NexPoint Residential Trust Inc. (NXRT) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$18.32 +2.75% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.38

NexPoint Residential Trust Inc. (NXRT) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $468.1M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NXRT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, NexPoint Residential Trust Inc. (NYSE: NXRT) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $18.32 (+2.75% 1D, market cap $468.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, NXRT ranks #767 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NXRT compare to ILPT and FBRT in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), NXRT carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 7.8%. By comparison, ILPT (Industrial Logistics Properties Trust of) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -13.5%, cap $467.5M) and FBRT (Franklin BSP Realty Trust Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 5.5x, ROIC 5.8%, cap $466.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FBRT leads on earnings multiple (5.5x) while NXRT leads on capital efficiency (7.8% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NXRT?
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Per NXRT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001620393), NexPoint Residential Trust Inc. generated $251.3M in revenue (-3.2% YoY), -$32.2M in net income, and $83.6M in free cash flow against $1.89B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.37 (+0.30%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) β€’ 33.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 50.1% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D+
025507510052
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk D
Cash (13)Whales (10)SEC (8)Macro (12)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.7% Base Target
$34 Bull$18 Base$14 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE NXRT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NXRT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±8.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY NXRT SCORES 52/100 (D+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 33.3% FCF Margin ($83.6M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 5% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 39.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 12 pts from forensic ceiling

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
60
Grade C$19.35-5.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
57
Grade C$18.37+2.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
55
Grade C$18.76-2.3% Next Q
Current
52
Grade D+$18.32-1.1% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (60) β†’ D+ (52)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NXRT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While NXRT currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($20.77) and Max Pain ($19.24) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $33.98.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NXRTβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œNXRT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

NXRT Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (NXRT)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on NXRT. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NXRT)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of NXRT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NXRT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -36.59%β–Ό DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $18.58H $18.65L $17.98C $18.32VOL 229.2K
RES: $27.40SUP: $16.08SMA50: $20.77SMA200: $25.91
$31.38$27.65$23.92$20.19$16.46RES $27.40SUP $16.08$18.322026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NXRT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
14.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NXRT today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NXRT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NXRT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NXRT)

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (NXRT vs. ILPT, FBRT, FVR, TRTX)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, NexPoint Residential Trust Inc. (NXRT) ranks #767 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #719 by equity capitalization ($468.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FBRT leads on earnings valuation at 5.5x trailing P/E, while NXRT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.8% ROIC and β€” gross margin. TRTX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with NXRT at 52/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NXRT ACTIVE
NexPoint Residential Trust Inc.
D+ 52/100 β€” β€” 7.8% +2.75% $468.1M Benchmark Subject
ILPT
Industrial Logistics Properties Trust of
D+ 54/100 β€” β€” -13.5% -4.90% $467.5M /ilpt-vs-nxrt β†’
FBRT
Franklin BSP Realty Trust Inc.
C 63/100 5.5x β€” 5.8% -2.84% $466.1M /fbrt-vs-nxrt β†’
FVR
FrontView REIT Inc.
D 49/100 β€” β€” -1.2% +4.27% $453.4M /fvr-vs-nxrt β†’
TRTX
TPG RE Finance Trust Inc.
C 64/100 8.1x β€” 5.6% -1.08% $486.8M /trtx-vs-nxrt β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001620393

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), NexPoint Residential Trust Inc. (NXRT) reported GAAP revenue of $251.3M (-3.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $259.7M , and -9.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$32.2M, operating cash flow of $83.6M, and free cash flow of $83.6M (+13.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, NXRT closed FY2025 with $1.89B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $251.3M -$32.2M $83.6M $83.6M $1.89B β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $259.7M $1.1M $73.6M $73.6M $1.91B β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $277.5M $44.4M $96.6M $96.6M β€” β€”

3. NXRT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NXRT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, NexPoint Residential Trust Inc. (NYSE: NXRT) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $18.32 (+2.75% 1D, market cap $468.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, NXRT ranks #767 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NXRT compare to ILPT and FBRT in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), NXRT carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 7.8%. By comparison, ILPT (Industrial Logistics Properties Trust of) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -13.5%, cap $467.5M) and FBRT (Franklin BSP Realty Trust Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 5.5x, ROIC 5.8%, cap $466.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FBRT leads on earnings multiple (5.5x) while NXRT leads on capital efficiency (7.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NXRT?

Per NXRT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001620393), NexPoint Residential Trust Inc. generated $251.3M in revenue (-3.2% YoY), -$32.2M in net income, and $83.6M in free cash flow against $1.89B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NXRT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NXRT last traded at $18.32 (+2.75% on volume of 421,170 shares), positioning the stock -11.80% below its 50-day simple moving average ($20.77) and -29.29% below its 200-day simple moving average ($25.91). Across its 52-week range of $17.62 to $32.36, NXRT sits at the 4.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±8.3% ($16.80 to $19.84).

NXRT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Are NXRT insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies NXRT leadership and institutional positioning as: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING.

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