PDF Solutions Inc. (PDFS) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$45.56 +0.15% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $45.49

PDF Solutions Inc. (PDFS) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 43/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $1.92B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $45.49 (-0.16%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D-
025507510043
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- Β· Rk D+
Cash (10)Whales (8)SEC (14)Macro (8)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.8% Base Target
$75 Bull$42 Base$33 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE PDFS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PDFS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (43/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY PDFS SCORES 43/100 (D-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (33% of score)

Altman Z-Score 8.33 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 5/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 72.3% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
51
Grade C-$54.40-27.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
48
Grade D$39.22+0.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
46
Grade D$39.32+15.9% Next Q
Current
43
Grade D-$45.56-6.7% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C- (51) β†’ D- (43)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PDFS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While PDFS currently carries a cautious 43/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($46.15) and Max Pain ($47.84) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $75.27.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PDFSβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œPDFS Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
0.6% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 β€’ REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $102/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PDFS)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of PDFS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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PDFS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +6.32%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $42.61H $45.56L $40.77C $45.56VOL 1.33M
RES: $58.81SUP: $38.44SMA50: $46.15SMA200: $44.61
$74.69$62.27$49.86$37.45$25.04RES $58.81SUP $38.44$45.562026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PDFS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
46.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PDFS today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PDFS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PDFS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PDFS)

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (PDFS vs. AI, BL, MQ, NYAX)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, PDF Solutions Inc. (PDFS) ranks #505 by composite RQD confidence (43/100, grade D-) and #296 by equity capitalization ($1.92B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BL leads on earnings valuation at 79.9x trailing P/E, while BL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.6% ROIC and 75.2% gross margin. BL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 55/100 (D+) compared with PDFS at 43/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PDFS ACTIVE
PDF Solutions Inc.
D- 43/100 β€” 72.3% 1.6% +0.15% $1.92B Benchmark Subject
AI
C3.ai Inc.
D- 39/100 β€” 30.9% -35.0% -1.30% $1.96B /ai-vs-pdfs β†’
BL
BlackLine Inc.
D+ 55/100 79.9x 75.2% 20.6% -0.24% $1.96B /bl-vs-pdfs β†’
MQ
Marqeta Inc. (Class A)
D 45/100 β€” 70.0% -35.0% -0.44% $1.88B /mq-vs-pdfs β†’
NYAX
Nayax Ltd.
D 51/100 β€” β€” β€” -0.02% $1.88B /nyax-vs-pdfs β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001120914

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), PDF Solutions Inc. (PDFS) reported GAAP revenue of $219.0M (+22.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $179.5M ) , GAAP net income of -$600.0K, operating cash flow of $24.1M, and free cash flow of -$8.6M (-15.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, PDFS closed FY2025 with $418.7M in total assets against $64.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 8.33, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $219.0M -$600.0K $24.1M -$8.6M $418.7M $64.8M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $179.5M $4.1M $9.7M -$7.5M $315.3M $0
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $3.1M $14.6M $14.6M β€” β€”

3. PDFS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PDFS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, PDF Solutions Inc. (NASDAQ: PDFS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $45.56 (+0.15% 1D, market cap $1.92B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, PDFS ranks #505 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PDFS compare to AI and BL in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), PDFS carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 72.3%, and ROIC of 1.6%. By comparison, AI (C3.ai Inc.) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.96B) and BL (BlackLine Inc.) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 79.9x, ROIC 20.6%, cap $1.96B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BL leads on earnings multiple (79.9x) while BL leads on capital efficiency (20.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PDFS?

Per PDFS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001120914), PDF Solutions Inc. generated $219.0M in revenue (+22.0% YoY), -$600.0K in net income, and -$8.6M in free cash flow against $418.7M in total assets and $64.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PDFS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PDFS last traded at $45.56 (+0.15% on volume of 543,562 shares), positioning the stock -1.28% below its 50-day simple moving average ($46.15) and +2.13% above its 200-day simple moving average ($44.61). Across its 52-week range of $23.55 to $71.69, PDFS sits at the 45.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($39.86 to $51.26).

PDFS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Does PDFS pay a dividend and is it safe?

PDF Solutions Inc. (PDFS) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 0.6% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

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