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Orion S.A. (OEC) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$5.54 +1.28% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Orion S.A. (OEC) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $313.1M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OEC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.1%

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

49.530 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

4 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE28% OF RANGE

L: $4$5.54H: $9

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (20% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: CRQD 13 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 17 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on OEC

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (65)

2.2% ROIC with 19.9% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (55)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (47)

17/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 11/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like OEC

✓Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OEC)

✓Walkthrough of OEC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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OEC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -26.33%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $5.53H $5.60L $5.43C $5.54VOL 280.6K

RES: $7.59SUP: $4.94SMA50: $5.79SMA200: $6.39

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OEC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 OEC Butterfly Map → + Track OEC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

31.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OEC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OEC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OEC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OEC)

Materials Rank #139 of 270 ⚔️ ASPI vs OEC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (OEC vs. ASPI, GEVO, NL, ALTO)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Orion S.A. (OEC) ranks #139 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #200 by equity capitalization ($313.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OEC leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while NL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 3.4% ROIC and 30.4% gross margin. OEC currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 52/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
OEC ACTIVE Orion S.A.	D+	52/100	—	19.9%	2.2%	+1.28%	$313.1M	Benchmark Subject
ASPI ASP Isotopes Inc.	D-	38/100	—	14.3%	-35.0%	+4.93%	$326.5M	/aspi-vs-oec →
GEVO Gevo Inc.	E	29/100	—	—	-2.9%	-0.82%	$299.2M	/gevo-vs-oec →
NL NLI Holdings Inc.	D	44/100	—	30.4%	3.4%	-0.71%	$341.8M	/nl-vs-oec →
ALTO Alto Ingredients Inc.	D	48/100	—	3.8%	2.0%	-0.27%	$283.1M	/alto-vs-oec →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001609804

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Orion S.A. (OEC) reported GAAP revenue of $1.81B (-3.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.88B , and -4.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$70.0M, operating cash flow of $215.8M, and free cash flow of $215.8M (+72.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, OEC closed FY2025 with $1.91B in total assets against $674.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.81B	-$70.0M	$215.8M	$215.8M	$1.91B	$674.5M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.88B	$44.0M	$125.3M	$125.3M	$1.86B	$647.0M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.89B	$104.0M	$345.9M	$345.9M	—	—

3. OEC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OEC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Orion S.A. (NYSE: OEC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $5.54 (+1.28% 1D, market cap $313.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, OEC ranks #139 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OEC compare to ASPI and GEVO in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), OEC carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 19.9%, and ROIC of 2.2%. By comparison, ASPI (ASP Isotopes Inc.) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $326.5M) and GEVO (Gevo Inc.) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.9%, cap $299.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OEC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NL leads on capital efficiency (3.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OEC?

Per OEC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001609804), Orion S.A. generated $1.81B in revenue (-3.8% YoY), -$70.0M in net income, and $215.8M in free cash flow against $1.91B in total assets and $674.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OEC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OEC last traded at $5.54 (+1.28% on volume of 403,926 shares), positioning the stock -4.32% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.79) and -13.30% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.39). Across its 52-week range of $4.35 to $8.64, OEC sits at the 27.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.1% ($5.04 to $6.04).

OEC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell OEC stock right now?

Orion S.A. (OEC) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 52/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (2% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is OEC's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

OEC's 12-month base price target is $5.39 (range $4.2 to $9.07), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: OEC RQD Cockpit OEC 12M Forecast OEC Earnings & Move OEC Dividends & DRIP OEC Insiders & 13F OEC Whale Options OEC Profit Sankey OEC News & Why