MARKET WIREReuters • 4h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
Why NKSH Stock advanced +0.10% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$40.95 +0.10% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $40.88
National Bankshares Inc. (NKSH) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $260.9M
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER
Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NKSH Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is NKSH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼
As of 2026-11-01, National Bankshares Inc. (NASDAQ: NKSH) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $40.95 (+0.10% 1D, market cap $260.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, NKSH ranks #297 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does NKSH compare to RMBI and OVBC in the Financials sector?
▼
Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), NKSH carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 8.6%. By comparison, RMBI (Richmond Mutual Bancorporation Inc.) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 23.0x, ROIC 7.9%, cap $265.8M) and OVBC (Ohio Valley Banc Corp.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 17.3x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $269.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VABK leads on earnings multiple (14.4x) while VABK leads on capital efficiency (10.5% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NKSH?
▼
Per NKSH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000796534), National Bankshares Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $15.8M in net income, and $17.9M in free cash flow against $1.82B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $40.88 (-0.17%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NKSH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (66/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NKSH SCORES 66/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (24% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 71% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 37 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (24% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade B+$42.56+2.4% Next Q
74
Q2 (-2Q)Grade B$43.58-7.1% Next Q
71
Q3 (-1Q)Grade B-$40.48+1.2% Next Q
69
CurrentGrade C+$40.95+1.4% Hist 90D α
66
Trajectory: B+ (74) → C+ (66)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NKSH Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, NKSH faces multiple-compression risk if 16.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($42.22) or 200D SMA ($38.37) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($42.42) toward Bear Floor ($33.09).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NKSH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NKSH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why NKSH Stock advanced +0.10% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
National Bankshares Inc. (NKSH) advanced +0.10% to $40.95, trading at 71% of its 52-week range ($28.35 – $45.99). Solid steady margins (9% return on capital), mixed timing at 17x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 71% of its 52-week range ($28.35 – $45.99) with RSI-14 at 37 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.5% around $40.95 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $17.9M annual free cash flow.
Live NKSH Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREReuters • 4h ago
Oil slips more than 1% as talks continue on ending Iran war - ReutersOil slips more than 1% as talks continue on ending Iran war Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Nine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say - ReutersNine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
MARKET WIRECNBC • 9h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 9h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 10h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 12h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (NKSH Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
NKSH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +14.39%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $40.98H $41.25L $40.17C $40.95VOL 35.9K
RES: $46.28SUP: $39.49SMA50: $42.22SMA200: $38.37
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
NKSH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
9.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NKSH today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NKSH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NKSH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NKSH)
Financials Rank #297 of 1096
⚔️ RMBI vs NKSH Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (NKSH vs. RMBI, OVBC, EFSI, VABK)
Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, National Bankshares Inc. (NKSH) ranks #297 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #844 by equity capitalization ($260.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VABK leads on earnings valuation at 14.4x trailing P/E, while VABK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.5% ROIC and — gross margin. VABK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with NKSH at 66/100 (C+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NKSH
ACTIVE
National Bankshares Inc. | C+ | 66/100 | 16.5x | — | 8.6% | +0.10% | $260.9M | Benchmark Subject |
| RMBI Richmond Mutual Bancorporation Inc. | C+ | 67/100 | 23.0x | — | 7.9% | +0.44% | $265.8M | /rmbi-vs-nksh → |
| OVBC Ohio Valley Banc Corp. | C+ | 69/100 | 17.3x | — | 9.2% | +2.23% | $269.4M | /ovbc-vs-nksh → |
| EFSI Eagle Financial Services Inc | C | 63/100 | 30.3x | — | 4.3% | +1.23% | $249.3M | /efsi-vs-nksh → |
| VABK Virginia National Bankshares Corporation | B- | 70/100 | 14.4x | — | 10.5% | +5.14% | $277.7M | /vabk-vs-nksh → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000796534In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), National Bankshares Inc. (NKSH) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $15.8M, operating cash flow of $17.9M, and free cash flow of $17.9M (+89.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, NKSH closed FY2025 with $1.82B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | $15.8M | $17.9M | $17.9M | $1.82B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | $7.6M | $9.4M | $9.4M | $1.81B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | $15.7M | $15.5M | $15.5M | — | — |
3. NKSH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs NKSH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, National Bankshares Inc. (NASDAQ: NKSH) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $40.95 (+0.10% 1D, market cap $260.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, NKSH ranks #297 in composite RQD confidence.
How does NKSH compare to RMBI and OVBC in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), NKSH carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 8.6%. By comparison, RMBI (Richmond Mutual Bancorporation Inc.) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 23.0x, ROIC 7.9%, cap $265.8M) and OVBC (Ohio Valley Banc Corp.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 17.3x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $269.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VABK leads on earnings multiple (14.4x) while VABK leads on capital efficiency (10.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NKSH?
Per NKSH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000796534), National Bankshares Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $15.8M in net income, and $17.9M in free cash flow against $1.82B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is NKSH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
NKSH last traded at $40.95 (+0.10% on volume of 24,907 shares), positioning the stock -3.01% below its 50-day simple moving average ($42.22) and +6.72% above its 200-day simple moving average ($38.37). Across its 52-week range of $28.35 to $45.99, NKSH sits at the 71.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.5% ($38.29 to $43.61).
NKSH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is NKSH stock moving today?
Why NKSH Stock advanced +0.10% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (9% return on capital), mixed timing at 17x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.