Why GTN Stock surged +4.20% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$4.47 +4.20% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Gray Media Inc. (GTN) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $460.3M
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Why GTN Stock surged +4.20% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Gray Media Inc. (GTN) surged +4.20% to $4.47, trading at 32% of its 52-week range ($3.55 – $6.44). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (4% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 32% of its 52-week range ($3.55 – $6.44) with RSI-14 at 48.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8.5% around $4.47 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $181.0M annual free cash flow.
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A highly volatile stock can deliver big gains - or just as easily wipe out a portfolio if things go south. While some investors embrace risk, mistakes can be costly for those who aren’t prepared.

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GTN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -20.74%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-10-30O $4.47H $4.50L $4.40C $4.47VOL 845.0K
RES: $4.72SUP: $4.25SMA50: $4.66SMA200: $4.59
$5.89$5.26$4.62$3.99$3.35RES $4.72SUP $4.25$4.472026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
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GTN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
7.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -15.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GTN today. View full Setup Ledger →

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No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GTN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

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📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GTN)

Communication Services Rank #87 of 132 ⚔️ EVC vs GTN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (GTN vs. EVC, IHRT, SSP, SBGI)

Industry: Broadcasting (24 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Gray Media Inc. (GTN) ranks #87 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #77 by equity capitalization ($460.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GTN leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while SBGI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. IHRT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with GTN at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GTN ACTIVE
Gray Media Inc.
D 48/100 — — 4.1% +4.20% $460.3M Benchmark Subject
EVC
Entravision Communications Corporation
D- 37/100 — 58.9% -35.0% +2.45% $578.6M /evc-vs-gtn →
IHRT
iHeartMedia Inc. (Class A)
C- 61/100 — — — +12.82% $235.3M /ihrt-vs-gtn →
SSP
E.W. Scripps Company (Class A)
D 51/100 — — 3.8% +4.56% $233.5M /ssp-vs-gtn →
SBGI
Sinclair Inc. (Class A)
C- 60/100 — — 85.0% +3.93% $918.4M /sbgi-vs-gtn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000043196

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Gray Media Inc. (GTN) reported GAAP revenue of $3.10B (-15.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.64B , and -5.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$85.0M, operating cash flow of $289.0M, and free cash flow of $181.0M (-70.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, GTN closed FY2025 with $10.44B in total assets against $5.74B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.63, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $3.10B -$85.0M $289.0M $181.0M $10.44B $5.74B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $3.64B $375.0M $751.0M $608.0M $10.54B $5.60B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.28B -$76.0M $648.0M $648.0M — —

3. GTN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

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Is GTN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Gray Media Inc. (NYSE: GTN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $4.47 (+4.20% 1D, market cap $460.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, GTN ranks #87 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GTN compare to EVC and IHRT in the Communication Services sector?

Within the Communication Services sector (Broadcasting), GTN carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.1%. By comparison, EVC (Entravision Communications Corporation) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $578.6M) and IHRT (iHeartMedia Inc. (Class A)) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $235.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GTN leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SBGI leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GTN?

Per GTN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000043196), Gray Media Inc. generated $3.10B in revenue (-15.1% YoY), -$85.0M in net income, and $181.0M in free cash flow against $10.44B in total assets and $5.74B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GTN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GTN last traded at $4.47 (+4.20% on volume of 814,538 shares), positioning the stock -4.08% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.66) and -2.61% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.59). Across its 52-week range of $3.55 to $6.44, GTN sits at the 31.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.5% ($4.09 to $4.85).

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Why is GTN stock moving today?

Why GTN Stock surged +4.20% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (4% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

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