Stock Ratings / Financials / FXNC / earnings

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First National Corporation (FXNC) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±5.4% Move

$30.93 +0.26% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

First National Corporation (FXNC) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 10% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $279.7M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FXNC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.4%

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±5.4% Swing Band

±$1.67 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

FXNC Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 70/100

Trailing EPS: $1.96 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (70/100)Model Risk Weight (30/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$0	$17.7M	$25.1M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$0	$7.0M	-$22.2M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$0	$9.6M	$16.4M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating FXNC & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on FXNC
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

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FXNC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +15.76%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL

2026-10-30O $30.92H $30.93L $30.25C $30.93VOL 16.7K

RES: $31.92SUP: $28.09SMA50: $30.33SMA200: $28.83

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FXNC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FXNC Butterfly Map → + Track FXNC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FXNC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FXNC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FXNC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FXNC)

Financials Rank #158 of 1096 ⚔️ VABK vs FXNC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (FXNC vs. VABK, LCNB, OVLY, HWBK)

Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, First National Corporation (FXNC) ranks #158 by composite RQD confidence (70/100, grade B-) and #826 by equity capitalization ($279.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OVLY leads on earnings valuation at 9.4x trailing P/E, while OVLY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.8% ROIC and — gross margin. FXNC currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 70/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
FXNC ACTIVE First National Corporation	B-	70/100	15.8x	—	9.5%	+0.26%	$279.7M	Benchmark Subject
VABK Virginia National Bankshares Corporation	B-	70/100	14.4x	—	10.5%	+5.14%	$277.7M	/vabk-vs-fxnc →
LCNB LCNB Corporation	C	65/100	12.3x	—	8.4%	+1.48%	$284.1M	/lcnb-vs-fxnc →
OVLY Oak Valley Bancorp (CA)	C+	69/100	9.4x	—	14.8%	+0.76%	$290.1M	/ovly-vs-fxnc →
HWBK Hawthorn Bancshares Inc.	C	63/100	12.2x	—	13.7%	+1.33%	$290.4M	/hwbk-vs-fxnc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000719402

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), First National Corporation (FXNC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $17.7M, operating cash flow of $25.1M, and free cash flow of $25.1M (+213.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, FXNC closed FY2025 with $2.04B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$17.7M	$25.1M	$25.1M	$2.04B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$7.0M	-$22.2M	-$22.2M	$2.01B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	$9.6M	$16.4M	$16.4M	—	—

3. FXNC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FXNC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, First National Corporation (NASDAQ: FXNC) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $30.93 (+0.26% 1D, market cap $279.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, FXNC ranks #158 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FXNC compare to VABK and LCNB in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), FXNC carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.5%. By comparison, VABK (Virginia National Bankshares Corporation) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 14.4x, ROIC 10.5%, cap $277.7M) and LCNB (LCNB Corporation) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 12.3x, ROIC 8.4%, cap $284.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OVLY leads on earnings multiple (9.4x) while OVLY leads on capital efficiency (14.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FXNC?

Per FXNC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000719402), First National Corporation generated $0 in revenue, $17.7M in net income, and $25.1M in free cash flow against $2.04B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FXNC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FXNC last traded at $30.93 (+0.26% on volume of 15,721 shares), positioning the stock +1.98% above its 50-day simple moving average ($30.33) and +7.28% above its 200-day simple moving average ($28.83). Across its 52-week range of $22.40 to $33.24, FXNC sits at the 78.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.4% ($29.26 to $32.60).