Why NG Stock slipped -1.44% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$6.17 -1.44% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.14

Novagold Resources Inc. (NG) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 32/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $2.71B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Novagold Resources Inc. (NYSE: NG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $6.17 (-1.44% 1D, market cap $2.71B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, NG ranks #254 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NG compare to SA and FSM in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), NG carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -27.6%. By comparison, SA (Seabridge Gold Inc.) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.78B) and FSM (Fortuna Mining Corp.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.85B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NG leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NG leads on capital efficiency (-27.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NG?
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Per NG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-11-30, CIK 0001173420), Novagold Resources Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$94.7M in net income, and -$14.0M in free cash flow against $335.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.14 (-0.45%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (32/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510032
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (5)Whales (9)SEC (7)Macro (8)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.7% Base Target
$15 Bull$5 Base$4 Bear
📬 FREE NG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (32/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NG SCORES 32/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+9/20 pts (28% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±10.4% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 12% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 35.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
40
Grade D$6.71-1.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
37
Grade E$6.60-8.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
35
Grade E$6.01+2.7% Next Q
Current
32
Grade E$6.17-9.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (40) → E (32)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NG currently carries a cautious 32/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($7.21) and Max Pain ($6.48) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $15.12.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why NG Stock slipped -1.44% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Novagold Resources Inc. (NG) slipped -1.44% to $6.17, trading at 12% of its 52-week range ($5.08 – $14.4). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-28% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 12% of its 52-week range ($5.08 – $14.4) with RSI-14 at 35.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±10.4% around $6.17 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live NG Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 1d ago
Coal supply is struggling to keep pace with demand

Investing.com -- Global coal supply is struggling to keep pace with rising Asian demand as production constraints and higher natural gas prices tighten the market, potentially pushing thermal coal prices higher this wint

MARKET WIREYahoo • 4d ago
UBS Ranks Fertilizer Stocks as Nitrogen Outlook Improves

Investing.com -- Investing.com -- UBS analysts have released their latest rankings for fertilizer stocks, highlighting a mixed outlook across the sector with nitrogen exposure viewed most favorably heading into 2027.

CATALYSTYahoo • 5d ago
Expand Energy beats third quarter estimates on strong revenue

Investing.com -- Expand Energy Corp (NASDAQ:EXE) reported third quarter adjusted earnings of $1.46 per share, beating analyst estimates of $1.31 by $0.15. Revenue reached $3.29 billion, surpassing the consensus estimate

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NG)

  • ✓Walkthrough of NG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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NG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -23.45%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-10-30O $5.90H $6.17L $5.67C $6.17VOL 4.60M
RES: $10.12SUP: $6.32SMA50: $7.21SMA200: $8.24
$10.36$8.93$7.50$6.07$4.64RES $10.12SUP $6.32$6.172026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NG)

Materials Rank #254 of 270 ⚔️ SA vs NG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (NG vs. SA, FSM, TGB, EXK)

Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Novagold Resources Inc. (NG) ranks #254 by composite RQD confidence (32/100, grade E) and #99 by equity capitalization ($2.71B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NG leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while NG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -27.6% ROIC and — gross margin. EXK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with NG at 32/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NG ACTIVE
Novagold Resources Inc.
E 32/100 — — -27.6% -1.44% $2.71B Benchmark Subject
SA
Seabridge Gold Inc.
D 49/100 — — — -3.45% $2.78B /sa-vs-ng →
FSM
Fortuna Mining Corp.
D 50/100 — — — -2.90% $2.85B /fsm-vs-ng →
TGB
Trekor Metals Limited
D 50/100 — — — -2.72% $2.88B /tgb-vs-ng →
EXK
Endeavour Silver Corporation (Canada)
C- 59/100 — — — -2.63% $2.30B /exk-vs-ng →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-11-30 • CIK 0001173420

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-11-30), Novagold Resources Inc. (NG) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$94.7M, operating cash flow of -$14.0M, and free cash flow of -$14.0M (-11.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, NG closed FY2025 with $335.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.21, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-11-30 $0 -$94.7M -$14.0M -$14.0M $335.9M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-11-30 $0 -$45.6M -$12.6M -$12.6M $109.8M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-11-30 $0 -$46.8M -$7.8M -$7.8M — —

3. NG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Novagold Resources Inc. (NYSE: NG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $6.17 (-1.44% 1D, market cap $2.71B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, NG ranks #254 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NG compare to SA and FSM in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), NG carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -27.6%. By comparison, SA (Seabridge Gold Inc.) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.78B) and FSM (Fortuna Mining Corp.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.85B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NG leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NG leads on capital efficiency (-27.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NG?

Per NG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-11-30, CIK 0001173420), Novagold Resources Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$94.7M in net income, and -$14.0M in free cash flow against $335.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NG last traded at $6.17 (-1.44% on volume of 4,315,738 shares), positioning the stock -14.42% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.21) and -25.12% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.24). Across its 52-week range of $5.08 to $14.40, NG sits at the 11.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.4% ($5.53 to $6.81).

NG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is NG stock moving today?

Why NG Stock slipped -1.44% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-28% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

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