Stock Ratings / Real Estate / NRDY / financials

CHGG (25) COE (44) IH (58) LFS (67) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Nerdy Inc. (Class A) (NRDY) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$5.94 +2.95% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.96

Nerdy Inc. (Class A) (NRDY) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 30/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (30/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $75.9M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NRDY Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NRDY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Nerdy Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: NRDY) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $5.94 (+2.95% 1D, market cap $75.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, NRDY ranks #41 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NRDY compare to CHGG and COE in the Real Estate sector?

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Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), NRDY carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 58.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, CHGG (Chegg Inc.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $76.8M) and COE (51Talk Online Education Group each representing 60 (Class A)) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $66.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IH leads on earnings multiple (4.4x) while IH leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NRDY?

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Per NRDY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001819404), Nerdy Inc. (Class A) generated $179.0M in revenue (-5.9% YoY), -$39.9M in net income, and -$24.2M in free cash flow against $76.2M in total assets and $19.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.96 (+0.34%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (30/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NRDY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (30/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NRDY SCORES 30/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (37% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+6/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 58% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$6.21-2.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$6.05-5.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$5.72+3.8% Next Q

Current

Grade E$5.94-9.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (38) → E (30)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NRDY Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NRDY currently carries a cautious 30/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($7.92) and Max Pain ($6.24) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $23.47.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NRDY• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NRDY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 30%NO 70%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How NRDY Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $193.4M

FY24

Rev $190.2M

FY25

Rev $179.0M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$179.0M	58%	-34.6%	-$39.9M	-$24.2M	-45%
FY 2024	$190.2M	67.5%	-36.9%	-$42.6M	-$22.5M	-45%
FY 2023	$193.4M	58%	-29.8%	-$40.2M	-$7.6M	-35%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NRDY)

✓Walkthrough of NRDY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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NRDY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -55.00%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-02O $5.77H $5.94L $5.77C $5.94VOL 51.5K

RES: $9.46SUP: $3.95SMA50: $7.92SMA200: $11.92

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NRDY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NRDY Butterfly Map → + Track NRDY →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -5.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NRDY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NRDY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NRDY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NRDY)

Real Estate Rank #41 of 51 ⚔️ CHGG vs NRDY Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Real Estate Peer Comparison (NRDY vs. CHGG, COE, IH, LFS)

Industry: Other Consumer Services (73 Tracked Issuers)

Across 51 tracked Real Estate securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Nerdy Inc. (Class A) (NRDY) ranks #41 by composite RQD confidence (30/100, grade E) and #29 by equity capitalization ($75.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IH leads on earnings valuation at 4.4x trailing P/E, while IH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 67.9% gross margin. LFS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with NRDY at 30/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NRDY ACTIVE Nerdy Inc. (Class A)	E	30/100	—	58.0%	-35.0%	+2.95%	$75.9M	Benchmark Subject
CHGG Chegg Inc.	E	25/100	—	59.6%	-35.0%	-0.72%	$76.8M	/chgg-vs-nrdy →
COE 51Talk Online Education Group each representing 60 (Class A)	D	44/100	—	73.9%	-35.0%	-4.93%	$66.1M	/coe-vs-nrdy →
IH iHuman Inc. each representing five (Class A)	D+	58/100	4.4x	67.9%	85.0%	+1.72%	$60.3M	/ih-vs-nrdy →
LFS LEIFRAS Co. Ltd.	C+	67/100	19.6x	29.5%	26.5%	0.00%	$54.9M	/lfs-vs-nrdy →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001819404

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Nerdy Inc. (Class A) (NRDY) reported GAAP revenue of $179.0M (-5.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $190.2M , and -7.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$39.9M, operating cash flow of -$18.8M, and free cash flow of -$24.2M (-7.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, NRDY closed FY2025 with $76.2M in total assets against $19.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$179.0M	-$39.9M	-$18.8M	-$24.2M	$76.2M	$19.3M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$190.2M	-$42.6M	-$15.6M	-$22.5M	$92.5M	$0
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$193.4M	-$40.2M	-$7.6M	-$7.6M	—	—

3. NRDY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NRDY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does NRDY compare to CHGG and COE in the Real Estate sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NRDY?

Where is NRDY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NRDY last traded at $5.94 (+2.95% on volume of 51,462 shares), positioning the stock -25.00% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.92) and -50.17% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.92). Across its 52-week range of $5.37 to $22.35, NRDY sits at the 3.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($5.20 to $6.68).