CPSS (63) LIEN (46) BKKT (34) BGIN (39) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

AMTD Digital Inc. (every five of which represent two ) (Class A) (HKD) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$1.73 0.00% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.73

AMTD Digital Inc. (every five of which represent two ) (Class A) (HKD) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $218.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.73 (-0.19%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 10.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HKD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY HKD SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 29% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 43.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$1.73-2.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$1.68+2.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$1.72+0.6% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$1.73+0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (51) → C- (59)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the HKD Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, HKD faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($1.70) or 200D SMA ($1.65) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($1.74) toward Bear Floor ($1.36).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HKD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “HKD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 29, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 59%NO 41%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

43.330 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

5 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE29% OF RANGE

L: $1$1.73H: $3

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: C+RQD 27 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on HKD

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (50)

14.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 6.56% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (60)

22/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 14/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like HKD

✓Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (HKD Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

HKD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +4.22%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $1.70H $1.73L $1.62C $1.73VOL 218.4K

RES: $1.84SUP: $1.63SMA50: $1.70SMA200: $1.65

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HKD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 HKD Butterfly Map → + Track HKD →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HKD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HKD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HKD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HKD)

Financials Rank #576 of 1096 ⚔️ CPSS vs HKD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (HKD vs. CPSS, LIEN, BKKT, BGIN)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AMTD Digital Inc. (every five of which represent two ) (Class A) (HKD) ranks #576 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #872 by equity capitalization ($218.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LIEN leads on earnings valuation at 6.3x trailing P/E, while LIEN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.0% ROIC and — gross margin. CPSS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with HKD at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
HKD ACTIVE AMTD Digital Inc. (every five of which represent two ) (Class A)	C-	59/100	—	—	—	0.00%	$218.3M	Benchmark Subject
CPSS Consumer Portfolio Services Inc.	C	63/100	11.3x	—	6.2%	+1.32%	$218.2M	/cpss-vs-hkd →
LIEN Chicago Atlantic BDC Inc.	D	46/100	6.3x	—	11.0%	+0.33%	$208.8M	/lien-vs-hkd →
BKKT Bakkt Inc. (Class A)	E	34/100	—	—	-35.0%	-2.87%	$229.0M	/bkkt-vs-hkd →
BGIN Bgin Blockchain Limited (Class A)	D-	39/100	—	—	-35.0%	+1.68%	$205.9M	/bgin-vs-hkd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-10-31 • CIK 0001809691

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-10-31), AMTD Digital Inc. (every five of which represent two ) (Class A) (HKD) reported GAAP revenue of $136.1M (+565.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $20.4M , and +1034.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $97.0M, operating cash flow of $14.4M, and free cash flow of $14.3M (+250.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, HKD closed FY2025 with $955.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-10-31	$136.1M	$97.0M	$14.4M	$14.3M	$955.4M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-10-31	$20.4M	$41.7M	$4.2M	$4.1M	—	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-10-31	$12.0M	$0	—	—	—	—

3. HKD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HKD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, AMTD Digital Inc. (every five of which represent two ) (Class A) (NYSE: HKD) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $1.73 (0.00% 1D, market cap $218.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, HKD ranks #576 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HKD compare to CPSS and LIEN in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), HKD carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, CPSS (Consumer Portfolio Services Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 11.3x, ROIC 6.2%, cap $218.2M) and LIEN (Chicago Atlantic BDC Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 6.3x, ROIC 11.0%, cap $208.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LIEN leads on earnings multiple (6.3x) while LIEN leads on capital efficiency (11.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HKD?

Per HKD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-10-31, CIK 0001809691), AMTD Digital Inc. (every five of which represent two ) (Class A) generated $136.1M in revenue (+565.7% YoY), $97.0M in net income, and $14.3M in free cash flow against $955.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HKD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HKD last traded at $1.73 (0.00% on volume of 65,358 shares), positioning the stock +1.76% above its 50-day simple moving average ($1.70) and +4.85% above its 200-day simple moving average ($1.65). Across its 52-week range of $1.26 to $2.90, HKD sits at the 28.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.7% ($1.60 to $1.86).

HKD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell HKD stock right now?

AMTD Digital Inc. (every five of which represent two ) (Class A) (HKD) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold — HOLD) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. Solid steady margins (steady margins), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is HKD's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

HKD's 12-month base price target is $1.74 (range $1.36 to $3.04), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: HKD RQD Cockpit HKD 12M Forecast HKD Earnings & Move HKD Dividends & DRIP HKD Insiders & 13F HKD Whale Options HKD Profit Sankey HKD News & Why