Why MWA Stock surged +2.94% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$22.78 +2.94% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS (MWA) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 76/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (36% profit margin, 14% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $3.56B
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Why MWA Stock surged +2.94% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS (MWA) surged +2.94% to $22.78, trading at 19% of its 52-week range ($20.9 – $31). High-quality cash engine (36% profit margin, 14% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 19% of its 52-week range ($20.9 – $31) with RSI-14 at 59.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5% around $22.78 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B+ (Buy) backed by 36.1% gross margin and $219.3M annual free cash flow.
Live MWA Headlines & Catalysts
RISK WATCHYahoo • 4d ago
O-I Glass (OI) Reports Q3 Loss, Tops Revenue Estimates

O-I Glass (OI) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of -400.00% and +6.68%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?

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MWA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -18.32%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $22.86H $23.06L $22.60C $22.78VOL 1.14M
RES: $29.64SUP: $19.62SMA50: $22.65SMA200: $25.87
$29.48$27.16$24.83$22.50$20.18RES $29.64SUP $19.62$22.782026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
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MWA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
11.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MWA today. View full Setup Ledger →

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No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MWA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

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📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MWA)

Industrials Rank #22 of 485 ⚔️ CXT vs MWA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (MWA vs. CXT, CSTM, XE, SMR)

Industry: Metal Fabrications (47 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS (MWA) ranks #22 by composite RQD confidence (76/100, grade B+) and #171 by equity capitalization ($3.56B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CSTM leads on earnings valuation at 11.8x trailing P/E, while XE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 38.5% ROIC and — gross margin. MWA currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 76/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MWA ACTIVE
MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS
B+ 76/100 18.6x 36.1% 14.0% +2.94% $3.56B Benchmark Subject
CXT
Crane NXT Co.
B 74/100 23.9x 42.5% 19.1% +3.31% $3.47B /cxt-vs-mwa →
CSTM
Constellium SE (France)
B- 70/100 11.8x — 28.7% -1.68% $3.23B /cstm-vs-mwa →
XE
X-Energy Inc.
D+ 56/100 32.8x — 38.5% +1.39% $4.75B /xe-vs-mwa →
SMR
NuScale Power Corporation
E 26/100 — 36.3% -35.0% +4.41% $2.54B /smr-vs-mwa →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001350593

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS (MWA) reported GAAP revenue of $1.43B (+8.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.31B , and +12.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $191.7M, operating cash flow of $219.3M, and free cash flow of $219.3M (-8.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, MWA closed FY2025 with $1.85B in total assets against $450.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.22, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $1.43B $191.7M $219.3M $219.3M $1.85B $450.9M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $1.31B $115.9M $238.8M $238.8M $1.62B $448.7M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $1.28B $85.5M $109.0M $109.0M — —

3. MWA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MWA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS (NYSE: MWA) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 76/100 at a spot price of $22.78 (+2.94% 1D, market cap $3.56B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, MWA ranks #22 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MWA compare to CXT and CSTM in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Metal Fabrications), MWA carries a Roarable B+ (76/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 18.6x, gross margin of 36.1%, and ROIC of 14.0%. By comparison, CXT (Crane NXT Co.) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 23.9x, ROIC 19.1%, cap $3.47B) and CSTM (Constellium SE (France)) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 11.8x, ROIC 28.7%, cap $3.23B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CSTM leads on earnings multiple (11.8x) while XE leads on capital efficiency (38.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MWA?

Per MWA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001350593), MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS generated $1.43B in revenue (+8.7% YoY), $191.7M in net income, and $219.3M in free cash flow against $1.85B in total assets and $450.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MWA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MWA last traded at $22.78 (+2.94% on volume of 1,821,012 shares), positioning the stock +0.57% above its 50-day simple moving average ($22.65) and -11.94% below its 200-day simple moving average ($25.87). Across its 52-week range of $20.90 to $31.00, MWA sits at the 18.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.0% ($21.64 to $23.92).

MWA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

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Why is MWA stock moving today?

Why MWA Stock surged +2.94% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (36% profit margin, 14% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

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