Stock Ratings / Materials / NGVT / financials

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Ingevity Corporation (NGVT) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$75.37 +1.62% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $75.45

Ingevity Corporation (NGVT) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.59B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $75.45 (+0.10%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 19/20 (A+) • 28.4% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NGVT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (68/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NGVT SCORES 68/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+19/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 28.4% FCF Margin ($331.2M FCF) & 39.5% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 88% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 62 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 10 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$69.76+0.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$69.82-0.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$69.64+8.2% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$75.37+1.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (60) → C+ (68)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NGVT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, NGVT faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 37.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($70.42) or 200D SMA ($71.26) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($78.76) toward Bear Floor ($61.43).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NGVT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NGVT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 68%NO 32%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How NGVT Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$331.2M (28.4% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $1.22B

FY24

Rev $1.20B

FY25

Rev $1.17B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$1.17B	39.5%	35.9%	-$167.1M	$331.2M	95%
FY 2024	$1.20B	38.7%	35.5%	-$430.3M	$128.6M	95%
FY 2023	$1.22B	39.5%	34.8%	-$5.4M	$205.1M	85%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NGVT)

✓Walkthrough of NGVT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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NGVT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.08%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $75.37H $75.38L $73.19C $75.37VOL 279.1K

RES: $78.84SUP: $65.25SMA50: $70.42SMA200: $71.26

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NGVT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NGVT Butterfly Map → + Track NGVT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-6.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NGVT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NGVT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NGVT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NGVT)

Materials Rank #21 of 270 ⚔️ IOSP vs NGVT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (NGVT vs. IOSP, ROG, KWR, WDFC)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ingevity Corporation (NGVT) ranks #21 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #101 by equity capitalization ($2.59B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WDFC leads on earnings valuation at 32.3x trailing P/E, while NGVT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 39.5% gross margin. WDFC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with NGVT at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NGVT ACTIVE Ingevity Corporation	C+	68/100	—	39.5%	85.0%	+1.62%	$2.59B	Benchmark Subject
IOSP Innospec Inc.	B-	70/100	—	27.7%	9.9%	+0.71%	$2.50B	/iosp-vs-ngvt →
ROG Rogers Corporation	D+	52/100	—	31.7%	-3.6%	-0.33%	$2.50B	/rog-vs-ngvt →
KWR Quaker Houghton	D+	56/100	—	36.0%	2.1%	+0.61%	$2.72B	/kwr-vs-ngvt →
WDFC WD-40 Company	B	75/100	32.3x	55.1%	27.2%	+2.49%	$2.94B	/wdfc-vs-ngvt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001653477

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ingevity Corporation (NGVT) reported GAAP revenue of $1.17B (-2.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.20B , and -3.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$167.1M, operating cash flow of $331.2M, and free cash flow of $331.2M (+157.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, NGVT closed FY2025 with $1.65B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.93, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.17B	-$167.1M	$331.2M	$331.2M	$1.65B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.20B	-$430.3M	$128.6M	$128.6M	$2.02B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.22B	-$5.4M	$205.1M	$205.1M	—	—

3. NGVT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NGVT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Ingevity Corporation (NYSE: NGVT) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $75.37 (+1.62% 1D, market cap $2.59B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, NGVT ranks #21 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NGVT compare to IOSP and ROG in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), NGVT carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 39.5%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, IOSP (Innospec Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 9.9%, cap $2.50B) and ROG (Rogers Corporation) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.6%, cap $2.50B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WDFC leads on earnings multiple (32.3x) while NGVT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NGVT?

Per NGVT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001653477), Ingevity Corporation generated $1.17B in revenue (-2.7% YoY), -$167.1M in net income, and $331.2M in free cash flow against $1.65B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (40% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NGVT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NGVT last traded at $75.37 (+1.62% on volume of 342,479 shares), positioning the stock +7.03% above its 50-day simple moving average ($70.42) and +5.77% above its 200-day simple moving average ($71.26). Across its 52-week range of $45.85 to $79.29, NGVT sits at the 88.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.0% ($70.85 to $79.89).

NGVT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Ingevity Corporation (NGVT)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), NGVT converted $1.2B of revenue into a 39.5% gross margin, 35.9% operating margin, and $331.2M in free cash flow (28.4% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: NGVT RQD Cockpit NGVT 12M Forecast NGVT Earnings & Move NGVT Dividends & DRIP NGVT Insiders & 13F NGVT Whale Options NGVT Profit Sankey NGVT News & Why