Novagold Resources Inc. (NG) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$5.81 -5.83% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.74

Novagold Resources Inc. (NG) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 24/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $2.71B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Novagold Resources Inc. (NYSE: NG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 24/100 at a spot price of $5.81 (-5.83% 1D, market cap $2.71B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, NG ranks #255 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NG compare to SA and FSM in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), NG carries a Roarable E (24/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -27.6%. By comparison, SA (Seabridge Gold Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.78B) and FSM (Fortuna Mining Corp.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.85B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NG leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NG leads on capital efficiency (-27.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NG?
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Per NG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-11-30, CIK 0001173420), Novagold Resources Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$94.7M in net income, and -$14.0M in free cash flow against $335.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.74 (-1.24%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (24/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510024
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (5)Whales (4)SEC (7)Macro (5)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-15.3% Base Target
$15 Bull$5 Base$4 Bear
📬 FREE NG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (24/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NG SCORES 24/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+7/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.21 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+5/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
32
Grade E$6.73-3.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
29
Grade E$6.52-8.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
27
Grade E$5.98-2.8% Next Q
Current
24
Grade E$5.81-10.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (32) → E (24)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NG currently carries a cautious 24/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($7.16) and Max Pain ($6.10) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $15.12.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

NG Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (NG)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on NG. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NG)

  • ✓Walkthrough of NG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -26.92%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-02O $6.26H $6.26L $5.81C $5.81VOL 4.32M
RES: $10.13SUP: $6.34SMA50: $7.16SMA200: $8.22
$10.23$8.83$7.44$6.04$4.65RES $10.13SUP $6.34$5.812026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NG)

Materials Rank #255 of 270 ⚔️ SA vs NG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (NG vs. SA, FSM, TGB, EXK)

Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Novagold Resources Inc. (NG) ranks #255 by composite RQD confidence (24/100, grade E) and #99 by equity capitalization ($2.71B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NG leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while NG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -27.6% ROIC and — gross margin. TGB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 54/100 (D+) compared with NG at 24/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NG ACTIVE
Novagold Resources Inc.
E 24/100 — — -27.6% -5.83% $2.71B Benchmark Subject
SA
Seabridge Gold Inc.
D 46/100 — — — -6.24% $2.78B /sa-vs-ng →
FSM
Fortuna Mining Corp.
D 47/100 — — — -5.23% $2.85B /fsm-vs-ng →
TGB
Trekor Metals Limited
D+ 54/100 — — — -6.36% $2.88B /tgb-vs-ng →
EXK
Endeavour Silver Corporation (Canada)
D 46/100 — — — -7.09% $2.30B /exk-vs-ng →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-11-30 • CIK 0001173420

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-11-30), Novagold Resources Inc. (NG) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$94.7M, operating cash flow of -$14.0M, and free cash flow of -$14.0M (-11.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, NG closed FY2025 with $335.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.21, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-11-30 $0 -$94.7M -$14.0M -$14.0M $335.9M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-11-30 $0 -$45.6M -$12.6M -$12.6M $109.8M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-11-30 $0 -$46.8M -$7.8M -$7.8M — —

3. NG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Novagold Resources Inc. (NYSE: NG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 24/100 at a spot price of $5.81 (-5.83% 1D, market cap $2.71B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, NG ranks #255 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NG compare to SA and FSM in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), NG carries a Roarable E (24/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -27.6%. By comparison, SA (Seabridge Gold Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.78B) and FSM (Fortuna Mining Corp.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.85B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NG leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NG leads on capital efficiency (-27.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NG?

Per NG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-11-30, CIK 0001173420), Novagold Resources Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$94.7M in net income, and -$14.0M in free cash flow against $335.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NG last traded at $5.81 (-5.83% on volume of 4,597,527 shares), positioning the stock -18.85% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.16) and -29.32% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.22). Across its 52-week range of $5.08 to $14.40, NG sits at the 7.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.1% ($5.22 to $6.40).

NG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are NG insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies NG leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

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