Ingevity Corporation (NGVT) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$75.37 +1.62% NYSE โ€ข Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $75.45

Ingevity Corporation (NGVT) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59โ€“69), meaning current holders donโ€™t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ โ€ข HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.59B
๐Ÿ“ค Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: ๐• Post Reddit StockTwits โฌ‡ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $75.45 (+0.10%)๐Ÿงฌ Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)โš™๏ธ Cash Engine: 19/20 (A+) โ€ข 28.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit โ†’
๐Ÿ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY โ€ข 56.9% hit rate โ€” wait for RQD โ‰ฅ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record โ†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH โ€ข C+
025507510068
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0โ€“100 RQD rubric) โ€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- ยท Rk C
Cash (19)Whales (11)SEC (10)Macro (16)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0โ€“20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target
$93 Bull$79 Base$61 Bear
๐Ÿ“ฌ FREE NGVT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: โ€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NGVT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ยฑ6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (68/100 Composite)
๐Ÿ” WHY NGVT SCORES 68/100 (C+) โ€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
โ–ฒ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+19/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 28.4% FCF Margin ($331.2M FCF) & 39.5% Gross Margin

โ–ฒ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime ร— Technicals: 88% of 52W Range โ€ข RSI-14 at 62 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

โ–ผ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 10 pts from forensic ceiling

๐Ÿ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 โ†’ Q2 โ†’ Q3 โ†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
60
Grade C$69.76+0.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
63
Grade C+$69.82-0.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
65
Grade C+$69.64+8.2% Next Q
Current
68
Grade C+$75.37+1.8% Hist 90D ฮฑ
Trajectory: C (60) โ†’ C+ (68)Full Audit โ†’
โš”๏ธ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

โš”๏ธ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NGVT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk โ†’

Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, NGVT faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

โš ๏ธ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

โš ๏ธ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) โ€” any gross margin slip below 37.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

โš ๏ธ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($70.42) or 200D SMA ($71.26) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($78.76) toward Bear Floor ($61.43).

๐ŸŽฒ LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NGVTโ€ข $2.4M Crowd Pool โ€ข Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: โ€œNGVT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMAโ€
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 โ€ข REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years โ†’ $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $307/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP โ€ข SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in NGVT & A-Rated Leaders

  • โœ“12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on NGVT and its top sector peer
  • โœ“Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • โœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
NGVT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.08%๐Ÿ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $75.37H $75.38L $73.19C $75.37VOL 279.1K
RES: $78.84SUP: $65.25SMA50: $70.42SMA200: $71.26
$80.62$75.12$69.63$64.13$58.63RES $78.84SUP $65.25$75.372026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NGVT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-6.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NGVT today. View full Setup Ledger โ†’

๐Ÿฆ‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph โ†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NGVT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
๐ŸŽฌ No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NGVT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk โ†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT โ€ข SEC EDGAR XBRL ร— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

๐Ÿ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NGVT)

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (NGVT vs. IOSP, ROG, KWR, WDFC)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ingevity Corporation (NGVT) ranks #21 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #101 by equity capitalization ($2.59B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WDFC leads on earnings valuation at 32.3x trailing P/E, while NGVT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 39.5% gross margin. WDFC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with NGVT at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NGVT ACTIVE
Ingevity Corporation
C+ 68/100 โ€” 39.5% 85.0% +1.62% $2.59B Benchmark Subject
IOSP
Innospec Inc.
B- 70/100 โ€” 27.7% 9.9% +0.71% $2.50B /iosp-vs-ngvt โ†’
ROG
Rogers Corporation
D+ 52/100 โ€” 31.7% -3.6% -0.33% $2.50B /rog-vs-ngvt โ†’
KWR
Quaker Houghton
D+ 56/100 โ€” 36.0% 2.1% +0.61% $2.72B /kwr-vs-ngvt โ†’
WDFC
WD-40 Company
B 75/100 32.3x 55.1% 27.2% +2.49% $2.94B /wdfc-vs-ngvt โ†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023โ€“FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K โ€ข FILED 2025-12-31 โ€ข CIK 0001653477

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ingevity Corporation (NGVT) reported GAAP revenue of $1.17B (-2.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.20B , and -3.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$167.1M, operating cash flow of $331.2M, and free cash flow of $331.2M (+157.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, NGVT closed FY2025 with $1.65B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.93, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.17B -$167.1M $331.2M $331.2M $1.65B โ€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.20B -$430.3M $128.6M $128.6M $2.02B โ€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.22B -$5.4M $205.1M $205.1M โ€” โ€”

3. NGVT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

โœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NGVT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Ingevity Corporation (NYSE: NGVT) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $75.37 (+1.62% 1D, market cap $2.59B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, NGVT ranks #21 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NGVT compare to IOSP and ROG in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), NGVT carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 39.5%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, IOSP (Innospec Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 9.9%, cap $2.50B) and ROG (Rogers Corporation) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.6%, cap $2.50B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WDFC leads on earnings multiple (32.3x) while NGVT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NGVT?

Per NGVT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001653477), Ingevity Corporation generated $1.17B in revenue (-2.7% YoY), -$167.1M in net income, and $331.2M in free cash flow against $1.65B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (40% profit margin)โ€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NGVT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NGVT last traded at $75.37 (+1.62% on volume of 342,479 shares), positioning the stock +7.03% above its 50-day simple moving average ($70.42) and +5.77% above its 200-day simple moving average ($71.26). Across its 52-week range of $45.85 to $79.29, NGVT sits at the 88.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ยฑ6.0% ($70.85 to $79.89).

NGVT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS โ€ข SEC EDGAR ร— CBOE ร— FRED

Does NGVT pay a dividend and is it safe?

Ingevity Corporation (NGVT) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

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