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NexPoint Residential Trust Inc. (NXRT) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$18.32 +2.75% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.38

NexPoint Residential Trust Inc. (NXRT) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $468.1M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NXRT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NXRT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, NexPoint Residential Trust Inc. (NYSE: NXRT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $18.32 (+2.75% 1D, market cap $468.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, NXRT ranks #921 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NXRT compare to ILPT and FBRT in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), NXRT carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 7.8%. By comparison, ILPT (Industrial Logistics Properties Trust of) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -13.5%, cap $467.5M) and FBRT (Franklin BSP Realty Trust Inc.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 5.5x, ROIC 5.8%, cap $466.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FBRT leads on earnings multiple (5.5x) while NXRT leads on capital efficiency (7.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NXRT?

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Per NXRT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001620393), NexPoint Residential Trust Inc. generated $251.3M in revenue (-3.2% YoY), -$32.2M in net income, and $83.6M in free cash flow against $1.89B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.37 (+0.30%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 33.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NXRT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (41/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NXRT SCORES 41/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (32% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 33.3% FCF Margin ($83.6M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+9/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 45% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$19.44-7.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$17.94+4.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$18.68-1.9% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$18.32-7.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (49) → D- (41)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NXRT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NXRT currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($20.64) and Max Pain ($19.24) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $33.98.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NXRT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NXRT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 41%NO 59%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

42.130 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

3 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE5% OF RANGE

L: $18$18.32H: $32

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: CRQD 13 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 12 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 16 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on NXRT

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (65)

7.8% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 17.86% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (40)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 3/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (33)

12/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 8/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like NXRT

✓Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NXRT)

✓Walkthrough of NXRT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

NXRT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -37.17%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-02O $17.83H $18.32L $17.83C $18.32VOL 421.2K

SUP: $15.97SMA50: $20.64SMA200: $25.84

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NXRT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NXRT Butterfly Map → + Track NXRT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

14.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NXRT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NXRT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NXRT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NXRT)

Financials Rank #921 of 1096 ⚔️ ILPT vs NXRT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (NXRT vs. ILPT, FBRT, FVR, TRTX)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, NexPoint Residential Trust Inc. (NXRT) ranks #921 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #719 by equity capitalization ($468.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FBRT leads on earnings valuation at 5.5x trailing P/E, while NXRT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.8% ROIC and — gross margin. ILPT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 51/100 (D) compared with NXRT at 41/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NXRT ACTIVE NexPoint Residential Trust Inc.	D-	41/100	—	—	7.8%	+2.75%	$468.1M	Benchmark Subject
ILPT Industrial Logistics Properties Trust of	D	51/100	—	—	-13.5%	-4.90%	$467.5M	/ilpt-vs-nxrt →
FBRT Franklin BSP Realty Trust Inc.	D	50/100	5.5x	—	5.8%	-2.84%	$466.1M	/fbrt-vs-nxrt →
FVR FrontView REIT Inc.	D	45/100	—	—	-1.2%	+4.27%	$453.4M	/fvr-vs-nxrt →
TRTX TPG RE Finance Trust Inc.	D	51/100	8.1x	—	5.6%	-1.08%	$486.8M	/trtx-vs-nxrt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001620393

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), NexPoint Residential Trust Inc. (NXRT) reported GAAP revenue of $251.3M (-3.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $259.7M , and -9.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$32.2M, operating cash flow of $83.6M, and free cash flow of $83.6M (+13.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, NXRT closed FY2025 with $1.89B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$251.3M	-$32.2M	$83.6M	$83.6M	$1.89B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$259.7M	$1.1M	$73.6M	$73.6M	$1.91B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$277.5M	$44.4M	$96.6M	$96.6M	—	—

3. NXRT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NXRT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does NXRT compare to ILPT and FBRT in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NXRT?

Where is NXRT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NXRT last traded at $18.32 (+2.75% on volume of 421,170 shares), positioning the stock -11.24% below its 50-day simple moving average ($20.64) and -29.10% below its 200-day simple moving average ($25.84). Across its 52-week range of $17.62 to $32.36, NXRT sits at the 4.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.3% ($16.80 to $19.84).

NXRT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell NXRT stock right now?

NexPoint Residential Trust Inc. (NXRT) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 41/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (8% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is NXRT's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

NXRT's 12-month base price target is $16.92 (range $13.2 to $33.98), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: NXRT RQD Cockpit NXRT 12M Forecast NXRT Earnings & Move NXRT Dividends & DRIP NXRT Insiders & 13F NXRT Whale Options NXRT Profit Sankey NXRT News & Why