Stock Ratings / Energy / NC / forecast

METCB (50) METC (47) AREC (51) NRP (69) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

NACCO Industries Inc. (NC) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$35.73 +2.06% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $35.79

NACCO Industries Inc. (NC) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $269.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $35.79 (+0.18%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.5% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NC SCORES 60/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 13% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 46.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 7.9% operating margin leave 11 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$35.57-3.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$34.28+0.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$34.52+3.5% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$35.73+0.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (52) → C- (60)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, NC faces multiple-compression risk if 15.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($37.52) or 200D SMA ($46.84) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($36.05) toward Bear Floor ($28.12).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 60%NO 40%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your NC Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $35.73: 279.9 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $28.12

$7,870

$-2,130 (-21.3%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $36.05

$10,090

+$90 (+0.9%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $62.39

$17,462

+$7,462 (+74.6%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$37	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	BUY	$59	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$32	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (NC Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

NC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -25.84%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $35.49H $35.80L $34.93C $35.73VOL 31.3K

RES: $38.55SUP: $31.01SMA50: $37.52SMA200: $46.84

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NC Butterfly Map → + Track NC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

7.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +16.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NC)

Energy Rank #97 of 211 ⚔️ METCB vs NC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (NC vs. METCB, METC, AREC, NRP)

Industry: Coal Mining (10 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, NACCO Industries Inc. (NC) ranks #97 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #169 by equity capitalization ($269.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NC leads on earnings valuation at 15.3x trailing P/E, while NRP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.4% ROIC and — gross margin. NRP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with NC at 60/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NC ACTIVE NACCO Industries Inc.	C-	60/100	15.3x	13.9%	4.6%	+2.06%	$269.6M	Benchmark Subject
METCB Ramaco Resources Inc. (Class B)	D	50/100	—	—	-35.0%	-4.06%	$270.7M	/metcb-vs-nc →
METC Ramaco Resources Inc. (Class A)	D	47/100	—	—	-35.0%	-2.00%	$468.1M	/metc-vs-nc →
AREC American Resources Corporation (Class A)	D	51/100	—	—	-14.0%	+4.51%	$136.4M	/arec-vs-nc →
NRP Natural Resource Partners LP	C+	69/100	—	—	18.4%	-0.88%	$1.54B	/nrp-vs-nc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000789933

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), NACCO Industries Inc. (NC) reported GAAP revenue of $277.2M (+16.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $237.7M , and +29.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $17.6M, operating cash flow of $50.9M, and free cash flow of $2.3M (+107.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, NC closed FY2025 with $661.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.30, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$277.2M	$17.6M	$50.9M	$2.3M	$661.2M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$237.7M	$33.7M	$22.3M	-$32.4M	$631.7M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$214.8M	-$39.6M	$54.5M	$54.5M	—	—

3. NC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, NACCO Industries Inc. (NYSE: NC) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $35.73 (+2.06% 1D, market cap $269.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, NC ranks #97 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NC compare to METCB and METC in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Coal Mining), NC carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.3x, gross margin of 13.9%, and ROIC of 4.6%. By comparison, METCB (Ramaco Resources Inc. (Class B)) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $270.7M) and METC (Ramaco Resources Inc. (Class A)) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $468.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NC leads on earnings multiple (15.3x) while NRP leads on capital efficiency (18.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NC?

Per NC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000789933), NACCO Industries Inc. generated $277.2M in revenue (+16.6% YoY), $17.6M in net income, and $2.3M in free cash flow against $661.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NC last traded at $35.73 (+2.06% on volume of 24,947 shares), positioning the stock -4.77% below its 50-day simple moving average ($37.52) and -23.72% below its 200-day simple moving average ($46.84). Across its 52-week range of $32.32 to $59.42, NC sits at the 12.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.3% ($33.48 to $37.98).

NC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is NC's 12-month stock price target?

NACCO Industries Inc. (NC) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $36.05 (+0.9% from $35.73), with a bull-case target of $62.39 and a bear-case floor of $28.12.