TALO (59) GPOR (66) SDRL (48) CPK (58) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Northern Oil and Gas Inc. (NOG) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$27.81 -1.00% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $27.71

Northern Oil and Gas Inc. (NOG) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.96B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NOG Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NOG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Northern Oil and Gas Inc. (NYSE: NOG) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $27.81 (-1.00% 1D, market cap $2.96B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, NOG ranks #88 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NOG compare to TALO and GPOR in the Energy sector?

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Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), NOG carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 76.4x, gross margin of 80.9%, and ROIC of 9.2%. By comparison, TALO (Talos Energy Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -14.6%, cap $2.97B) and GPOR (Gulfport Energy Corporation) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 6.8x, ROIC 18.1%, cap $2.92B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GPOR leads on earnings multiple (6.8x) while GPOR leads on capital efficiency (18.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NOG?

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Per NOG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001104485), Northern Oil and Gas Inc. generated $2.48B in revenue (+11.2% YoY), $38.8M in net income, and $1.51B in free cash flow against $5.41B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $27.71 (-0.37%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 60.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NOG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (62/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NOG SCORES 62/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.7% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 76% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 60.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$25.42+9.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$27.75+2.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$28.48-2.4% Next Q

Current

Grade C$27.81+0.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (54) → C (62)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NOG Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 62/100 (C) score, NOG faces multiple-compression risk if 76.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 76x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($25.76) or 200D SMA ($24.58) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($28.31) toward Bear Floor ($22.08).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NOG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NOG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 62%NO 38%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

NOG Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (NOG)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on NOG. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (NOG Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

NOG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +3.77%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-02O $28.09H $28.09L $27.81C $27.81VOL 953.7K

RES: $28.88SUP: $24.54SMA50: $25.76SMA200: $24.58

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NOG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NOG Butterfly Map → + Track NOG →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +11.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NOG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NOG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NOG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NOG)

Energy Rank #88 of 211 ⚔️ TALO vs NOG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (NOG vs. TALO, GPOR, SDRL, CPK)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Northern Oil and Gas Inc. (NOG) ranks #88 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #107 by equity capitalization ($2.96B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GPOR leads on earnings valuation at 6.8x trailing P/E, while GPOR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.1% ROIC and 74.8% gross margin. GPOR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with NOG at 62/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NOG ACTIVE Northern Oil and Gas Inc.	C	62/100	76.4x	80.9%	9.2%	-1.00%	$2.96B	Benchmark Subject
TALO Talos Energy Inc.	C-	59/100	—	—	-14.6%	-2.20%	$2.97B	/talo-vs-nog →
GPOR Gulfport Energy Corporation	C+	66/100	6.8x	74.8%	18.1%	-0.42%	$2.92B	/gpor-vs-nog →
SDRL Seadrill Limited	D	48/100	—	—	1.2%	-1.30%	$3.24B	/sdrl-vs-nog →
CPK Chesapeake Utilities Corporation	D+	58/100	23.3x	—	6.9%	+1.39%	$3.27B	/cpk-vs-nog →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001104485

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Northern Oil and Gas Inc. (NOG) reported GAAP revenue of $2.48B (+11.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.23B , and +14.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $38.8M, operating cash flow of $1.51B, and free cash flow of $1.51B (+6.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, NOG closed FY2025 with $5.41B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.28, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.48B	$38.8M	$1.51B	$1.51B	$5.41B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.23B	$520.3M	$1.41B	$1.41B	$5.60B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$2.17B	$923.0M	$1.18B	$1.18B	—	—

3. NOG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NOG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does NOG compare to TALO and GPOR in the Energy sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NOG?

Where is NOG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NOG last traded at $27.81 (-1.00% on volume of 953,683 shares), positioning the stock +7.96% above its 50-day simple moving average ($25.76) and +13.14% above its 200-day simple moving average ($24.58). Across its 52-week range of $17.18 to $31.17, NOG sits at the 76.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.7% ($25.95 to $29.67).

NOG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are NOG insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies NOG leadership and institutional positioning as: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING.

Direct Sub-Reports: NOG RQD Cockpit NOG 12M Forecast NOG Earnings & Move NOG Dividends & DRIP NOG Insiders & 13F NOG Whale Options NOG Profit Sankey NOG News & Why