Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (NCI) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$0.73 -1.68% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.73

Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (NCI) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $6.6M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.73 (-0.49%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) β€’ 12.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D-
025507510042
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D Β· Rk D-
Cash (10)Whales (12)SEC (7)Macro (8)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.8% Base Target
$116 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE NCI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NCI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (42/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY NCI SCORES 42/100 (D-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (29% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12.5% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 12.7% FCF Margin ($2.2M FCF) & 36.9% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
50
Grade C-$0.88-30.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
47
Grade D$0.61+29.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
45
Grade D$0.79-7.6% Next Q
Current
42
Grade D-$0.73-7% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C- (50) β†’ D- (42)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NCI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While NCI currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($7.13) and Max Pain ($0.77) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $116.00.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NCIβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œNCI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

NCI Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (NCI)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on NCI. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NCI)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of NCI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NCI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -91.30%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $0.70H $0.73L $0.65C $0.73VOL 83.5K
RES: $18.56SUP: $0.01SMA50: $7.13SMA200: $15.91
$36.65$26.87$17.09$7.31$-2.46RES $18.56SUP $0.01$0.732026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NCI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -41.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NCI today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NCI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NCI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NCI)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #800 of 1011 βš”οΈ PASW vs NCI Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (NCI vs. PASW, TLF, FMFC, BIRD)

Industry: Apparel (27 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (NCI) ranks #800 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #952 by equity capitalization ($6.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NCI leads on earnings valuation at 153.8x trailing P/E, while NCI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 2.6% ROIC and 36.9% gross margin. FMFC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with NCI at 42/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NCI ACTIVE
Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (Class A)
D- 42/100 153.8x 36.9% 2.6% -1.68% $6.6M Benchmark Subject
PASW
Ping An Biomedical Co. Ltd. (Class A)
E 34/100 β€” 2.8% β€” -0.20% $15.6M /pasw-vs-nci β†’
TLF
Tandy Leather Factory Inc.
D- 43/100 β€” 57.0% -2.1% +0.44% $18.5M /tlf-vs-nci β†’
FMFC
Kandal M Venture Limited (Class A)
C 62/100 β€” β€” β€” +3.83% $1.9M /fmfc-vs-nci β†’
BIRD
Smartbird Inc. (Class A)
D- 37/100 β€” 41.0% -35.0% -0.93% $25.0M /bird-vs-nci β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001916331

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (NCI) reported GAAP revenue of $17.6M (-41.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $30.3M , and -20.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $42.6K, operating cash flow of $2.7M, and free cash flow of $2.2M (+566.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, NCI closed FY2025 with $14.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.49, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $17.6M $42.6K $2.7M $2.2M $14.9M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $30.3M $1.0M $55.1K -$478.4K $17.5M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $22.3M $565.2K -$6.3M -$6.3M β€” β€”

3. NCI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NCI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (NASDAQ: NCI) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $0.73 (-1.68% 1D, market cap $6.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, NCI ranks #800 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NCI compare to PASW and TLF in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Apparel), NCI carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 153.8x, gross margin of 36.9%, and ROIC of 2.6%. By comparison, PASW (Ping An Biomedical Co. Ltd. (Class A)) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $15.6M) and TLF (Tandy Leather Factory Inc.) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.1%, cap $18.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NCI leads on earnings multiple (153.8x) while NCI leads on capital efficiency (2.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NCI?

Per NCI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001916331), Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (Class A) generated $17.6M in revenue (-41.9% YoY), $42.6K in net income, and $2.2M in free cash flow against $14.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NCI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NCI last traded at $0.73 (-1.68% on volume of 71,647 shares), positioning the stock -89.76% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.13) and -95.41% below its 200-day simple moving average ($15.91). Across its 52-week range of $0.57 to $110.48, NCI sits at the 0.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 17.7 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.82).

NCI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Are NCI insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies NCI leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

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