First National Corporation (FXNC) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$30.93 +0.26% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

First National Corporation (FXNC) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 10% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $279.7M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
025507510070
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B
Cash (14)Whales (11)SEC (13)Macro (16)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target
$38 Bull$33 Base$25 Bear
📬 FREE FXNC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FXNC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.4%
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
53.230 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
5 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE79% OF RANGE
L: $22$30.93H: $33
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 14 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C+RQD 27 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: BRQD 29 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on FXNC

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (70)

9.5% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 8.98% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BULLISH (72)

27/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 16/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like FXNC
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (FXNC Tape Review)

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FXNC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +15.76%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-10-30O $30.92H $30.93L $30.25C $30.93VOL 16.7K
RES: $31.92SUP: $28.09SMA50: $30.33SMA200: $28.83
$33.84$31.37$28.89$26.42$23.95RES $31.92SUP $28.09$30.932026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FXNC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FXNC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FXNC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FXNC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FXNC)

Financials Rank #158 of 1096 ⚔️ VABK vs FXNC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (FXNC vs. VABK, LCNB, OVLY, HWBK)

Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, First National Corporation (FXNC) ranks #158 by composite RQD confidence (70/100, grade B-) and #826 by equity capitalization ($279.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OVLY leads on earnings valuation at 9.4x trailing P/E, while OVLY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.8% ROIC and — gross margin. FXNC currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 70/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FXNC ACTIVE
First National Corporation
B- 70/100 15.8x — 9.5% +0.26% $279.7M Benchmark Subject
VABK
Virginia National Bankshares Corporation
B- 70/100 14.4x — 10.5% +5.14% $277.7M /vabk-vs-fxnc →
LCNB
LCNB Corporation
C 65/100 12.3x — 8.4% +1.48% $284.1M /lcnb-vs-fxnc →
OVLY
Oak Valley Bancorp (CA)
C+ 69/100 9.4x — 14.8% +0.76% $290.1M /ovly-vs-fxnc →
HWBK
Hawthorn Bancshares Inc.
C 63/100 12.2x — 13.7% +1.33% $290.4M /hwbk-vs-fxnc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000719402

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), First National Corporation (FXNC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $17.7M, operating cash flow of $25.1M, and free cash flow of $25.1M (+213.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, FXNC closed FY2025 with $2.04B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $17.7M $25.1M $25.1M $2.04B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $7.0M -$22.2M -$22.2M $2.01B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $9.6M $16.4M $16.4M — —

3. FXNC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FXNC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, First National Corporation (NASDAQ: FXNC) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $30.93 (+0.26% 1D, market cap $279.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, FXNC ranks #158 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FXNC compare to VABK and LCNB in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), FXNC carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.5%. By comparison, VABK (Virginia National Bankshares Corporation) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 14.4x, ROIC 10.5%, cap $277.7M) and LCNB (LCNB Corporation) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 12.3x, ROIC 8.4%, cap $284.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OVLY leads on earnings multiple (9.4x) while OVLY leads on capital efficiency (14.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FXNC?

Per FXNC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000719402), First National Corporation generated $0 in revenue, $17.7M in net income, and $25.1M in free cash flow against $2.04B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FXNC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FXNC last traded at $30.93 (+0.26% on volume of 15,721 shares), positioning the stock +1.98% above its 50-day simple moving average ($30.33) and +7.28% above its 200-day simple moving average ($28.83). Across its 52-week range of $22.40 to $33.24, FXNC sits at the 78.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.4% ($29.26 to $32.60).

FXNC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell FXNC stock right now?

First National Corporation (FXNC) currently earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy — BUY) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 10% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

What is FXNC's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

FXNC's 12-month base price target is $32.6 (range $25.36 to $38.47), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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