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New Fortress Energy Inc. (Class A) (NFE) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$3.79 +3.55% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.81

New Fortress Energy Inc. (Class A) (NFE) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 30/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (30/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $61.9M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.81 (+0.45%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (30/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NFE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (30/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NFE SCORES 30/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (37% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 44.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 16 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$4.35-4.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$4.15-16.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$3.48+8.9% Next Q

Current

Grade E$3.79-9.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (38) → E (30)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NFE Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NFE currently carries a cautious 30/100 (E) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.66) and Max Pain ($3.98) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $103.95.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NFE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NFE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 30%NO 70%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±12.5%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (NFE)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for NFE.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NFE)

✓Walkthrough of NFE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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NFE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -89.05%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $3.79H $4.97L $3.70C $3.79VOL 2.33M

RES: $7.07SUP: $2.64SMA50: $8.66SMA200: $29.56

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NFE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NFE Butterfly Map → + Track NFE →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -30.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NFE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NFE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NFE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NFE)

Energy Rank #203 of 211 ⚔️ SLNG vs NFE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (NFE vs. SLNG, CETY, NWN, EE)

Industry: Oil/Gas Transmission (13 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, New Fortress Energy Inc. (Class A) (NFE) ranks #203 by composite RQD confidence (30/100, grade E) and #192 by equity capitalization ($61.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NWN leads on earnings valuation at 18.6x trailing P/E, while EE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.1% ROIC and — gross margin. EE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with NFE at 30/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NFE ACTIVE New Fortress Energy Inc. (Class A)	E	30/100	—	22.1%	-35.0%	+3.55%	$61.9M	Benchmark Subject
SLNG Stabilis Solutions Inc.	D+	54/100	—	26.4%	-2.0%	-0.46%	$81.1M	/slng-vs-nfe →
CETY Clean Energy Technologies Inc.	E	32/100	—	27.6%	-35.0%	+3.68%	$11.6M	/cety-vs-nfe →
NWN Northwest Natural Holding Company	D-	43/100	18.6x	—	6.0%	+0.99%	$2.10B	/nwn-vs-nfe →
EE Excelerate Energy Inc. (Class A)	B	74/100	23.8x	—	8.1%	+3.21%	$3.98B	/ee-vs-nfe →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001749723

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), New Fortress Energy Inc. (Class A) (NFE) reported GAAP revenue of $1.18B (-30.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.70B , and -42.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$1.83B, operating cash flow of -$583.4M, and free cash flow of -$1.23B (+19.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, NFE closed FY2025 with $10.56B in total assets against $1.11B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.18B	-$1.83B	-$583.4M	-$1.23B	$10.56B	$1.11B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.70B	-$244.5M	$602.2M	-$1.53B	$12.92B	$8.36B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$2.06B	$548.2M	$818.6M	$818.6M	—	—

3. NFE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NFE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, New Fortress Energy Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: NFE) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $3.79 (+3.55% 1D, market cap $61.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, NFE ranks #203 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NFE compare to SLNG and CETY in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil/Gas Transmission), NFE carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 22.1%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SLNG (Stabilis Solutions Inc.) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.0%, cap $81.1M) and CETY (Clean Energy Technologies Inc.) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $11.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NWN leads on earnings multiple (18.6x) while EE leads on capital efficiency (8.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NFE?

Per NFE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001749723), New Fortress Energy Inc. (Class A) generated $1.18B in revenue (-30.5% YoY), -$1.83B in net income, and -$1.23B in free cash flow against $10.56B in total assets and $1.11B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NFE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NFE last traded at $3.79 (+3.55% on volume of 394,383 shares), positioning the stock -56.24% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.66) and -87.18% below its 200-day simple moving average ($29.56). Across its 52-week range of $3.24 to $99.00, NFE sits at the 0.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($3.32 to $4.26).

NFE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is NFE's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for NFE.

Direct Sub-Reports: NFE RQD Cockpit NFE 12M Forecast NFE Earnings & Move NFE Dividends & DRIP NFE Insiders & 13F NFE Whale Options NFE Profit Sankey NFE News & Why