Stock Ratings / Consumer Staples / OFRM / dividends

SMPL (63) BRBR (75) SENEA (51) SENEB (57) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Once Upon a Farm PBC (OFRM) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$15.97 -1.72% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.89

Once Upon a Farm PBC (OFRM) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $670.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.89 (-0.50%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OFRM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (56/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY OFRM SCORES 56/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 15% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 35.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$16.94+2.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$17.36-8.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$15.92+0.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$15.97-0.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (64) → D+ (56)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the OFRM Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, OFRM faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($16.61) or 200D SMA ($17.49) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($15.83) toward Bear Floor ($12.35).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OFRM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “OFRM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 56%NO 44%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

1.8% Total Yield

0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

0% (100% Reinvested)

Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (6.8% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $19,307

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $348/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$10.7K

Yr 1

$11.4K

Yr 2

$12.2K

Yr 3

$13.0K

Yr 4

$13.9K

Yr 5

$14.8K

Yr 6

$15.8K

Yr 7

$16.9K

Yr 8

$18.1K

Yr 9

$19.3K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OFRM)

✓Walkthrough of OFRM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

OFRM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +4.72%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $16.23H $16.23L $15.00C $15.97VOL 385.0K

RES: $17.92SUP: $15.63SMA50: $16.61SMA200: $17.49

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OFRM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 OFRM Butterfly Map → + Track OFRM →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OFRM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OFRM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OFRM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OFRM)

Consumer Staples Rank #73 of 146 ⚔️ SMPL vs OFRM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (OFRM vs. SMPL, BRBR, SENEA, SENEB)

Industry: Packaged Foods (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Once Upon a Farm PBC (OFRM) ranks #73 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #78 by equity capitalization ($670.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BRBR leads on earnings valuation at 4.9x trailing P/E, while BRBR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 46.3% ROIC and 33.3% gross margin. BRBR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with OFRM at 56/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
OFRM ACTIVE Once Upon a Farm PBC	D+	56/100	—	—	—	-1.72%	$670.6M	Benchmark Subject
SMPL The Simply Good Foods Company	C	63/100	8.9x	36.2%	6.4%	-1.66%	$925.9M	/smpl-vs-ofrm →
BRBR BellRing Brands Inc.	B	75/100	4.9x	33.3%	46.3%	-2.48%	$1.05B	/brbr-vs-ofrm →
SENEA Seneca Foods Corp. (Class A)	D	51/100	9.4x	—	16.1%	+1.54%	$1.08B	/senea-vs-ofrm →
SENEB Seneca Foods Corp. (Class B)	D+	57/100	9.4x	—	16.1%	0.00%	$1.08B	/seneb-vs-ofrm →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001696556

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Once Upon a Farm PBC (OFRM) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, OFRM closed FY2025 with $116.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$0	—	—	$116.4M	—

3. OFRM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OFRM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Once Upon a Farm PBC (NYSE: OFRM) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $15.97 (-1.72% 1D, market cap $670.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, OFRM ranks #73 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OFRM compare to SMPL and BRBR in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), OFRM carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, SMPL (The Simply Good Foods Company) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 8.9x, ROIC 6.4%, cap $925.9M) and BRBR (BellRing Brands Inc.) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 4.9x, ROIC 46.3%, cap $1.05B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BRBR leads on earnings multiple (4.9x) while BRBR leads on capital efficiency (46.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OFRM?

Per OFRM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001696556), Once Upon a Farm PBC generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $116.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OFRM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OFRM last traded at $15.97 (-1.72% on volume of 207,372 shares), positioning the stock -3.85% below its 50-day simple moving average ($16.61) and -8.69% below its 200-day simple moving average ($17.49). Across its 52-week range of $14.00 to $27.00, OFRM sits at the 15.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.8% ($14.40 to $17.54).

OFRM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does OFRM pay a dividend and is it safe?

Once Upon a Farm PBC (OFRM) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

Direct Sub-Reports: OFRM RQD Cockpit OFRM 12M Forecast OFRM Earnings & Move OFRM Dividends & DRIP OFRM Insiders & 13F OFRM Whale Options OFRM Profit Sankey OFRM News & Why