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Why NCI Stock slipped -1.68% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (NCI) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Why NCI Stock slipped -1.68% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (NCI) slipped -1.68% to $0.73, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($0.57 – $110.48). Stretched risk/reward at 154x P/E (3% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($0.57 – $110.48) with RSI-14 at 17.7 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $0.73 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 36.9% gross margin and $2.2M annual free cash flow.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NCI)
- ✓Walkthrough of NCI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
NCI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -41.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NCI today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NCI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NCI)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (NCI vs. PASW, TLF, FMFC, BIRD)
Industry: Apparel (27 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (NCI) ranks #800 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #952 by equity capitalization ($6.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NCI leads on earnings valuation at 153.8x trailing P/E, while NCI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 2.6% ROIC and 36.9% gross margin. FMFC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with NCI at 42/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCI
ACTIVE
Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (Class A) | D- | 42/100 | 153.8x | 36.9% | 2.6% | -1.68% | $6.6M | Benchmark Subject |
| PASW Ping An Biomedical Co. Ltd. (Class A) | E | 34/100 | — | 2.8% | — | -0.20% | $15.6M | /pasw-vs-nci → |
| TLF Tandy Leather Factory Inc. | D- | 43/100 | — | 57.0% | -2.1% | +0.44% | $18.5M | /tlf-vs-nci → |
| FMFC Kandal M Venture Limited (Class A) | C | 62/100 | — | — | — | +3.83% | $1.9M | /fmfc-vs-nci → |
| BIRD Smartbird Inc. (Class A) | D- | 37/100 | — | 41.0% | -35.0% | -0.93% | $25.0M | /bird-vs-nci → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001916331In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (NCI) reported GAAP revenue of $17.6M (-41.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $30.3M , and -20.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $42.6K, operating cash flow of $2.7M, and free cash flow of $2.2M (+566.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, NCI closed FY2025 with $14.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.49, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $17.6M | $42.6K | $2.7M | $2.2M | $14.9M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $30.3M | $1.0M | $55.1K | -$478.4K | $17.5M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $22.3M | $565.2K | -$6.3M | -$6.3M | — | — |
3. NCI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs NCI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (NASDAQ: NCI) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $0.73 (-1.68% 1D, market cap $6.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, NCI ranks #800 in composite RQD confidence.
How does NCI compare to PASW and TLF in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Apparel), NCI carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 153.8x, gross margin of 36.9%, and ROIC of 2.6%. By comparison, PASW (Ping An Biomedical Co. Ltd. (Class A)) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $15.6M) and TLF (Tandy Leather Factory Inc.) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.1%, cap $18.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NCI leads on earnings multiple (153.8x) while NCI leads on capital efficiency (2.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NCI?
Per NCI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001916331), Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (Class A) generated $17.6M in revenue (-41.9% YoY), $42.6K in net income, and $2.2M in free cash flow against $14.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is NCI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
NCI last traded at $0.73 (-1.68% on volume of 71,647 shares), positioning the stock -89.76% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.13) and -95.41% below its 200-day simple moving average ($15.91). Across its 52-week range of $0.57 to $110.48, NCI sits at the 0.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 17.7 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.82).
NCI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is NCI stock moving today?
Why NCI Stock slipped -1.68% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 154x P/E (3% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.