MARKET WIREBenzinga • 2d ago
Shares of broader software stocks are trading lower amid broader market weakness as Treasury yields rise, weighing on tech stocks.Why PDFS Stock advanced +0.15% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$45.56 +0.15% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $45.49
PDF Solutions Inc. (PDFS) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 43/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID
Cap $1.92B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $45.49 (-0.16%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.8% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PDFS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (43/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PDFS SCORES 43/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (33% of score)
Altman Z-Score 8.33 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (23% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 72.3% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C-$54.40-27.9% Next Q
51
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$39.22+0.3% Next Q
48
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$39.32+15.9% Next Q
46
CurrentGrade D-$45.56-6.7% Hist 90D α
43
Trajectory: C- (51) → D- (43)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PDFS Turnaround Squeeze
While PDFS currently carries a cautious 43/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($46.15) and Max Pain ($47.84) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $75.27.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PDFS• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PDFS Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why PDFS Stock advanced +0.15% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
PDF Solutions Inc. (PDFS) advanced +0.15% to $45.56, trading at 46% of its 52-week range ($23.55 – $71.69). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (2% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 46% of its 52-week range ($23.55 – $71.69) with RSI-14 at 42 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $45.56 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 72.3% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live PDFS Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRESeekingAlpha • 4d ago
Riverwater Small Cap Strategy Q3 2026 Portfolio UpdateTop contributors include AtriCure and Red Violet; top detractors include Kodiak Gas Services and PDF Solutions. Read more here.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 6d ago
Implied Volatility Surging for PDF Solutions Stock OptionsInvestors need to pay close attention to PDFS stock based on the movements in the options market lately.
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 10d ago
Cohu shares are trading lower after the company reported worse-than-expected Q4 adjusted EPS results.MARKET WIREYahoo • 10d ago
Cass Information Systems (CASS) Surpasses Q3 Earnings and Revenue EstimatesCass (CASS) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +1.25% and +0.77%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
MARKET WIREYahoo • 11d ago
CACI International (CACI) Tops Q1 Earnings EstimatesCACI International (CACI) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +18.76% and -0.92%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
CATALYSTYahoo • 12d ago
PDF Solutions (PDFS) Stock Looks About Right On Its 79% Five Year RunPDF Solutions has had a strong multi‑year share price run, which naturally raises a question for anyone looking at the stock today. Is the current US$41.22 price tag still grounded in what the business is generating in s
MARKET WIREYahoo • 13d ago
PDF Solutions to Report Third Quarter Fiscal 2026 Financial Results on November 5, 2026SANTA CLARA, Calif., Oct. 19, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- PDF Solutions, Inc. (Nasdaq: PDFS), a leading provider of comprehensive data solutions for the semiconductor ecosystem, announced that it will release third quarter
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 13d ago
DA Davidson Maintains Buy on PDF Solutions, Lowers Price Target to $68DA Davidson analyst Clark Wright maintains PDF Solutions (NASDAQ:PDFS) with a Buy and lowers the price target from $74 to $68.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PDFS)
- ✓Walkthrough of PDFS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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PDFS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +6.32%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $42.61H $45.56L $40.77C $45.56VOL 1.33M
RES: $58.81SUP: $38.44SMA50: $46.15SMA200: $44.61
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
PDFS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
46.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PDFS today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PDFS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PDFS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PDFS)
Technology Rank #505 of 714
⚔️ AI vs PDFS Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (PDFS vs. AI, BL, MQ, NYAX)
Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, PDF Solutions Inc. (PDFS) ranks #505 by composite RQD confidence (43/100, grade D-) and #296 by equity capitalization ($1.92B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BL leads on earnings valuation at 79.9x trailing P/E, while BL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.6% ROIC and 75.2% gross margin. BL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 55/100 (D+) compared with PDFS at 43/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PDFS
ACTIVE
PDF Solutions Inc. | D- | 43/100 | — | 72.3% | 1.6% | +0.15% | $1.92B | Benchmark Subject |
| AI C3.ai Inc. | D- | 39/100 | — | 30.9% | -35.0% | -1.30% | $1.96B | /ai-vs-pdfs → |
| BL BlackLine Inc. | D+ | 55/100 | 79.9x | 75.2% | 20.6% | -0.24% | $1.96B | /bl-vs-pdfs → |
| MQ Marqeta Inc. (Class A) | D | 45/100 | — | 70.0% | -35.0% | -0.44% | $1.88B | /mq-vs-pdfs → |
| NYAX Nayax Ltd. | D | 51/100 | — | — | — | -0.02% | $1.88B | /nyax-vs-pdfs → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001120914In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), PDF Solutions Inc. (PDFS) reported GAAP revenue of $219.0M (+22.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $179.5M ) , GAAP net income of -$600.0K, operating cash flow of $24.1M, and free cash flow of -$8.6M (-15.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, PDFS closed FY2025 with $418.7M in total assets against $64.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 8.33, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $219.0M | -$600.0K | $24.1M | -$8.6M | $418.7M | $64.8M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $179.5M | $4.1M | $9.7M | -$7.5M | $315.3M | $0 |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | $3.1M | $14.6M | $14.6M | — | — |
3. PDFS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs PDFS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, PDF Solutions Inc. (NASDAQ: PDFS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $45.56 (+0.15% 1D, market cap $1.92B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, PDFS ranks #505 in composite RQD confidence.
How does PDFS compare to AI and BL in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), PDFS carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 72.3%, and ROIC of 1.6%. By comparison, AI (C3.ai Inc.) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.96B) and BL (BlackLine Inc.) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 79.9x, ROIC 20.6%, cap $1.96B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BL leads on earnings multiple (79.9x) while BL leads on capital efficiency (20.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PDFS?
Per PDFS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001120914), PDF Solutions Inc. generated $219.0M in revenue (+22.0% YoY), -$600.0K in net income, and -$8.6M in free cash flow against $418.7M in total assets and $64.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is PDFS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
PDFS last traded at $45.56 (+0.15% on volume of 543,562 shares), positioning the stock -1.28% below its 50-day simple moving average ($46.15) and +2.13% above its 200-day simple moving average ($44.61). Across its 52-week range of $23.55 to $71.69, PDFS sits at the 45.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($39.86 to $51.26).
PDFS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is PDFS stock moving today?
Why PDFS Stock advanced +0.15% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (2% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.