MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why NINE Stock dropped -3.44% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$7.86 -3.44% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.80
Nine Energy Service Inc. (NINE) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 21/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE E • RED ALERT
Cap $109.6M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.80 (-0.81%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (21/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-16.7% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NINE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (21/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NINE SCORES 21/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+6/20 pts (29% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 9% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 42.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+5/20 pts (24% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±11.6% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade E$7.74+8.4% Next Q
15
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$8.39-8.2% Next Q
16
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$7.70+2.1% Next Q
18
CurrentGrade E$7.86-11.6% Hist 90D α
21
Trajectory: E (15) → E (21)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NINE Turnaround Squeeze
While NINE currently carries a cautious 21/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.04) and Max Pain ($8.25) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $13.89.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NINE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NINE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why NINE Stock dropped -3.44% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Nine Energy Service Inc. (NINE) dropped -3.44% to $7.86, trading at 9% of its 52-week range ($7.32 – $13.23). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 9% of its 52-week range ($7.32 – $13.23) with RSI-14 at 42.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±11.6% around $7.86 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live NINE Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 6h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 9h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NINE)
- ✓Walkthrough of NINE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
NINE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -17.35%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $7.93H $8.04L $7.80C $7.86VOL 7.1K
RES: $12.06SUP: $6.50SMA50: $9.04SMA200: $10.01
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
NINE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
26.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +1.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NINE today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NINE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NINE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NINE)
Energy Rank #211 of 211
⚔️ KLXE vs NINE Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (NINE vs. KLXE, TUSK, NOA, RNGR)
Industry: Oilfield Services/Equipment (20 Tracked Issuers)Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Nine Energy Service Inc. (NINE) ranks #211 by composite RQD confidence (21/100, grade E) and #186 by equity capitalization ($109.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RNGR leads on earnings valuation at 29.4x trailing P/E, while RNGR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.2% ROIC and — gross margin. NOA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with NINE at 21/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NINE
ACTIVE
Nine Energy Service Inc. | E | 21/100 | — | — | 0.9% | -3.44% | $109.6M | Benchmark Subject |
| KLXE KLX Energy Services Holdings Inc. | E | 29/100 | — | 21.2% | -13.8% | -1.69% | $122.6M | /klxe-vs-nine → |
| TUSK Mammoth Energy Services Inc. | E | 31/100 | 30.5x | — | -29.0% | +3.19% | $140.1M | /tusk-vs-nine → |
| NOA North American Construction Group Ltd. (no par) | C- | 59/100 | — | — | — | -0.95% | $347.5M | /noa-vs-nine → |
| RNGR Ranger Energy Services Inc. (Class A) | D+ | 57/100 | 29.4x | — | 4.2% | -0.65% | $361.3M | /rngr-vs-nine → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001532286In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Nine Energy Service Inc. (NINE) reported GAAP revenue of $561.9M (+1.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $554.1M , and -7.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$51.3M, operating cash flow of -$7.3M, and free cash flow of -$23.3M (-1383.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, NINE closed FY2025 with $339.5M in total assets against $341.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $561.9M | -$51.3M | -$7.3M | -$23.3M | $339.5M | $341.6M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $554.1M | -$41.1M | $13.2M | -$1.6M | $360.1M | $317.3M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $609.5M | -$32.2M | $45.5M | $45.5M | — | — |
3. NINE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs NINE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Nine Energy Service Inc. (NYSE: NINE) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 21/100 at a spot price of $7.86 (-3.44% 1D, market cap $109.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, NINE ranks #211 in composite RQD confidence.
How does NINE compare to KLXE and TUSK in the Energy sector?
Within the Energy sector (Oilfield Services/Equipment), NINE carries a Roarable E (21/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.9%. By comparison, KLXE (KLX Energy Services Holdings Inc.) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -13.8%, cap $122.6M) and TUSK (Mammoth Energy Services Inc.) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E 30.5x, ROIC -29.0%, cap $140.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RNGR leads on earnings multiple (29.4x) while RNGR leads on capital efficiency (4.2% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NINE?
Per NINE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001532286), Nine Energy Service Inc. generated $561.9M in revenue (+1.4% YoY), -$51.3M in net income, and -$23.3M in free cash flow against $339.5M in total assets and $341.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is NINE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
NINE last traded at $7.86 (-3.44% on volume of 16,086 shares), positioning the stock -13.05% below its 50-day simple moving average ($9.04) and -21.48% below its 200-day simple moving average ($10.01). Across its 52-week range of $7.32 to $13.23, NINE sits at the 9.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.6% ($6.95 to $8.77).
NINE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is NINE stock moving today?
Why NINE Stock dropped -3.44% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.