ AI vs PDFS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (PDFS vs. AI, BL, MQ, NYAX)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, PDF Solutions Inc. (PDFS) ranks #505 by composite RQD confidence (43/100, grade D-) and #296 by equity capitalization ($1.92B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BL leads on earnings valuation at 79.9x trailing P/E, while BL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.6% ROIC and 75.2% gross margin. BL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 55/100 (D+) compared with PDFS at 43/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
PDFS ACTIVE PDF Solutions Inc.	D-	43/100	—	72.3%	1.6%	+0.15%	$1.92B	Benchmark Subject
AI C3.ai Inc.	D-	39/100	—	30.9%	-35.0%	-1.30%	$1.96B	/ai-vs-pdfs →
BL BlackLine Inc.	D+	55/100	79.9x	75.2%	20.6%	-0.24%	$1.96B	/bl-vs-pdfs →
MQ Marqeta Inc. (Class A)	D	45/100	—	70.0%	-35.0%	-0.44%	$1.88B	/mq-vs-pdfs →
NYAX Nayax Ltd.	D	51/100	—	—	—	-0.02%	$1.88B	/nyax-vs-pdfs →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001120914

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), PDF Solutions Inc. (PDFS) reported GAAP revenue of $219.0M (+22.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $179.5M ) , GAAP net income of -$600.0K, operating cash flow of $24.1M, and free cash flow of -$8.6M (-15.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, PDFS closed FY2025 with $418.7M in total assets against $64.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 8.33, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$219.0M	-$600.0K	$24.1M	-$8.6M	$418.7M	$64.8M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$179.5M	$4.1M	$9.7M	-$7.5M	$315.3M	$0
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	$3.1M	$14.6M	$14.6M	—	—

3. PDFS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PDFS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, PDF Solutions Inc. (NASDAQ: PDFS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $45.56 (+0.15% 1D, market cap $1.92B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, PDFS ranks #505 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PDFS compare to AI and BL in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), PDFS carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 72.3%, and ROIC of 1.6%. By comparison, AI (C3.ai Inc.) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.96B) and BL (BlackLine Inc.) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 79.9x, ROIC 20.6%, cap $1.96B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BL leads on earnings multiple (79.9x) while BL leads on capital efficiency (20.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PDFS?

Per PDFS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001120914), PDF Solutions Inc. generated $219.0M in revenue (+22.0% YoY), -$600.0K in net income, and -$8.6M in free cash flow against $418.7M in total assets and $64.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PDFS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PDFS last traded at $45.56 (+0.15% on volume of 543,562 shares), positioning the stock -1.28% below its 50-day simple moving average ($46.15) and +2.13% above its 200-day simple moving average ($44.61). Across its 52-week range of $23.55 to $71.69, PDFS sits at the 45.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($39.86 to $51.26).

PDFS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is PDFS's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for PDFS.

Direct Sub-Reports: PDFS RQD Cockpit PDFS 12M Forecast PDFS Earnings & Move PDFS Dividends & DRIP PDFS Insiders & 13F PDFS Whale Options PDFS Profit Sankey PDFS News & Why