Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / ONEW / insiders

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OneWater Marine Inc. (Class A) (ONEW) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$9.58 +1.48% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.59

OneWater Marine Inc. (Class A) (ONEW) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 38/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $159.7M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.59 (+0.08%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 4.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ONEW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (38/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ONEW SCORES 38/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 4.3% FCF Margin ($79.7M FCF) & 22.8% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$9.35+1.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$9.45-0.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$9.37+2.2% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$9.58-7.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (30) → D- (38)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ONEW Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ONEW currently carries a cautious 38/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.25) and Max Pain ($10.06) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $16.50.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ONEW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ONEW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 38%NO 62%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

ONEW Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (ONEW)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on ONEW. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ONEW)

✓Walkthrough of ONEW's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ONEW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.02%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $9.59H $9.70L $9.26C $9.58VOL 125.6K

RES: $11.23SUP: $8.39SMA50: $10.25SMA200: $11.08

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ONEW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ONEW Butterfly Map → + Track ONEW →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ONEW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ONEW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ONEW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ONEW)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #856 of 1011 ⚔️ PRTS vs ONEW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ONEW vs. PRTS, HZO, AAP, AZO)

Industry: Auto & Home Supply Stores (6 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, OneWater Marine Inc. (Class A) (ONEW) ranks #856 by composite RQD confidence (38/100, grade D-) and #721 by equity capitalization ($159.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AZO leads on earnings valuation at 20.2x trailing P/E, while AZO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 55.8% ROIC and 52.6% gross margin. AZO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with ONEW at 38/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ONEW ACTIVE OneWater Marine Inc. (Class A)	D-	38/100	—	22.8%	-11.2%	+1.48%	$159.7M	Benchmark Subject
PRTS CarParts.com Inc.	D-	35/100	—	32.8%	-35.0%	+5.25%	$69.5M	/prts-vs-onew →
HZO MarineMax Inc. (FL)	D	50/100	—	32.5%	2.4%	+0.17%	$1.16B	/hzo-vs-onew →
AAP Advance Auto Parts Inc.	E	28/100	62.8x	43.4%	-1.4%	+0.31%	$2.76B	/aap-vs-onew →
AZO AutoZone Inc.	C+	67/100	20.2x	52.6%	55.8%	-0.62%	$50.49B	/azo-vs-onew →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001772921

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), OneWater Marine Inc. (Class A) (ONEW) reported GAAP revenue of $1.87B (+5.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.77B , and -3.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$114.6M, operating cash flow of $91.8M, and free cash flow of $79.7M (+793.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, ONEW closed FY2025 with $1.44B in total assets against $325.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.30, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-09-30	$1.87B	-$114.6M	$91.8M	$79.7M	$1.44B	$325.8M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-09-30	$1.77B	-$5.7M	$34.8M	$8.9M	$1.61B	$412.6M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-09-30	$1.94B	-$38.6M	-$129.8M	-$129.8M	—	—

3. ONEW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ONEW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, OneWater Marine Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: ONEW) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $9.58 (+1.48% 1D, market cap $159.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ONEW ranks #856 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ONEW compare to PRTS and HZO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto & Home Supply Stores), ONEW carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 22.8%, and ROIC of -11.2%. By comparison, PRTS (CarParts.com Inc.) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $69.5M) and HZO (MarineMax Inc. (FL)) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.4%, cap $1.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AZO leads on earnings multiple (20.2x) while AZO leads on capital efficiency (55.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ONEW?

Per ONEW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001772921), OneWater Marine Inc. (Class A) generated $1.87B in revenue (+5.6% YoY), -$114.6M in net income, and $79.7M in free cash flow against $1.44B in total assets and $325.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ONEW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ONEW last traded at $9.58 (+1.48% on volume of 167,710 shares), positioning the stock -6.54% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.25) and -13.54% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.08). Across its 52-week range of $8.12 to $15.71, ONEW sits at the 19.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($8.38 to $10.78).

ONEW Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are ONEW insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies ONEW leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

Direct Sub-Reports: ONEW RQD Cockpit ONEW 12M Forecast ONEW Earnings & Move ONEW Dividends & DRIP ONEW Insiders & 13F ONEW Whale Options ONEW Profit Sankey ONEW News & Why