Stock Ratings / Energy / NOG / dividends

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Northern Oil and Gas Inc. (NOG) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$27.81 -1.00% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Northern Oil and Gas Inc. (NOG) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.96B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NOG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7%

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

7.65% Total Yield

5.85% Cash ($1.63/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

41/100 • ELEVATED PAYOUT WATCH

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

96% of FCF

8 consecutive years of payout growth

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (13.8% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $36,427

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $2,787/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$11.4K

Yr 1

$13.0K

Yr 2

$14.7K

Yr 3

$16.8K

Yr 4

$19.1K

Yr 5

$21.7K

Yr 6

$24.7K

Yr 7

$28.1K

Yr 8

$32.0K

Yr 9

$36.4K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NOG)

✓Walkthrough of NOG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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NOG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.39%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $28.22H $28.40L $27.81C $27.81VOL 1.24M

RES: $28.85SUP: $24.46SMA50: $25.75SMA200: $24.55

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NOG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NOG Butterfly Map → + Track NOG →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +11.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NOG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NOG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NOG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NOG)

Energy Rank #153 of 211 ⚔️ TALO vs NOG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (NOG vs. TALO, GPOR, SDRL, CPK)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Northern Oil and Gas Inc. (NOG) ranks #153 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #107 by equity capitalization ($2.96B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GPOR leads on earnings valuation at 6.8x trailing P/E, while GPOR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.1% ROIC and 74.8% gross margin. GPOR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with NOG at 49/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NOG ACTIVE Northern Oil and Gas Inc.	D	49/100	76.4x	80.9%	9.2%	-1.00%	$2.96B	Benchmark Subject
TALO Talos Energy Inc.	C-	59/100	—	—	-14.6%	-2.20%	$2.97B	/talo-vs-nog →
GPOR Gulfport Energy Corporation	B	74/100	6.8x	74.8%	18.1%	-0.42%	$2.92B	/gpor-vs-nog →
SDRL Seadrill Limited	D-	42/100	—	—	1.2%	-1.30%	$3.24B	/sdrl-vs-nog →
CPK Chesapeake Utilities Corporation	D+	58/100	23.3x	—	6.9%	+1.39%	$3.27B	/cpk-vs-nog →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001104485

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Northern Oil and Gas Inc. (NOG) reported GAAP revenue of $2.48B (+11.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.23B , and +14.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $38.8M, operating cash flow of $1.51B, and free cash flow of $1.51B (+6.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, NOG closed FY2025 with $5.41B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.28, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.48B	$38.8M	$1.51B	$1.51B	$5.41B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.23B	$520.3M	$1.41B	$1.41B	$5.60B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$2.17B	$923.0M	$1.18B	$1.18B	—	—

3. NOG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NOG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Northern Oil and Gas Inc. (NYSE: NOG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $27.81 (-1.00% 1D, market cap $2.96B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, NOG ranks #153 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NOG compare to TALO and GPOR in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), NOG carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 76.4x, gross margin of 80.9%, and ROIC of 9.2%. By comparison, TALO (Talos Energy Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -14.6%, cap $2.97B) and GPOR (Gulfport Energy Corporation) posts a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 6.8x, ROIC 18.1%, cap $2.92B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GPOR leads on earnings multiple (6.8x) while GPOR leads on capital efficiency (18.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NOG?

Per NOG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001104485), Northern Oil and Gas Inc. generated $2.48B in revenue (+11.2% YoY), $38.8M in net income, and $1.51B in free cash flow against $5.41B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NOG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NOG last traded at $27.81 (-1.00% on volume of 953,683 shares), positioning the stock +8.00% above its 50-day simple moving average ($25.75) and +13.28% above its 200-day simple moving average ($24.55). Across its 52-week range of $17.18 to $31.17, NOG sits at the 76.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 66.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.0% ($25.86 to $29.76).

NOG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does NOG pay a dividend and is it safe?

Northern Oil and Gas Inc. (NOG) offers a 5.85% cash dividend yield ($1.63 annualized) and 7.65% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as ELEVATED PAYOUT WATCH.

Direct Sub-Reports: NOG RQD Cockpit NOG 12M Forecast NOG Earnings & Move NOG Dividends & DRIP NOG Insiders & 13F NOG Whale Options NOG Profit Sankey NOG News & Why