MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why NFE Stock surged +3.55% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$3.79 +3.55% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.81
New Fortress Energy Inc. (Class A) (NFE) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 30/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE E • RED ALERT
Cap $61.9M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.81 (+0.45%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (30/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk E
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.7% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NFE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (30/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NFE SCORES 30/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (37% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (27% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 44.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 16 pts from forensic ceiling
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade E$4.35-4.6% Next Q
38
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$4.15-16.1% Next Q
35
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$3.48+8.9% Next Q
33
CurrentGrade E$3.79-9.6% Hist 90D α
30
Trajectory: E (38) → E (30)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NFE Turnaround Squeeze
While NFE currently carries a cautious 30/100 (E) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.66) and Max Pain ($3.98) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $103.95.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NFE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NFE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why NFE Stock surged +3.55% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
New Fortress Energy Inc. (Class A) (NFE) surged +3.55% to $3.79, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($3.24 – $99). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($3.24 – $99) with RSI-14 at 44.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $3.79 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 22.1% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live NFE Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 6h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 9h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NFE)
- ✓Walkthrough of NFE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NFE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -89.05%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $3.79H $4.97L $3.70C $3.79VOL 2.33M
RES: $7.07SUP: $2.64SMA50: $8.66SMA200: $29.56
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
NFE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -30.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NFE today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NFE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NFE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NFE)
Energy Rank #203 of 211
⚔️ SLNG vs NFE Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (NFE vs. SLNG, CETY, NWN, EE)
Industry: Oil/Gas Transmission (13 Tracked Issuers)Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, New Fortress Energy Inc. (Class A) (NFE) ranks #203 by composite RQD confidence (30/100, grade E) and #192 by equity capitalization ($61.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NWN leads on earnings valuation at 18.6x trailing P/E, while EE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.1% ROIC and — gross margin. EE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with NFE at 30/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFE
ACTIVE
New Fortress Energy Inc. (Class A) | E | 30/100 | — | 22.1% | -35.0% | +3.55% | $61.9M | Benchmark Subject |
| SLNG Stabilis Solutions Inc. | D+ | 54/100 | — | 26.4% | -2.0% | -0.46% | $81.1M | /slng-vs-nfe → |
| CETY Clean Energy Technologies Inc. | E | 32/100 | — | 27.6% | -35.0% | +3.68% | $11.6M | /cety-vs-nfe → |
| NWN Northwest Natural Holding Company | D- | 43/100 | 18.6x | — | 6.0% | +0.99% | $2.10B | /nwn-vs-nfe → |
| EE Excelerate Energy Inc. (Class A) | B | 74/100 | 23.8x | — | 8.1% | +3.21% | $3.98B | /ee-vs-nfe → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001749723In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), New Fortress Energy Inc. (Class A) (NFE) reported GAAP revenue of $1.18B (-30.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.70B , and -42.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$1.83B, operating cash flow of -$583.4M, and free cash flow of -$1.23B (+19.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, NFE closed FY2025 with $10.56B in total assets against $1.11B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.18B | -$1.83B | -$583.4M | -$1.23B | $10.56B | $1.11B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $1.70B | -$244.5M | $602.2M | -$1.53B | $12.92B | $8.36B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $2.06B | $548.2M | $818.6M | $818.6M | — | — |
3. NFE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs NFE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, New Fortress Energy Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: NFE) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $3.79 (+3.55% 1D, market cap $61.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, NFE ranks #203 in composite RQD confidence.
How does NFE compare to SLNG and CETY in the Energy sector?
Within the Energy sector (Oil/Gas Transmission), NFE carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 22.1%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SLNG (Stabilis Solutions Inc.) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.0%, cap $81.1M) and CETY (Clean Energy Technologies Inc.) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $11.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NWN leads on earnings multiple (18.6x) while EE leads on capital efficiency (8.1% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NFE?
Per NFE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001749723), New Fortress Energy Inc. (Class A) generated $1.18B in revenue (-30.5% YoY), -$1.83B in net income, and -$1.23B in free cash flow against $10.56B in total assets and $1.11B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is NFE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
NFE last traded at $3.79 (+3.55% on volume of 394,383 shares), positioning the stock -56.24% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.66) and -87.18% below its 200-day simple moving average ($29.56). Across its 52-week range of $3.24 to $99.00, NFE sits at the 0.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($3.32 to $4.26).
NFE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is NFE stock moving today?
Why NFE Stock surged +3.55% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.