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Onity Group Inc. (ONIT) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$27.76 +1.72% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $27.79

Onity Group Inc. (ONIT) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $231.9M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $27.79 (+0.12%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ONIT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ONIT SCORES 52/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 10% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 47.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+10/20 pts (19% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±10.9% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 11 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$26.60-3.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$25.59+0.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$25.70+8% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$27.76-1.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (44) → D+ (52)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ONIT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ONIT currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (9/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($30.41) and Max Pain ($29.15) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $56.81.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ONIT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ONIT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 52%NO 48%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

47.930 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

3 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE10% OF RANGE

L: $25$27.76H: $54

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 9 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: DRQD 20 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on ONIT

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (45)

30.2% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 3/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (55)

20/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 13/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like ONIT

✓Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ONIT)

✓Walkthrough of ONIT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ONIT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -39.67%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $27.69H $28.30L $27.40C $27.76VOL 70.9K

RES: $33.34SUP: $23.88SMA50: $30.41SMA200: $37.94

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ONIT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ONIT Butterfly Map → + Track ONIT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +9.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ONIT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ONIT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ONIT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ONIT)

Financials Rank #770 of 1096 ⚔️ BKKT vs ONIT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (ONIT vs. BKKT, DGXX, CNCK, HKD)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Onity Group Inc. (ONIT) ranks #770 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #860 by equity capitalization ($231.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ONIT leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while ONIT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 30.2% ROIC and — gross margin. HKD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with ONIT at 52/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ONIT ACTIVE Onity Group Inc.	D+	52/100	—	—	30.2%	+1.72%	$231.9M	Benchmark Subject
BKKT Bakkt Inc. (Class A)	E	34/100	—	—	-35.0%	-2.87%	$229.0M	/bkkt-vs-onit →
DGXX Digi Power X Inc. Subordinate Voting Shares	E	24/100	—	—	-23.0%	-4.03%	$241.3M	/dgxx-vs-onit →
CNCK Coincheck Group N.V.	D+	57/100	—	—	—	-2.31%	$243.6M	/cnck-vs-onit →
HKD AMTD Digital Inc. (every five of which represent two ) (Class A)	C-	59/100	—	—	—	0.00%	$218.3M	/hkd-vs-onit →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000873860

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Onity Group Inc. (ONIT) reported GAAP revenue of $1.07B (+9.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $976.0M , and 0.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $189.5M, operating cash flow of -$748.0M, and free cash flow of -$750.9M (-30.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, ONIT closed FY2025 with $16.17B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.07B	$189.5M	-$748.0M	-$750.9M	$16.17B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$976.0M	$33.9M	-$573.8M	-$574.6M	$16.44B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.07B	-$63.7M	$10.4M	$10.4M	—	—

3. ONIT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ONIT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Onity Group Inc. (NYSE: ONIT) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $27.76 (+1.72% 1D, market cap $231.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, ONIT ranks #770 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ONIT compare to BKKT and DGXX in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), ONIT carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 30.2%. By comparison, BKKT (Bakkt Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $229.0M) and DGXX (Digi Power X Inc. Subordinate Voting Shares) posts a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -23.0%, cap $241.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ONIT leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ONIT leads on capital efficiency (30.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ONIT?

Per ONIT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000873860), Onity Group Inc. generated $1.07B in revenue (+9.3% YoY), $189.5M in net income, and -$750.9M in free cash flow against $16.17B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ONIT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ONIT last traded at $27.76 (+1.72% on volume of 87,463 shares), positioning the stock -8.71% below its 50-day simple moving average ($30.41) and -26.83% below its 200-day simple moving average ($37.94). Across its 52-week range of $24.86 to $54.10, ONIT sits at the 9.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.9% ($24.73 to $30.79).

ONIT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell ONIT stock right now?

Onity Group Inc. (ONIT) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 52/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (30% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is ONIT's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

ONIT's 12-month base price target is $27.01 (range $21.07 to $56.81), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: ONIT RQD Cockpit ONIT 12M Forecast ONIT Earnings & Move ONIT Dividends & DRIP ONIT Insiders & 13F ONIT Whale Options ONIT Profit Sankey ONIT News & Why