The bank estimates that benchmark Dutch TTF winter 2026-27 prices could reach €85 per megawatt-hour if the conflict escalates but liquefaction facilities remain unscathed. Prices could climb to around €154/MWh if LNG fac
Why NG Stock slipped -1.44% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Novagold Resources Inc. (NG) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 32/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is NG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Novagold Resources Inc. (NYSE: NG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $6.17 (-1.44% 1D, market cap $2.71B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, NG ranks #254 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does NG compare to SA and FSM in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), NG carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -27.6%. By comparison, SA (Seabridge Gold Inc.) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.78B) and FSM (Fortuna Mining Corp.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.85B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NG leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NG leads on capital efficiency (-27.6% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NG?
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Per NG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-11-30, CIK 0001173420), Novagold Resources Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$94.7M in net income, and -$14.0M in free cash flow against $335.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±10.4% realized swing band)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 12% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 35.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NG Turnaround Squeeze
While NG currently carries a cautious 32/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($7.21) and Max Pain ($6.48) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $15.12.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why NG Stock slipped -1.44% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Novagold Resources Inc. (NG) slipped -1.44% to $6.17, trading at 12% of its 52-week range ($5.08 – $14.4). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-28% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 12% of its 52-week range ($5.08 – $14.4) with RSI-14 at 35.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±10.4% around $6.17 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Investing.com -- Global coal supply is struggling to keep pace with rising Asian demand as production constraints and higher natural gas prices tighten the market, potentially pushing thermal coal prices higher this wint
Investing.com — European and British natural gas benchmarks surged on Friday to levels not seen since the 2022 energy crisis, heading for monthly gains of more than 40% as reports of high-level White House briefings on m
Investing.com -- QatarEnergy is purchasing long-term supplies of liquefied natural gas from the United States and other suppliers to create a trading and arbitrage hedge that would generate revenue if exports through the
Investing.com -- Investing.com -- UBS analysts have released their latest rankings for fertilizer stocks, highlighting a mixed outlook across the sector with nitrogen exposure viewed most favorably heading into 2027.
Investing.com - European wholesale natural gas prices climbed to fresh 2022 highs on Wednesday, as renewed ballistic missile and drone strikes by Yemen’s Iran-aligned Houthi movement against critical Saudi Arabian energy
Investing.com -- Expand Energy Corp (NASDAQ:EXE) reported third quarter adjusted earnings of $1.46 per share, beating analyst estimates of $1.31 by $0.15. Revenue reached $3.29 billion, surpassing the consensus estimate
Investing.com - European wholesale natural gas prices eased on Tuesday, retreating from fresh 2022 highs touched in the prior session as market participants paused to digest supply disruptions from Norway, though critica
Investing.com - European wholesale natural gas prices surged to fresh 2022 highs on Monday, advancing for a fourth consecutive session as persistent supply risks stemming from the military conflict in the Middle East and
Investing.com - European wholesale natural gas prices surged on Friday, on course to cap the week at their highest levels since late 2022, as an escalation in Middle East military conflict and diplomatic evacuations inte
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NG)
- ✓Walkthrough of NG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
NG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NG today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NG)
1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (NG vs. SA, FSM, TGB, EXK)
Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Novagold Resources Inc. (NG) ranks #254 by composite RQD confidence (32/100, grade E) and #99 by equity capitalization ($2.71B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NG leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while NG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -27.6% ROIC and — gross margin. EXK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with NG at 32/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NG
ACTIVE
Novagold Resources Inc. | E | 32/100 | — | — | -27.6% | -1.44% | $2.71B | Benchmark Subject |
| SA Seabridge Gold Inc. | D | 49/100 | — | — | — | -3.45% | $2.78B | /sa-vs-ng → |
| FSM Fortuna Mining Corp. | D | 50/100 | — | — | — | -2.90% | $2.85B | /fsm-vs-ng → |
| TGB Trekor Metals Limited | D | 50/100 | — | — | — | -2.72% | $2.88B | /tgb-vs-ng → |
| EXK Endeavour Silver Corporation (Canada) | C- | 59/100 | — | — | — | -2.63% | $2.30B | /exk-vs-ng → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-11-30 • CIK 0001173420In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-11-30), Novagold Resources Inc. (NG) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$94.7M, operating cash flow of -$14.0M, and free cash flow of -$14.0M (-11.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, NG closed FY2025 with $335.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.21, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-11-30 | $0 | -$94.7M | -$14.0M | -$14.0M | $335.9M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-11-30 | $0 | -$45.6M | -$12.6M | -$12.6M | $109.8M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-11-30 | $0 | -$46.8M | -$7.8M | -$7.8M | — | — |
3. NG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs NG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Novagold Resources Inc. (NYSE: NG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $6.17 (-1.44% 1D, market cap $2.71B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, NG ranks #254 in composite RQD confidence.
How does NG compare to SA and FSM in the Materials sector?
Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), NG carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -27.6%. By comparison, SA (Seabridge Gold Inc.) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.78B) and FSM (Fortuna Mining Corp.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.85B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NG leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NG leads on capital efficiency (-27.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NG?
Per NG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-11-30, CIK 0001173420), Novagold Resources Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$94.7M in net income, and -$14.0M in free cash flow against $335.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is NG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
NG last traded at $6.17 (-1.44% on volume of 4,315,738 shares), positioning the stock -14.42% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.21) and -25.12% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.24). Across its 52-week range of $5.08 to $14.40, NG sits at the 11.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.4% ($5.53 to $6.81).
NG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is NG stock moving today?
Why NG Stock slipped -1.44% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-28% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.