Stock Ratings / Technology / NTCT / earnings

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NetScout Systems Inc. (NTCT) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.5% Move

$39.35 -0.45% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $39.24

NetScout Systems Inc. (NTCT) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.86B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $39.24 (-0.27%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 33.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NTCT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NTCT SCORES 64/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.28 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 33.2% FCF Margin ($285.4M FCF) & 79.4% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B$40.69-6.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$38.07+4.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$39.67-0.8% Next Q

Current

Grade C$39.35+1.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B (72) → C (64)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NTCT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, NTCT faces multiple-compression risk if 30.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 76.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($38.96) or 200D SMA ($36.36) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($40.41) toward Bear Floor ($31.52).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NTCT• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NTCT Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 64%NO 36%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 29, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.5% Swing Band

±$2.56 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

NTCT Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 64/100

Trailing EPS: $1.31 • YoY Revenue Growth: 4.5%

Model Bullish Setup (64/100)Model Risk Weight (36/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2026-03-31	$859.5M	$95.5M	$285.4M	79.4%
FY 2024	2025-03-31	$822.7M	-$366.9M	$212.3M	78.3%
FY 2023	2024-03-31	$829.5M	-$147.7M	$58.8M	79.4%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating NTCT & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on NTCT
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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NTCT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +16.77%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $38.76H $39.35L $37.79C $39.35VOL 523.7K

RES: $43.12SUP: $33.70SMA50: $38.96SMA200: $36.36

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NTCT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NTCT Butterfly Map → + Track NTCT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

23.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NTCT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NTCT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NTCT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NTCT)

Technology Rank #190 of 714 ⚔️ CARG vs NTCT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (NTCT vs. CARG, FIVN, LFTO, KD)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, NetScout Systems Inc. (NTCT) ranks #190 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #258 by equity capitalization ($2.86B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CARG leads on earnings valuation at 18.6x trailing P/E, while CARG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 92.8% gross margin. CARG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 90/100 (A) compared with NTCT at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NTCT ACTIVE NetScout Systems Inc.	C	64/100	30.0x	79.4%	7.9%	-0.45%	$2.86B	Benchmark Subject
CARG CarGurus Inc. (Class A)	A	90/100	18.6x	92.8%	85.0%	+3.77%	$2.89B	/carg-vs-ntct →
FIVN Five9 Inc.	C-	59/100	70.9x	55.1%	4.1%	-0.58%	$2.80B	/fivn-vs-ntct →
LFTO Liftoff Mobile Inc.	D+	57/100	—	—	—	-0.87%	$2.71B	/lfto-vs-ntct →
KD Kyndryl Holdings Inc.	D	51/100	—	21.8%	—	-1.06%	$3.04B	/kd-vs-ntct →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0001078075

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), NetScout Systems Inc. (NTCT) reported GAAP revenue of $859.5M (+4.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $822.7M , and +3.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $95.5M, operating cash flow of $294.5M, and free cash flow of $285.4M (+34.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, NTCT closed FY2025 with $2.32B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.28, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-03-31	$859.5M	$95.5M	$294.5M	$285.4M	$2.32B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2025-03-31	$822.7M	-$366.9M	$217.7M	$212.3M	$2.17B	$75.0M
FY2023 (FY)	2024-03-31	$829.5M	-$147.7M	$58.8M	$58.8M	—	—

3. NTCT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NTCT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, NetScout Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: NTCT) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $39.35 (-0.45% 1D, market cap $2.86B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, NTCT ranks #190 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NTCT compare to CARG and FIVN in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), NTCT carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 30.0x, gross margin of 79.4%, and ROIC of 7.9%. By comparison, CARG (CarGurus Inc. (Class A)) holds a A grade (90/100 RQD, P/E 18.6x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $2.89B) and FIVN (Five9 Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 70.9x, ROIC 4.1%, cap $2.80B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CARG leads on earnings multiple (18.6x) while CARG leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NTCT?

Per NTCT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001078075), NetScout Systems Inc. generated $859.5M in revenue (+4.5% YoY), $95.5M in net income, and $285.4M in free cash flow against $2.32B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (79% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NTCT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NTCT last traded at $39.35 (-0.45% on volume of 384,526 shares), positioning the stock +1.00% above its 50-day simple moving average ($38.96) and +8.22% above its 200-day simple moving average ($36.36). Across its 52-week range of $25.29 to $45.28, NTCT sits at the 70.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.5% ($36.79 to $41.91).

NTCT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is NTCT's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, NetScout Systems Inc. (NTCT)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 29, 2026.

How much is NTCT stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±6.5% event move for NTCT, spanning a range between $36.79 and $41.91.

Direct Sub-Reports: NTCT RQD Cockpit NTCT 12M Forecast NTCT Earnings & Move NTCT Dividends & DRIP NTCT Insiders & 13F NTCT Whale Options NTCT Profit Sankey NTCT News & Why