Stock Ratings / Communication Services / GTN

EVC (37) IHRT (61) SSP (51) SBGI (60) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Gray Media Inc. (GTN) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$4.47 +4.20% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.50

Gray Media Inc. (GTN) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $460.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.50 (+0.57%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 5.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GTN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY GTN SCORES 48/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 5.8% FCF Margin ($181.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 14 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$4.54-3.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$4.38+4.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$4.58-2.4% Next Q

Current

Grade D$4.47-5.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (56) → D (48)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GTN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While GTN currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.66) and Max Pain ($4.69) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $6.76.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GTN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “GTN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 48%NO 52%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

48.430 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)

0.63>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

4 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE32% OF RANGE

L: $4$4.47H: $6

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 11 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 16 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on GTN

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (55)

4.1% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (30)

Altman-Z 0.63 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (52)

21/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like GTN

✓Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GTN)

✓Walkthrough of GTN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

GTN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -20.74%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL

2026-10-30O $4.47H $4.50L $4.40C $4.47VOL 845.0K

RES: $4.72SUP: $4.25SMA50: $4.66SMA200: $4.59

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GTN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GTN Butterfly Map → + Track GTN →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

7.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -15.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GTN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GTN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GTN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GTN)

Communication Services Rank #87 of 132 ⚔️ EVC vs GTN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (GTN vs. EVC, IHRT, SSP, SBGI)

Industry: Broadcasting (24 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Gray Media Inc. (GTN) ranks #87 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #77 by equity capitalization ($460.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GTN leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while SBGI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. IHRT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with GTN at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
GTN ACTIVE Gray Media Inc.	D	48/100	—	—	4.1%	+4.20%	$460.3M	Benchmark Subject
EVC Entravision Communications Corporation	D-	37/100	—	58.9%	-35.0%	+2.45%	$578.6M	/evc-vs-gtn →
IHRT iHeartMedia Inc. (Class A)	C-	61/100	—	—	—	+12.82%	$235.3M	/ihrt-vs-gtn →
SSP E.W. Scripps Company (Class A)	D	51/100	—	—	3.8%	+4.56%	$233.5M	/ssp-vs-gtn →
SBGI Sinclair Inc. (Class A)	C-	60/100	—	—	85.0%	+3.93%	$918.4M	/sbgi-vs-gtn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000043196

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Gray Media Inc. (GTN) reported GAAP revenue of $3.10B (-15.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.64B , and -5.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$85.0M, operating cash flow of $289.0M, and free cash flow of $181.0M (-70.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, GTN closed FY2025 with $10.44B in total assets against $5.74B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.63, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$3.10B	-$85.0M	$289.0M	$181.0M	$10.44B	$5.74B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$3.64B	$375.0M	$751.0M	$608.0M	$10.54B	$5.60B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$3.28B	-$76.0M	$648.0M	$648.0M	—	—

3. GTN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GTN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Gray Media Inc. (NYSE: GTN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $4.47 (+4.20% 1D, market cap $460.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, GTN ranks #87 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GTN compare to EVC and IHRT in the Communication Services sector?

Within the Communication Services sector (Broadcasting), GTN carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.1%. By comparison, EVC (Entravision Communications Corporation) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $578.6M) and IHRT (iHeartMedia Inc. (Class A)) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $235.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GTN leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SBGI leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GTN?

Per GTN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000043196), Gray Media Inc. generated $3.10B in revenue (-15.1% YoY), -$85.0M in net income, and $181.0M in free cash flow against $10.44B in total assets and $5.74B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GTN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GTN last traded at $4.47 (+4.20% on volume of 814,538 shares), positioning the stock -4.08% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.66) and -2.61% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.59). Across its 52-week range of $3.55 to $6.44, GTN sits at the 31.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.5% ($4.09 to $4.85).

GTN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell GTN stock right now?

Gray Media Inc. (GTN) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 48/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (4% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is GTN's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

GTN's 12-month base price target is $4.27 (range $3.33 to $6.76), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: GTN RQD Cockpit GTN 12M Forecast GTN Earnings & Move GTN Dividends & DRIP GTN Insiders & 13F GTN Whale Options GTN Profit Sankey GTN News & Why