Stock Ratings / Technology / NTCT / options

CARG (90) FIVN (59) LFTO (57) KD (51) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

NetScout Systems Inc. (NTCT) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$39.35 -0.45% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $39.24

NetScout Systems Inc. (NTCT) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.86B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $39.24 (-0.27%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 33.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NTCT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NTCT SCORES 64/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.28 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 33.2% FCF Margin ($285.4M FCF) & 79.4% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B$40.69-6.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$38.07+4.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$39.67-0.8% Next Q

Current

Grade C$39.35+1.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B (72) → C (64)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NTCT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, NTCT faces multiple-compression risk if 30.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 76.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($38.96) or 200D SMA ($36.36) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($40.41) toward Bear Floor ($31.52).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NTCT• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NTCT Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 64%NO 36%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±6.5%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (NTCT)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for NTCT.

Sponsored / Partner SpotlightACTIVE TRADER & PROP EVALUATION DESK

Practice in Our Weekly $100,000 Paper Arena Before Risking Personal Capital

Keep your personal nest egg in cash while trading NQ, ES, Crude, and Gold momentum using institutional prop-desk buying power.

FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

🏆 Enter Free $100K Paper Arena →

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating NTCT & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on NTCT
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

NTCT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +16.77%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $38.76H $39.35L $37.79C $39.35VOL 523.7K

RES: $43.12SUP: $33.70SMA50: $38.96SMA200: $36.36

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NTCT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NTCT Butterfly Map → + Track NTCT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

23.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NTCT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NTCT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NTCT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NTCT)

Technology Rank #190 of 714 ⚔️ CARG vs NTCT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (NTCT vs. CARG, FIVN, LFTO, KD)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, NetScout Systems Inc. (NTCT) ranks #190 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #258 by equity capitalization ($2.86B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CARG leads on earnings valuation at 18.6x trailing P/E, while CARG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 92.8% gross margin. CARG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 90/100 (A) compared with NTCT at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NTCT ACTIVE NetScout Systems Inc.	C	64/100	30.0x	79.4%	7.9%	-0.45%	$2.86B	Benchmark Subject
CARG CarGurus Inc. (Class A)	A	90/100	18.6x	92.8%	85.0%	+3.77%	$2.89B	/carg-vs-ntct →
FIVN Five9 Inc.	C-	59/100	70.9x	55.1%	4.1%	-0.58%	$2.80B	/fivn-vs-ntct →
LFTO Liftoff Mobile Inc.	D+	57/100	—	—	—	-0.87%	$2.71B	/lfto-vs-ntct →
KD Kyndryl Holdings Inc.	D	51/100	—	21.8%	—	-1.06%	$3.04B	/kd-vs-ntct →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0001078075

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), NetScout Systems Inc. (NTCT) reported GAAP revenue of $859.5M (+4.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $822.7M , and +3.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $95.5M, operating cash flow of $294.5M, and free cash flow of $285.4M (+34.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, NTCT closed FY2025 with $2.32B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.28, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-03-31	$859.5M	$95.5M	$294.5M	$285.4M	$2.32B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2025-03-31	$822.7M	-$366.9M	$217.7M	$212.3M	$2.17B	$75.0M
FY2023 (FY)	2024-03-31	$829.5M	-$147.7M	$58.8M	$58.8M	—	—

3. NTCT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NTCT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, NetScout Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: NTCT) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $39.35 (-0.45% 1D, market cap $2.86B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, NTCT ranks #190 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NTCT compare to CARG and FIVN in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), NTCT carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 30.0x, gross margin of 79.4%, and ROIC of 7.9%. By comparison, CARG (CarGurus Inc. (Class A)) holds a A grade (90/100 RQD, P/E 18.6x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $2.89B) and FIVN (Five9 Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 70.9x, ROIC 4.1%, cap $2.80B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CARG leads on earnings multiple (18.6x) while CARG leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NTCT?

Per NTCT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001078075), NetScout Systems Inc. generated $859.5M in revenue (+4.5% YoY), $95.5M in net income, and $285.4M in free cash flow against $2.32B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (79% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NTCT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NTCT last traded at $39.35 (-0.45% on volume of 384,526 shares), positioning the stock +1.00% above its 50-day simple moving average ($38.96) and +8.22% above its 200-day simple moving average ($36.36). Across its 52-week range of $25.29 to $45.28, NTCT sits at the 70.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.5% ($36.79 to $41.91).