MARKET WIREReuters • 50m ago
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Why NMAX Stock advanced +0.37% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$8.10 +0.37% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.09
Newsmax Inc. (Class B) (NMAX) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 25/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE E • RED ALERT
Cap $1.05B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is NMAX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Newsmax Inc. (Class B) (NYSE: NMAX) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 25/100 at a spot price of $8.10 (+0.37% 1D, market cap $1.05B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 4/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, NMAX ranks #130 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does NMAX compare to SBGI and TV in the Communication Services sector?
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Within the Communication Services sector (Broadcasting), NMAX carries a Roarable E (25/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 39.3%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SBGI (Sinclair Inc. (Class A)) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $918.4M) and TV (Grupo Televisa S.A.B.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.32B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NMAX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SBGI leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NMAX?
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Per NMAX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002026478), Newsmax Inc. (Class B) generated $189.3M in revenue (+10.7% YoY), -$99.5M in net income, and -$107.1M in free cash flow against $239.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.09 (-0.12%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (25/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14.8% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NMAX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (25/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NMAX SCORES 25/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (32% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9.6% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+6/20 pts (24% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 43% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 31.6 (OVERSOLD (<32))
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade E$10.34-15.5% Next Q
33
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$8.74-9.3% Next Q
30
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$7.93+2.1% Next Q
28
CurrentGrade E$8.10-10.7% Hist 90D α
25
Trajectory: E (33) → E (25)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NMAX Turnaround Squeeze
While NMAX currently carries a cautious 25/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.02) and Max Pain ($8.51) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $12.72.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NMAX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NMAX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why NMAX Stock advanced +0.37% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Newsmax Inc. (Class B) (NMAX) advanced +0.37% to $8.10, trading at 43% of its 52-week range ($5.11 – $12.11). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 43% of its 52-week range ($5.11 – $12.11) with RSI-14 at 31.6 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.6% around $8.10 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 39.3% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live NMAX Headlines & Catalysts
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MARKET WIRECNBC • 12h ago
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NMAX)
- ✓Walkthrough of NMAX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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NMAX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +28.57%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $7.98H $8.18L $7.78C $8.10VOL 1.10M
RES: $13.59SUP: $7.70SMA50: $10.02SMA200: $8.01
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
NMAX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +10.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NMAX today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NMAX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NMAX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NMAX)
Communication Services Rank #130 of 132
⚔️ SBGI vs NMAX Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (NMAX vs. SBGI, TV, EVC, GTN)
Industry: Broadcasting (24 Tracked Issuers)Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Newsmax Inc. (Class B) (NMAX) ranks #130 by composite RQD confidence (25/100, grade E) and #64 by equity capitalization ($1.05B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NMAX leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while SBGI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. SBGI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with NMAX at 25/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMAX
ACTIVE
Newsmax Inc. (Class B) | E | 25/100 | — | 39.3% | -35.0% | +0.37% | $1.05B | Benchmark Subject |
| SBGI Sinclair Inc. (Class A) | C- | 60/100 | — | — | 85.0% | +3.93% | $918.4M | /sbgi-vs-nmax → |
| TV Grupo Televisa S.A.B. | D+ | 58/100 | — | — | — | -1.38% | $1.32B | /tv-vs-nmax → |
| EVC Entravision Communications Corporation | D- | 37/100 | — | 58.9% | -35.0% | +2.45% | $578.6M | /evc-vs-nmax → |
| GTN Gray Media Inc. | D | 48/100 | — | — | 4.1% | +4.20% | $460.3M | /gtn-vs-nmax → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002026478In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Newsmax Inc. (Class B) (NMAX) reported GAAP revenue of $189.3M (+10.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $171.0M ) , GAAP net income of -$99.5M, operating cash flow of -$104.5M, and free cash flow of -$107.1M (-115.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, NMAX closed FY2025 with $239.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.76, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $189.3M | -$99.5M | -$104.5M | -$107.1M | $239.8M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $171.0M | -$72.2M | -$48.7M | -$49.7M | $146.1M | — |
3. NMAX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs NMAX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Newsmax Inc. (Class B) (NYSE: NMAX) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 25/100 at a spot price of $8.10 (+0.37% 1D, market cap $1.05B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 4/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, NMAX ranks #130 in composite RQD confidence.
How does NMAX compare to SBGI and TV in the Communication Services sector?
Within the Communication Services sector (Broadcasting), NMAX carries a Roarable E (25/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 39.3%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SBGI (Sinclair Inc. (Class A)) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $918.4M) and TV (Grupo Televisa S.A.B.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.32B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NMAX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SBGI leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NMAX?
Per NMAX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002026478), Newsmax Inc. (Class B) generated $189.3M in revenue (+10.7% YoY), -$99.5M in net income, and -$107.1M in free cash flow against $239.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is NMAX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
NMAX last traded at $8.10 (+0.37% on volume of 546,728 shares), positioning the stock -19.16% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.02) and +1.12% above its 200-day simple moving average ($8.01). Across its 52-week range of $5.11 to $12.11, NMAX sits at the 42.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.6 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.6% ($7.32 to $8.88).
NMAX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is NMAX stock moving today?
Why NMAX Stock advanced +0.37% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.