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Novagold Resources Inc. (NG) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$6.17 -1.44% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Novagold Resources Inc. (NG) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 32/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $2.71B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.4%

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your NG Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $6.17: 1620.7 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $4.25

$6,888

$-3,112 (-31.1%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $5.45

$8,833

$-1,167 (-11.7%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $15.12

$24,506

+$14,506 (+145.1%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$6	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$14	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$5	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NG)

✓Walkthrough of NG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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NG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -23.45%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN

2026-10-30O $5.90H $6.17L $5.67C $6.17VOL 4.60M

RES: $10.12SUP: $6.32SMA50: $7.21SMA200: $8.24

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NG Butterfly Map → + Track NG →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NG)

Materials Rank #254 of 270 ⚔️ SA vs NG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (NG vs. SA, FSM, TGB, EXK)

Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Novagold Resources Inc. (NG) ranks #254 by composite RQD confidence (32/100, grade E) and #99 by equity capitalization ($2.71B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NG leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while NG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -27.6% ROIC and — gross margin. EXK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with NG at 32/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NG ACTIVE Novagold Resources Inc.	E	32/100	—	—	-27.6%	-1.44%	$2.71B	Benchmark Subject
SA Seabridge Gold Inc.	D	49/100	—	—	—	-3.45%	$2.78B	/sa-vs-ng →
FSM Fortuna Mining Corp.	D	50/100	—	—	—	-2.90%	$2.85B	/fsm-vs-ng →
TGB Trekor Metals Limited	D	50/100	—	—	—	-2.72%	$2.88B	/tgb-vs-ng →
EXK Endeavour Silver Corporation (Canada)	C-	59/100	—	—	—	-2.63%	$2.30B	/exk-vs-ng →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-11-30 • CIK 0001173420

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-11-30), Novagold Resources Inc. (NG) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$94.7M, operating cash flow of -$14.0M, and free cash flow of -$14.0M (-11.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, NG closed FY2025 with $335.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.21, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-11-30	$0	-$94.7M	-$14.0M	-$14.0M	$335.9M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-11-30	$0	-$45.6M	-$12.6M	-$12.6M	$109.8M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-11-30	$0	-$46.8M	-$7.8M	-$7.8M	—	—

3. NG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Novagold Resources Inc. (NYSE: NG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $6.17 (-1.44% 1D, market cap $2.71B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, NG ranks #254 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NG compare to SA and FSM in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), NG carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -27.6%. By comparison, SA (Seabridge Gold Inc.) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.78B) and FSM (Fortuna Mining Corp.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.85B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NG leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NG leads on capital efficiency (-27.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NG?

Per NG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-11-30, CIK 0001173420), Novagold Resources Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$94.7M in net income, and -$14.0M in free cash flow against $335.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NG last traded at $6.17 (-1.44% on volume of 4,315,738 shares), positioning the stock -14.42% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.21) and -25.12% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.24). Across its 52-week range of $5.08 to $14.40, NG sits at the 11.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.4% ($5.53 to $6.81).

NG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is NG's 12-month stock price target?

Novagold Resources Inc. (NG) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $5.45 (-11.7% from $6.17), with a bull-case target of $15.12 and a bear-case floor of $4.25.

Is NG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates NG E (Strong Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 32/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: NG RQD Cockpit NG 12M Forecast NG Earnings & Move NG Dividends & DRIP NG Insiders & 13F NG Whale Options NG Profit Sankey NG News & Why