Stock Ratings / Technology / OPXS / earnings

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Optex Systems Holdings Inc. (OPXS) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.5% Move

Q: When is OPXS's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Optex Systems Holdings Inc. (OPXS)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 27, 2026.

Q: How much is OPXS stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±6.5% event move for OPXS, spanning a range between $8.63 and $9.83.

$9.23 +1.32% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.27

Optex Systems Holdings Inc. (OPXS) earns a Roarable Rating of A- (Buy) with 84/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (29% profit margin, 30% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 84/100 (A-) historically ranked in the Top 6% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+8.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 72.6% hit rate) →

ROARABLE A- • STRONG BUY Cap $64.2M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.27 (+0.48%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 20/20 (A+) • 15.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 84/100 (A-) historically ranked in the Top 6% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+8.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 72.6% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSTRONG BUY • A-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw A- · Rk A-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+11.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OPXS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (84/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY OPXS SCORES 84/100 (A-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+20/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 15.6% FCF Margin ($6.4M FCF) & 29.2% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+19/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade A+$10.11-2.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade A$9.82-2.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade A$9.60-3.9% Next Q

Current

Grade A-$9.23+8.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: A+ (92) → A- (84)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the OPXS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 84/100 (A-) score, OPXS faces multiple-compression risk if 12.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 26.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($10.15) or 200D SMA ($11.91) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($10.31) toward Bear Floor ($7.57).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OPXS• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “OPXS Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 84%NO 16%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 27, 2026 (~55 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.5% Swing Band

±$0.60 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

OPXS Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 84/100

Trailing EPS: $0.74 • YoY Revenue Growth: 21.6%

Model Bullish Setup (84/100)Model Risk Weight (16/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-09-28	$41.3M	$5.1M	$6.4M	29.2%
FY 2024	2024-09-29	$34.0M	$3.8M	$1.1M	28%
FY 2023	2023-10-01	$25.7M	$2.3M	-$296.0K	29.2%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating OPXS & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on OPXS
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

OPXS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -14.06%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $9.20H $9.35L $9.14C $9.23VOL 8.6K

RES: $9.93SUP: $8.54SMA50: $10.15SMA200: $11.91

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OPXS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 OPXS Butterfly Map → + Track OPXS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

3.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +21.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OPXS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OPXS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OPXS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OPXS)

Technology Rank #7 of 714 ⚔️ OPTX vs OPXS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (OPXS vs. OPTX, RELL, DCM, MSAI)

Industry: Electronic Components (21 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Optex Systems Holdings Inc. (OPXS) ranks #7 by composite RQD confidence (84/100, grade A-) and #551 by equity capitalization ($64.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OPXS leads on earnings valuation at 12.5x trailing P/E, while OPXS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.8% ROIC and 29.2% gross margin. OPXS currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 84/100 (A-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
OPXS ACTIVE Optex Systems Holdings Inc.	A-	84/100	12.5x	29.2%	29.8%	+1.32%	$64.2M	Benchmark Subject
OPTX Syntec Optics Holdings Inc. (Class A)	D+	54/100	—	23.3%	-2.8%	+0.83%	$294.0M	/optx-vs-opxs →
RELL Richardson Electronics Ltd.	D	47/100	48.8x	31.2%	4.1%	-0.81%	$311.4M	/rell-vs-opxs →
DCM DeFi Capital Markets Inc.	D	46/100	—	16.6%	-35.0%	-6.70%	$10.1M	/dcm-vs-opxs →
MSAI MultiSensor AI Holdings Inc.	E	27/100	—	—	-35.0%	+2.24%	$7.6M	/msai-vs-opxs →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-28 • CIK 0001397016

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-28), Optex Systems Holdings Inc. (OPXS) reported GAAP revenue of $41.3M (+21.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $34.0M , and +61.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $5.1M, operating cash flow of $6.9M, and free cash flow of $6.4M (+485.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, OPXS closed FY2025 with $30.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 10.17, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-09-28	$41.3M	$5.1M	$6.9M	$6.4M	$30.2M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-09-29	$34.0M	$3.8M	$1.8M	$1.1M	$24.8M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-10-01	$25.7M	$2.3M	-$296.0K	-$296.0K	—	—

3. OPXS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OPXS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Optex Systems Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: OPXS) is rated A- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 84/100 at a spot price of $9.23 (+1.32% 1D, market cap $64.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 20/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 19/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, OPXS ranks #7 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OPXS compare to OPTX and RELL in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Electronic Components), OPXS carries a Roarable A- (84/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.5x, gross margin of 29.2%, and ROIC of 29.8%. By comparison, OPTX (Syntec Optics Holdings Inc. (Class A)) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.8%, cap $294.0M) and RELL (Richardson Electronics Ltd.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 48.8x, ROIC 4.1%, cap $311.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OPXS leads on earnings multiple (12.5x) while OPXS leads on capital efficiency (29.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OPXS?

Per OPXS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-28, CIK 0001397016), Optex Systems Holdings Inc. generated $41.3M in revenue (+21.6% YoY), $5.1M in net income, and $6.4M in free cash flow against $30.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (29% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OPXS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OPXS last traded at $9.23 (+1.32% on volume of 6,203 shares), positioning the stock -9.06% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.15) and -22.50% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.91). Across its 52-week range of $9.04 to $17.29, OPXS sits at the 2.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 29.4 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.5% ($8.63 to $9.83).

OPXS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is OPXS's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Optex Systems Holdings Inc. (OPXS)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 27, 2026.

How much is OPXS stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±6.5% event move for OPXS, spanning a range between $8.63 and $9.83.

Direct Sub-Reports: OPXS RQD Cockpit OPXS 12M Forecast OPXS Earnings & Move OPXS Dividends & DRIP OPXS Insiders & 13F OPXS Whale Options OPXS Profit Sankey OPXS News & Why